January 10/11 Winter Storm Potential - May the Odds be Ever in our Favor

[kayman]

I wouldn't be surprised by how close the heavy "deformation band" of snow winds up being in reference to Metro Charlotte. It might set up over Charlotte or slightly northward tbh. The

[WinstonSalemArlington]

Allan Huffman has spoken

[BooneWX]

10 minutes ago, HKY_WX said:

Kuchera method is probably more accurate representation. But yea, the NAM related suite (NAM/HRRR/etc) have slowly moved that band from VA down into northern NC run by run. It's much more similar to the euro/RGEM from the last few days which has always made more sense. i85 special.

Agreed. Best lift in these setups is never in southern VA or northern NC. 

[Regan]

Snow started earlier than expected in Salisbury NC. Aunt said it was very lightly snowing and then boom, the ground is white. Immediately sticking. 

[WinstonSalemArlington]

[StantonParkHoya]

If it snows moderately from 4-midnight there is little chance this is only 1-2 inches

[olafminesaw]

[WinstonSalemArlington]

[Brick Tamland]

RAP also has me with 4 inches now.

[CaryWx]

16 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said:

If it snows moderately from 4-midnight there is little chance this is only 1-2 inches

Are we predicted to begin that early?  With column saturation would think 6-pm

[AppalachianWedge]

Snow started about 10 mins ago in Advance, NC

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[wake4est]

MPING of snow and sleet in Pinehurst

[StantonParkHoya]

2 minutes ago, CaryWx said:

Are we predicted to begin that early?  With column saturation would think 6-pm

Just judging that it’s already snowing in Pinehurst 

[eyewall]

Important note out of RAH as of 12:40p

One thing of note, the regional radars are showing the H925/H850
warm front progressing northward through far northern MS/AL,GA and
upstate SC, depicted by the bright band. It has been progressing
quickly from Birmingham to Huntsville in 4-5 hours. Atlanta is now
reporting rain. While this will surge northward, it will be impeded
by the rapidly developing in-situ CAD east of the Blue Ridge, and
will likely stay south and east of the region through at least
00z/tonight before starting to make a run at FAY and GSB.

[WinstonSalemArlington]

10 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said:

RAP also has me with 4 inches now.

Winston-Salem 6 inches 

[StantonParkHoya]

6 minutes ago, eyewall said:

Important note out of RAH as of 12:40p

One thing of note, the regional radars are showing the H925/H850
warm front progressing northward through far northern MS/AL,GA and
upstate SC, depicted by the bright band. It has been progressing
quickly from Birmingham to Huntsville in 4-5 hours. Atlanta is now
reporting rain. While this will surge northward, it will be impeded
by the rapidly developing in-situ CAD east of the Blue Ridge, and
will likely stay south and east of the region through at least
00z/tonight before starting to make a run at FAY and GSB.

They act like this wasn’t expected

[eyewall]

2 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said:

They act like this wasn’t expected

It is actually good news if is not reaching Fayetteville and Goldsboro through at least 0z.

[WinstonSalemArlington]

Snow reported at High Rock Lake south of Lexington 

[WinstonSalemArlington]

Heads up, Triad!

[CoolBreeze]

Light snow has started here, 10 miles south of Winston-Salem NC !!

[Brick Tamland]

HRRR with a pretty good increase.

 

[Regan]

husband's boss says accumulation in Cary 

[WinstonSalemArlington]

Light snow in East Winston 

[StantonParkHoya]

4 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said:

HRRR with a pretty good increase.

 

Keeps pushing that snow line south. Good trends.

[HKY_WX]

3 minutes ago, Regan said:

husband's boss says accumulation in Cary 

He's either high or it's lake effect snow. I'm leaning towards high.

[WinstonSalemArlington]

3 minutes ago, Regan said:

husband's boss says accumulation in Cary 

What??!!!

[Rsheely88]

RAP also has me with 4 inches now.

How accurate is RAP normally? Personally hoping it’s 100% this time lol. I am in the tidewater area in SE VA always worried about the R/S line like others, but this is juicy. Our local Mets only calling 1-2 or 2-3”.


.

[WinstonSalemArlington]

Lee Ann Minton in Wilkesboro 

[HKY_WX]

5 minutes ago, Regan said:

husband's boss says accumulation in Cary 

Meanwhile, at lake crabtree

 

[NCSU_Pi]

2 minutes ago, HKY_WX said:

He's either high or it's lake effect snow. I'm leaning towards high.

I'm not too far from that supposed Shearon Harris Reservoir-Effect plume, and, no.

Husband's boss needs to lay off the edibles this early in the day.