TullyHeel Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 10 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: Nam 3k and FV3 are colder than the Nam 12k for NC. That’s a good thing. The NAM is probably too warm and amped. Prior to 36 hours there’s a tendency for that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 ICON is weak and dry 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Writing is on the wall it seems. Hope they don't jump the gun with a winter storm watch. Seems winter weather advisory level Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 12Z Icon “snow” 6Z Icon “snow” but 850s are +1 to +3C: 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 ICON is colder but with less precip. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 8 Author Share Posted January 8 1 minute ago, Brick Tamland said: ICON is colder but with less precip. Nice southern GA jackpot LOL. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 4 minutes ago, GaWx said: 12Z Icon “snow” 6Z Icon “snow” This is just weird. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 This is all I got for eye candy. . 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Oof! 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 6 minutes ago, suzook said: This is just weird. 12Z Icon 850s are +1C to +3C and thicknesses near 552 dm in this area of S GA showing as snow. If I thought this was real I wouldn’t be considering driving 250+ miles to what could end up mainly as an icestorm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 2 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Oof! There’s a non zero chance folks in NC can stop tracking by 0Z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 RDPS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 1 minute ago, Brick Tamland said: RDPS This is honestly the most realistic scenario among the models. I am going with the below: 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 The RGEM is not nearly as far north as the NAM is 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 @GaWx do you recall how the RGEM performed with Sunday’s setup? I vaguely remember it doing well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 4 minutes ago, GaWx said: 12Z Icon 850s are +1C to +3C and thicknesses near 552 dm in this area of S GA showing as snow. If I thought this was real I wouldn’t be considering driving 250+ miles to what could end up mainly as an icestorm. Looking at soundings, its wetbulb temps are mostly near to below freezing, with a warm nose around 700mb, implying sleet may occur at onset in parts of S GA. The snow depth and Kuchera maps are much lower. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Hopefully we can reverse the trend this evening 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 1 minute ago, olafminesaw said: Hopefully we can reverse the trend this evening I’m desperately in need of some happy hour fun! (I’m talking about drinking by the way) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 RGEM was a fine run. ICON though weak did drop 1-3” of all snow for a lot on here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 6 minutes ago, BooneWX said: @GaWx do you recall how the RGEM performed with Sunday’s setup? I vaguely remember it doing well. I do not recall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QC_Halo Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 1 hour ago, BooneWX said: Fwiw, it is a more moist run overall, so there’s that. That’s so hot.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 It’d be absolutely hilarious for the GFS and Euro to come in with big hits Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Sisk Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 24 minutes ago, HKY_WX said: This is honestly the most realistic scenario among the models. I am going with the below: Could not have drawn it up any better 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 1 minute ago, BooneWX said: It’d be absolutely hilarious for the GFS and Euro to come in with big hits Yesterday my statement was lets get inside of 24 hr out. Still a ways to go. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 GFS is not good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow dog Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 3 minutes ago, Tony Sisk said: Could not have drawn it up any better I'll take this map and run! 2-4", with a bit of sleet /fz rain on top would be an awesome event here! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: GFS is not good Very similar to the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 8 Author Share Posted January 8 Ouch this is awful. There is no doubt about it. We may be cooked on this one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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