Met1985 Posted Tuesday at 03:59 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:59 PM 12z gfs snowfall. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Tuesday at 04:00 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:00 PM HMMM… GFS trending to all other models. Let’s freaking go 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted Tuesday at 04:00 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:00 PM Still not good for RDU but trending better I suppose Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Tuesday at 04:00 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:00 PM Folded like a dirty dishrag 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Tuesday at 04:00 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:00 PM Looks like the GFS still has more ice than the ICON and NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted Tuesday at 04:00 PM Author Share Posted Tuesday at 04:00 PM Still room for improvement with the GFS: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Tuesday at 04:01 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:01 PM Just now, NorthHillsWx said: HMMM… GFS trending to all other models. Let’s freaking go Yeah, I guess that's the positive thing with that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Tuesday at 04:01 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:01 PM What’s most encouraging about 12z so far is that both pieces of energy are on land + we’re in the range where OPs should start to be more useful than ensembles and they’re all trending wintry. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Tuesday at 04:01 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:01 PM EDIT: it’s still inland. Just colder. Baby steps 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted Tuesday at 04:01 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:01 PM @BornAgain13 12Z GFS NUKE! @Met1985 @wncsnow also great for you all! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmaker13 Posted Tuesday at 04:03 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:03 PM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted Tuesday at 04:03 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:03 PM 7 minutes ago, Met1985 said: 12z gfs Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk If you look where that SLP track is sitting (that's honestly all you need to pay attention to at this point). If it's in interior SC then sleet/freezing rain is a given. That's pretty far northwest and likely over done a bit if you look at the ensembles and euro. It's a tick east towards the other models which is good news if you like snow. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted Tuesday at 04:03 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:03 PM 1 minute ago, NorthHillsWx said: EDIT: it’s still inland. Just colder. Baby steps Yes. Taking like a shift of 25-75 miles east for cash. But getting closer with the alignment across the runs today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Tuesday at 04:04 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:04 PM 1 minute ago, Buddy1987 said: @BornAgain13 12Z GFS NUKE! @Met1985 @wncsnow also great for you all! Yes that’s what yall wanted to see I’m sure! Honestly keeping me below 32 with some sort of wintry precip is a win after it showed rain for so long here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Tuesday at 04:05 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:05 PM 1 minute ago, HKY_WX said: Look where that SLP track is sitting. If it's in interior SC then sleet/freezing rain is a given. That's pretty far west and likely over done if you look at the ensembles and euro. It's a tick east towards the other models which is good news if you like snow. Yeah still some tweaks and improvements coming and I do think you are right with how the low tracks up the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted Tuesday at 04:05 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:05 PM N Ga.... that's a Big Dawg run from the GFS 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Tuesday at 04:06 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:06 PM All in all good trends so far today. Got to feel good about this at this point. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted Tuesday at 04:06 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:06 PM The 12z GFS aligns pretty closely with the 6z GEFS. Let's see if the OP is adjusting to match it's ensembles, or if the trend is south on the ensembles as well 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted Tuesday at 04:06 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:06 PM Just now, NorthHillsWx said: Yes that’s what yall wanted to see I’m sure! Honestly keeping me below 32 with some sort of wintry precip is a win after it showed rain for so long here We just went thru one hell of a sleet and ice storm here the other night. While it’s nice to look at it was a pain in the rear end to clean up before Siberia temperatures came in last night I love winter weather so I can totally understand where you’re coming from. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted Tuesday at 04:09 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:09 PM Canadian earlier on looks more phase happy than the GFS same time. Let’s see where it goes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Tuesday at 04:10 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:10 PM 3 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: We just went thru one hell of a sleet and ice storm here the other night. While it’s nice to look at it was a pain in the rear end to clean up before Siberia temperatures came in last night I love winter weather so I can totally understand where you’re coming from. When you haven’t seen winter weather in 3 years, you settle for ice storms 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted Tuesday at 04:12 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:12 PM The euro and gfs, if you just take the general blend, would be a pretty solid hit from southern TN northern MS/AL/GA into NC Mountains/Foothills. Probably 6+ for those avoiding Sleet/ZR. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Sisk Posted Tuesday at 04:15 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:15 PM 1 minute ago, HKY_WX said: The euro and gfs, if you just take the general blend, would be a pretty solid hit from southern TN northern MS/AL/GA into NC Mountains/Foothills. Probably 6+. wonder why northern SC is generally not treated the same as northern MS/AL/GA? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted Tuesday at 04:15 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:15 PM Pretty significant differences between Canadian and GFS. Canadian way more neutral tilted to almost negative at 66. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted Tuesday at 04:17 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:17 PM GFS increases totals pretty significantly from 6z 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted Tuesday at 04:20 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:20 PM Is anyone else bothered by this thickness/precip type 12Z GFS map? Typically in the SE the snow line is near 546-7. But this shows snow with thicknesses well over 552! How can this be? This is so odd! Can anyone explain this? I’d be highly suspicious of precip types on this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted Tuesday at 04:20 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:20 PM The one thing I’ll say I like A LOT about 12Z thus far is precipitation expansion on the northwest side of the storm minus the NAM’s depiction. Feel like that bodes well as we get closer to the event. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted Tuesday at 04:21 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:21 PM Just now, GaWx said: Is anyone else bothered by this thickness/precip type 12Z GFS map? Typically in the SE the snow line is near 546-7. But this shows snow with thicknesses well over 552! How can this be? This is so odd! Can anyone explain this? Could be how cold/dry the arctic airmass is that is in place ahead of the system. Dew points are very cold at onset 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Tuesday at 04:22 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:22 PM Canadian at 90. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Tuesday at 04:23 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:23 PM Canadian drives the low further north and lays down a big ice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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