January 10/11 Winter Storm Potential - May the Odds be Ever in our Favor

[Regan]

@EarlGrey I can’t answer that specifically other than the models aren’t perfect. They often contradict themselves between real time precip type vs soundings. 

[Brick Tamland]

13 minutes ago, olafminesaw said:

Snow being reported well south of Atlanta. Meanwhile the NAM...(Which had onset a few hours later)

NAM appears to be wrong in a good way.

[gwlee7]

So, things are pretty much over for DFW (near the airport) now.   I ended up getting another 1/2 inch or so of snow over night and there are a very few flakes mixed with light “frizzle” falling right now.  Total for my house (8.3 miles NNE of the DFW) is we’ll call it 1.75” of accumulation.   This is slightly under the  NWS forecast of 2 to 5 inches.  It will be interesting to see if the “what happens in Dallas happens in Raleigh” hypothesis holds true.   
 

I needed to be about 30 miles north of here to have really cashed in so that part sounds familiar. There’s definitely enough to play in so your kids can still have fun though. 
 

Thanks for letting me hang back out with you for the event and I will be reading to see how it all shakes out for the SE.   

 

 

 

[a5ehren]

Dusting here in north ATL already. Still some sleet mixed in.

[SnowDawg]

That band SW of Atlanta is putting down accumulating snow in places that haven't seen it in a long time. Have seen reports of heavy snow covered roads as far as 50+ miles south of Atlanta. 

[weatherfide]

28.9, snowing and sleeting, about .75" so far.

[GaWx]

1 hour ago, Leesville Wx Hawk said:

So you did go ! Good for you!! May you get crushed with heavy sleet and snow . You definitely deserve it!


.

Thank you! Just woke up and looked out window. Can see a tiny accumulation on roofs, grass, and vehicles of what I assume is sleet here 40 miles NE of Atlanta in N Gwinnett county (2 miles S of I-85 and 6 miles N of Lawrenceville).

[franklin NCwx]

2 minutes ago, GaWx said:

Thank you! Just woke up and looked out window. Can see a tiny accumulation on roofs, grass, and vehicles of what I assume is sleet here 40 miles NE of Atlanta in N Gwinnett county (2 miles S of I-85 and 6 miles N of Lawrenceville).

Are you near Buford?

[SUNYGRAD]

[GaWx]

1 minute ago, franklin NCwx said:

Are you near Buford?

I’m S of Buford ~3 miles S of Mall of GA.

[SUNYGRAD]

Will try compare models soon.  Take home, very dry---no surprise.

 

[NEGa]

17 minutes ago, SnowDawg said:

That band SW of Atlanta is putting down accumulating snow in places that haven't seen it in a long time. Have seen reports of heavy snow covered roads as far as 50+ miles south of Atlanta. 

That’s crazy that far south!

it’s snowing here and we aren’t that far apart so hopefully it starts there soon if it hasn’t already

[donsutherland1]

41 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

Big Don popping in! Don when was the last snow for Atlanta that was measurable?

Last measurable: 0.1", Deember 26, 2022; Last storm with 1" or more: January 16-17, 2018: 2.4" (2.3" fell on January 17).

[suzook]

32 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said:

NAM appears to be wrong in a good way.

I was thinking it has it nailed for my area. 30 miles south of ATL. Sleeting 29 degrees. About half inch on the ground. Should flip to rain soon, closer it gets.

[SnowGoose69]

1 minute ago, donsutherland1 said:

Last measurable: 0.1", Deember 26, 2022; Last storm with 1" or more: January 16-17, 2018: 2.4" (2.3" fell on January 17).

Will be close if they reach 1 inch, changeover line approaching fairly quick now.

[SUNYGRAD]

quick glance----NAM 3K maybe a little too warm at mid-levels---temperature.  But also, a little drier on actual sounding.

[frazdaddy]

-2 degrees from NAM forecast here, now

[donsutherland1]

1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said:

Will be close if they reach 1 inch, changeover line approaching fairly quick now.

Yes. It's still a possibility, but at least Atlanta will have its first meaurable snowfall in just over two years. Charlotte's record 1,076-day streak without measurable snowfall should also end later today.

[wake4est]

At my location, NWS point 'n' click has less than 0.5" of snow and between 0.1" - 0.3" of freezing rain. Has it changing to all zr after midnight.

[SnowGoose69]

2 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

Yes. It's still a possibility, but at least Atlanta will have its first meaurable snowfall in just over two years. Charlotte's record 1,076-day streak without measurable snowfall should also end later today.

SNINCR 1/1 this hour so at least 0.5 or as much as 1.4 so far

[suzook]

This forum is obviously full of Carolinians, barely barely a peep from GA.

EDIT, seems like they woke up.

[purduewx80]

8 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

Will be close if they reach 1 inch, changeover line approaching fairly quick now.

Easy over. That’s a band of 1-2”/hour moving across south Fulton now. 

[SnowDawg]

14 minutes ago, NEGa said:

That’s crazy that far south!

it’s snowing here and we aren’t that far apart so hopefully it starts there soon if it hasn’t already

Still waiting to saturate here, but hopefully shouldn't be long as better rates are slowly starting to push in.

[suzook]

25 minutes ago, GaWx said:

Thank you! Just woke up and looked out window. Can see a tiny accumulation on roofs, grass, and vehicles of what I assume is sleet here 40 miles NE of Atlanta in N Gwinnett county (2 miles S of I-85 and 6 miles N of Lawrenceville).

The heavy bands keep setting up south of ATL this morning, seems like heavier precip by me. That should start to head up your way.

[marsman]

3 minutes ago, suzook said:

This forum is obviously full of Carolinians, barely barely a peep from GA.

EDIT, seems like they woke up.

There's some in the Obs thread:

 

[SnowGoose69]

3 minutes ago, purduewx80 said:

Easy over. That’s a band of 1-2”/hour moving across south Fulton now. 

Depends if they measure quickly enough when the flip begins, it can compact fast

[eyewall]

1 minute ago, blueheels2 said:

I think they are all on Southern Wx forum.

Which I found out was a shit show. I left there pretty quick.

[GaWx]

5 minutes ago, suzook said:

This forum is obviously full of Carolinians, barely barely a peep from GA.

I’m a proud Georgian who has watched the sleet change to all snow last 30 or so minutes! Beautiful and sticking to everything! Easily over 1/2” already from window estimate!

[HWY316wx]

39 minutes ago, SnowDawg said:

That band SW of Atlanta is putting down accumulating snow in places that haven't seen it in a long time. Have seen reports of heavy snow covered roads as far as 50+ miles south of Atlanta. 

It's moving NE and should be on top of me shortly.  I probably have 1/2" at this point, hoping to get those waffle flakes they have been having in downtown ATL.

[SnowDawg]

Just now, GaWx said:

I’m a proud Georgian who has watched the sleet change to all snow last 30 or so minutes! Beautiful and sticking to everything! Easily over 1/2” already from window estimate!

Congrats! You definitely made the right decision.