January 10/11 Winter Storm Potential - May the Odds be Ever in our Favor

[eyewall]

 

 

A horrible run really for the Triangle.

[Brick Tamland]

1 minute ago, eyewall said:

 

 

A horrible run really for the Triangle.

Yeah, that didn't end up with the snow like I thought it would with the initial thump before changing to ice.

[tarheelwx]

Looks like the 12z run.  I should have said, that is the 12z run.  Change it to the 18z run and you'll see a better snow coverage for NC.

TW

[TARHEELPROGRAMMER88]

Looks like the low is further NW and close to cutting through the apps before transfer to coast. This is almost time to throw in the towel for everyone outside the mountains or upper Mid Atlantic.

[StantonParkHoya]

5 minutes ago, eyewall said:

 

 

A horrible run really for the Triangle.

Difficult to make it work when it travels up I-95

[eyewall]

1 minute ago, StantonParkHoya said:

Difficult to make it work when it travels up I-95

Yeah definitely a bit of a dumpster fire for sure. If that is the trend we're done.

[lilj4425]

That’s a lot of power outages for Upstate SC and NE Georgia on the GFS. Yikes. 

[calculus1]

10 minutes ago, BooneWX said:

3 inches of snow, prob an inch of sleet followed by a 1/4” of ice. Ice rink.

Now that's a traditional foothills special from days of growing up in the 1980s and 1990s. Bring it on! Amazing sledding conditions.

[StantonParkHoya]

I wonder if southern sliders are possible anymore

[Rainforrest]

Shades of January 2022.

[eyewall]

1100 days definitely on the table for RDU.

[buckeyefan1]

 

[RamblinRed]

That run would give the northern ATL suburbs (Cherokee, N. Fulton, Forsyth, N. Gwinett, Hall) their biggest winter event in at least 5-6 years. Some snow with a good layer of freezing crap as well. That would definitely mess up that side of town.

[franklin NCwx]

Very cold behind the storm after it wraps up. Might help with the follow up wave too

[SnowGoose69]

Just now, RamblinRed said:

That run would give the northern ATL suburbs (Cherokee, N. Fulton, Forsyth, N. Gwinett, Hall) their biggest winter event in at least 5-6 years. Some snow with a good layer of freezing crap as well. That would definitely mess up that side of town.

The wedge likely would press well back W and S of ATL, the GFS resolution just won't see it at this range, once the NAM starts coming into range we should see that more

[CaryWx]

9 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

The wedge likely would press well back W and S of ATL, the GFS resolution just won't see it at this range, once the NAM starts coming into range we should see that more

Goose,  You have any thoughts on the direction (track) of this SLP track as it turns across FL/Ga?

[GaWx]

14 minutes ago, RamblinRed said:

That run would give the northern ATL suburbs (Cherokee, N. Fulton, Forsyth, N. Gwinett, Hall) their biggest winter event in at least 5-6 years. Some snow with a good layer of freezing crap as well. That would definitely mess up that side of town.

The 18Z GFS would easily give the Atlanta area as a whole its most impactful storm since 2/12-13/2014.

[SnowDawg]

Give me an amped solution with a slightly better track and I am thrilled. I'll happily take it as is, but if we're allowed to be picky that's my request lol

[eyewall]

Any farther inland and I will be rooting for the warm sector and low-topped supercells.

[StantonParkHoya]

It may be time to call time of death for RDU @eyewall

[dsaur]

23 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

The wedge likely would press well back W and S of ATL, the GFS resolution just won't see it at this range, once the NAM starts coming into range we should see that more

Wouldn't surprise me to see it push well into Ala.  The one today has been really stout.

[eyewall]

6 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said:

It may be time to call time of death for RDU @eyewall

Breathe damn it! Clear!!!

 

Call it! Time of death 22:58z 1/6

[lilj4425]

5 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said:

It may be time to call time of death for RDU @eyewall

You can have all the freezing rain you want. I don’t want any part of it here.

[snowmaker13]

GEFS 

 

[wncsnow]

2 minutes ago, snowmaker13 said:

GEFS 

 

Pretty solid 

[Bevo]

48 minutes ago, TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 said:

Looks like the low is further NW and close to cutting through the apps before transfer to coast. This is almost time to throw in the towel for everyone outside the mountains or upper Mid Atlantic.

JFC It's like this is your job.

[Cheeznado]

All frozen here now seems to be almost certain, just hope it stays all or mostly snow and sleet. We have to hope the snow cover up north and evap cooling will help accomplish that. 2-4" of snow mainly north of the Perimiter followed by sleet seems like a reasonable guess. 

 

[snowmaker13]

GFS might have moved towards the Euro AI

 

[WiseWeather]

GEFS 
 

P15 or P24 and ill cash my chips.


.

[BooneWX]

5 minutes ago, snowmaker13 said:

GFS might have moved towards the Euro AI

 

I WAS MOCKED