January 10/11 Winter Storm Potential - May the Odds be Ever in our Favor

[snowmaker13]

GSP lowered snow accums for WNC. 

[WinstonSalemArlington]

This cold is stout and likely yield a bigger snow dividend than usual for the qpf, even with Arctic dew points.

[strongwxnc]

Our local DOT must have a lot of brine because they have put it all over. Even some secondary roads.


.

[wncsnow]

3 minutes ago, snowmaker13 said:

GSP lowered snow accums for WNC. 

Looks about the same to me.

[strongwxnc]

Looks about the same to me.

The afternoon discussion left room for positive and negative wiggle


.

[snowmaker13]

1 minute ago, wncsnow said:

Looks about the same to me.

[StantonParkHoya]

Does anyone have the Euro AI snow map?

[wncsnow]

1 minute ago, snowmaker13 said:

Minor changes

[snowmaker13]

Just now, wncsnow said:

Minor changes

still less

[Met1985]

6 minutes ago, snowmaker13 said:

GSP lowered snow accums for WNC. 

Bullshit.  

[Ephesians2]

Just now, StantonParkHoya said:

Does anyone have the Euro AI snow map?

I don't think there are snow maps, only QPF. 

[snowmaker13]

Just now, Met1985 said:

Bullshit.  

 

2 minutes ago, snowmaker13 said:

 

[franklin NCwx]

1 minute ago, snowmaker13 said:

 

 

?????

[Upstate Tiger]

Well…my roads are brined and I’m under a WSW starting at 700AM Friday.  That’s already better than the last couple of years.   

[Met1985]

2 minutes ago, snowmaker13 said:

 

 

This isn't GSP. they haven't issued a snow map since 9 hours ago. 

[snowmaker13]

Just now, franklin NCwx said:

?????

Example: Asheville went from 3.1" to 2.8"

[snowmaker13]

Just now, Met1985 said:

This isn't GSP. they haven't issued a snow map since 9 hours ago. 

it's the NDFD 

[eyewall]

Just now, snowmaker13 said:

Example: Asheville went from 3.1" to 2.8"

Pretty much noise there.

[wncsnow]

The RAP has a low in E TN lol obviously this isn't at good range for a not so great short range model.

[msuwx]

1 minute ago, snowmaker13 said:

Example: Asheville went from 3.1" to 2.8"

And many other places in the GSP FA went slightly higher. But yes, it’s all negligible and well within the noise range. 

[Met1985]

1 minute ago, snowmaker13 said:

it's the NDFD 

So a few tenths for Asheville.  We still have a ways to go with this. We got some positives from the GFS. Things still look very promising here is WNC.

[Tony Sisk]

18 minutes ago, strongwxnc said:

Latest from gsp

https://www.weather.gov/media/gsp/YouTube/brief.pdf


.

Excellent info, thank you!

[GaWx]

18Z GFS: generous sleet N GA/NW SC with heaviest 0.7-0.9” Lawrenceville, GA, to Greenwood, SC: @dsaurincluded in sleet area again…May the sleet be with you!

 Would be heaviest and most widespread sleet for at least N GA since at the very least 2/12-13/2014:

[snowmaker13]

2 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

So a few tenths for Asheville.  We still have a ways to go with this. We got some positives from the GFS. Things still look very promising here is WNC.

6z was better than the 18z still. notice the drawdown in QPF for TN and GA too. 

 

[Brick Tamland]

23 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said:

I85 corridor stays all snow

That might be the best GFS runs all day.

[Met1985]

1 minute ago, snowmaker13 said:

6z was better than the 18z still. notice the drawdown in QPF for TN and GA too. 

 

Too me it's just minor changes with the system.  Sure minor changes can have big consequences but I think the next 24 hours we will get a better picture.  That's the way it always has been..We go right down to go time.

[Brick Tamland]

GEFS mean

[Met1985]

Just now, Brick Tamland said:

GEFS mean

Looks good to me. Most get in on the action. 

[Brick Tamland]

18z RGEM

 

[Buddy1987]

39 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

18z GFS with another increase in QPF. Showing 3-5" in southern VA and points North a little. 

GFS has been ROCK SOLID