January 10/11 Winter Storm Potential - May the Odds be Ever in our Favor

[WinstonSalemArlington]

[a5ehren]

4 minutes ago, kayman said:

Yep, NC was robbed in the 1990s of much needed NWS weather forecasting offices & radar sites. Instead, placing forecast offices in areas that are need, one was placed in an area sandwiched in area it was not need like Huntsville, AL. N AL and Middle TN only need the Hytop NWS radar site, not another NW forecast office.  I'm an Alabama native so I can shade that place because I know it very well. 

Meh, they tried to close HUN but BHM did an awful job with severe weather coverage when they trialed it. If we're talking about unneeded offices, lets talk about Caribou ME, Aberdeen SD, and Hastings NE.

[Brick Tamland]

HRRR coming in similar to the last RAP run.

[Brick Tamland]

HRRR increased totals again and trying to lay down that 6 to 7 inch jackpot from northern Wake northeast into VA.

[kayman]

16 minutes ago, a5ehren said:

Meh, they tried to close HUN but BHM did an awful job with severe weather coverage when they trialed it. If we're talking about unneeded offices, lets talk about Caribou ME, Aberdeen SD, and Hastings NE.

Tbh, that forecast area should've been split amongst BHM, MEM, OHX (Nashville), ATL, and MRX (Knoxville) offices instead of solely BHM. Its geographic of Cullman County being with in it when it's geographically closer BHM was bizarre within itself. 

[WinstonSalemArlington]

CLT:  Snow drought is officially over; 0.10" sleet/snow has been reported at the airport so far.

[digital snow]

light snow in Durham

[gman]

39 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said:

Wouldn’t really exist without Charlotte down the road

Nonsense, but carry on.  

[sinterpol]

Ice pellets coming down in Southern Pines.

[suzook]

31 degrees, and rain. A coating of ice on everything. Guessing the power is about to go out for a lot in the Atlanta area. Getting bad

[StantonParkHoya]

Light snow in North Raleigh

[SnowDeac]

Perhaps a dumb question, but there has been a lot of Miller A talk. Is that what we're calling this? Are we expecting a transfer of the low to the Atlantic in the next several hours that will throw more moisture back inland?

[CaryWx]

2 minutes ago, SnowDeac said:

Perhaps a dumb question, but there has been a lot of Miller A talk. Is that what we're calling this? Are we expecting a transfer of the low to the Atlantic in the next several hours that will throw more moisture back inland?

It's an A looks like....from NWS RAH

The surface low should continue ewd along the FL panhandle
for the next couple hours, then lift newd through FL/GA before
tracking along the Carolina coast tonight. As the low approaches,
the warm nose aloft will strengthen, especially in the southeast.
The low should begin to move enewd away from the NC coast Sat
morning.

[Snow haven]

19 minutes ago, sinterpol said:

Ice pellets coming down in Southern Pines.

Nothing here in rockingham 

[CaryWx]

34 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said:

HRRR increased totals again and trying to lay down that 6 to 7 inch jackpot from northern Wake northeast into VA.

It's tightening though too Brick.  Notice the very southern portion has shrunken (disappeared) over Johnston and Harnett counties from previous run

 

edit:  It is also lining up more with RAP except for totals so that's good

[CentralNC]

2 minutes ago, CaryWx said:

It's an A looks like....from NWS RAH

The surface low should continue ewd along the FL panhandle
for the next couple hours, then lift newd through FL/GA before
tracking along the Carolina coast tonight. As the low approaches,
the warm nose aloft will strengthen, especially in the southeast.
The low should begin to move enewd away from the NC coast Sat
morning.

It's just kind of a weak one and going pretty much straight out into the Atlantic, so no big deepener that climbs the coast.

[eyewall]

Sleeting downtown Raleigh. Not good at all. It would seem I brought the mojo for everyone else but us in Raleigh.

[Brick Tamland]

Sleeting here. 

[CaryWx]

I have a mix of snow and sleet.  Predominantly sleet though

[btownheel]

Sleeting downtown Raleigh. Not good at all. It would seem I brought the mojo for everyone else but us in Raleigh.

Rates and dark coming. It’ll flip.


.

[strongwxnc]

The warm nose ran off what was a good snow around 4:45 here. All Sleet now. But man, when the sleet started to mix in the flakes were huge.

27.2 degrees.

[RockyKnob]

Mike Maze just said it will flip back soon. 

[Regan]

Yeah WRAL just said it too. Let’s see. So many opinions. My weather station outside my house just flipped to 32. 

[snowinnc]

Meh. Sleet with a little snow in North Raleigh at 33 degrees. 

[CaryWx]

4:45pm vs 5:15 pm below.  Flipping to snow

 

[kayman]

It's now 27 degrees and light snow with sleet here. If there's a warm nose then it's shallow and weak because it's still snowing 

[MHCWEATHER]

Don’t forget that the storm of January 2000 started out with about 2 inches of sleet and then boom…

gotta dream big to have cool nightmares

[gman]

The snow underperformed in Greenville County. There was a dry slot over most of middle Greenville most of the afternoon. The inch we got was beautiful. For the first snow in three years, I’ll take it and be happy. Hoping for another one this year. 

[Brick Tamland]

Snow mixing in here now.

[kayman]

4 minutes ago, gman said:

The snow underperformed in Greenville County. There was a dry slot over most of middle Greenville most of the afternoon. The inch we got was beautiful. For the first snow in three years, I’ll take it and be happy. Hoping for another one this year. 

It was a dry airmass boundary situated over the Piedmont in the Carolinas.  It did radiational cooling through the atmosphere to the ground so it might yield a burst of heavy snow at its ending tonight.