BooneWX Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Man this morning feels like the 24 hrs leading up to the 2022 storm. I remember the fine folks at GSP trending down on totals only to have to hit reverse quickly at the last minute after miserable overnight data. HRRR led the way on that storm and I ended up with 7”. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1 minute ago, BooneWX said: Man this morning feels like the 24 hrs leading up to the 2022 storm. I remember the fine folks at GSP trending down on totals only to have to hit reverse quickly at the last minute after miserable overnight data. HRRR led the way on that storm and I ended up with 7”. Fingers crossed. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 23 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said: Brick — why would this concern you? Because that map doesn't show actual snow totals. This one does for the same run at the same time period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1 hour ago, BornAgain13 said: That's very very similar to 0z And like scary similar to the Euro AI since last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QC_Halo Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 39 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: The NAM and GFS both suck here for totals lately. Should that be a concern or do we ride the other models? Pick the one you like best and ride….duh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QC_Halo Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 10 minutes ago, frazdaddy said: I left work in Cary at 10 am to pick my oldest up from school on Durant rd,(N,Ral) made it by 11pm. 13 hours? Do tell more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 2 minutes ago, QC_Halo said: Pick the one you like best and ride….duh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 23 minutes ago, wncsnow said: This is what the last HRRR said. It's not as amped as the NAM either. New run should be interesting I sure hope the new HRRR is correct, looking great at hr 36, sleet/snow line further south then 6z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Kinda what I would expect precip type to look like 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 HRRR is a big hit for WNC foothills and mountains. Lots of moisture 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 HRRR has it starting as rain here in Wake but changing to snow within an hour. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1 minute ago, olafminesaw said: Kinda what I would expect precip type to look like I remember the HRRR doing the same thing for the 2022 storm and also leading the way in the short range for the Dec 2018 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Sleet line moving north as expected, but not before dropping solid snow totals for most 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 2 minutes ago, wncsnow said: HRRR is a big hit for WNC foothills and mountains. Lots of moisture Out to hr 41 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RamblinRed Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Watched the various ATL weather people this morning. Have definitely backed off the snow some here, now more playing up the ice potential. One station even talked about the warm nose. They have been moving up the start time here - as soon as 6 am for some, and also moving up changeover to freezing precip. More 12 pm now. For my area (Cherokee County) they seem to be thinking 2 inches of snow and then maybe .1-.2 ice. Yesterday forcast was 3-5, today 1-3. I suspect by later this afternoon all the metro schools will announce closings or remote learning days for Friday. I also expect almost all businesses to tell their employees to work from home. no one will want a repeat of 2014. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 41 is when it starts to change to sleet and rain in Wake. Looks like we get about 6 hours of snow here before the changeover. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Lots of precip! 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 2 hours ago, QC_Halo said: 13 hours? Do tell more. I had a Jeep and had a 30 year knowledge of the roads. Tried every shortcut I could think of. Her teacher was huddled with them trying to keep them calm. There were still 20 kids there. That ice and the gridlock was real. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Very reminiscent of 2022. Although that was more like .75"+ of QPF IIRC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Weenie phase 1 has commenced. About 12 hours later than forcasted. 4 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Just now, wncsnow said: Looks close to this mornings RAP model too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Feeling good for at least 2 inches of snow here to break the 3 year drought. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 3 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Illustrates the expression ,where you can smell the sleet line is where the heaviest snowfall occurs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 HRRR bringing the goods! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QC_Halo Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 5 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: Feeling good for at least 2 inches of snow here to break the 3 year drought. Now you've done it… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow dog Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 5 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: Lord-please verify for once!! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 2 minutes ago, QC_Halo said: Now you've done it… Well it's over now... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 11 minutes ago, RamblinRed said: Watched the various ATL weather people this morning. Have definitely backed off the snow some here, now more playing up the ice potential. One station even talked about the warm nose. They have been moving up the start time here - as soon as 6 am for some, and also moving up changeover to freezing precip. More 12 pm now. For my area (Cherokee County) they seem to be thinking 2 inches of snow and then maybe .1-.2 ice. Yesterday forcast was 3-5, today 1-3. I suspect by later this afternoon all the metro schools will announce closings or remote learning days for Friday. I also expect almost all businesses to tell their employees to work from home. no one will want a repeat of 2014. Unfortunately ATL is gonna be more of an ice storm than anything else. I am actually hoping for a cold rain, instead of ICE. I am south of ATL though, you still have a shot at some snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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