Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,748
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Fuji Kapesta
    Newest Member
    Fuji Kapesta
    Joined

January 10/11 Winter Storm Potential - May the Odds be Ever in our Favor


eyewall
 Share

Recommended Posts

Just now, olafminesaw said:

I have nothing to complain about, but if I was going to, it's the timing of this thing. Right now looks like we get very little snowfall during daylight hours. 

Yeah night favors better accumulation chances for sure. That is a good point.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

40 minutes ago, Cheeznado said:

Sorry, but this would not be just "decent" for us, it is a dream run which would be the most snow here in quite a few years. 

I felt the NAM/RGEM were not the best if you want snow in ATL.  Both seemed to also move away from the wedge strength indicating it might just be a 1-2 hours of pellets/snow to begin and then right over to rain.  We'll see if the Euro moves that way.  RGEM/NAM just are not terribly reliable beyond 48, the NAM is wonky and the RGEM has a tendency to be overamped or too warm beyond 48.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, eyewall said:

Yeah night favors better accumulation chances for sure. That is a good point.

I actually like a night snow. Actually sticks to the roads and fun to watch in the lights. An excuse to open the good bourbon too. I’d love if it started in daytime and peaked in night but beggars cannot be choosers especially here… 

  • Like 8
  • 100% 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

I actually like a night snow. Actually sticks to the roads and fun to watch in the lights. An excuse to open the good bourbon too. I’d love if it started in daytime and peaked in night but beggars cannot be choosers especially here… 

In my experience, it usually comes in a few hours before modeled time so thinking 5ish for RDU

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

12Z Icon 10:1 clown has 1.4” of snow at Statesboro, GA, from 0.21” of qpf. That can’t be right with 850s of +2C and surface temps of 34+. It could be sleet but 0.21” of liquid equivalent of sleet won’t accumulate to more than half that and that’s with no melting (temps of 32 or lower). And then it has accumulation up to 0.2” in my area and 0.1 into far N FL. CHS is 37+ and 850s are +2 and it shows 0.4”. Impossible! All of the southern end of this map looks way overdone based on its own parameters. Looks like an algo issue:
IMG_1672.thumb.png.be8c49dd060277e9d84e413e40a3b81b.png

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

I actually like a night snow. Actually sticks to the roads and fun to watch in the lights. An excuse to open the good bourbon too. I’d love if it started in daytime and peaked in night but beggars cannot be choosers especially here… 

As long as I can get decent shots at daybreak I am good with it.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said:

GFS largely unchanged thru 36. Confluence maybe a tick better up in the northeast. 

Negligible thru 48 as well. Slight less digging by Rockies s/w but stj also a little further southwest so I would call that offsetting. Confluence still better up top over the northeast pushing down into the Mid Atlantic. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...