SnowGoose69 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 1 minute ago, suzook said: Unfortunately, I think zr is inevitable at some point. Metro ATL and surrounding areas are gonna be a mess. The ESE flow on almost all models may be enough that it just flips to rain in ATL. If they lay down a widespread area of 2 inches of sleet/snow though that might make it harder for the temp to climb over 32 as the gradient is not terribly strong. Many models show FZRA all aftn but the HRRR has not been buying it. The RGEM at 00Z moved towards the idea but mostly NE suburbs 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 GFS 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Ew 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmaker13 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 https://x.com/RyanMaue/status/1877556378086121666 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Shaping up to be a disaster for RDU 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 RAP with a nice little WNC nuke 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowinnc Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 2 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said: Shaping up to be a disaster for RDU No kidding. I convinced myself to be happy with an inch, but with the way things have been trending we’re going to be lucky if we even get flurries. Crazy how Dallas is getting more snow than RDU again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmaker13 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 GFS did tick the sleet line a bit north but not too much. it's nowcasting time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmaker13 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 GEFS ticked up for Asheville. Now at 5"! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 RAP 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Who's actually gonna get any sleep tonight? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Just now, suzook said: Who's actually gonna get any sleep tonight? Better sleep tonight so you can get out and enjoy whatever happens tomorrow! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gopack42 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 2 minutes ago, suzook said: Who's actually gonna get any sleep tonight? I don't sleep any night, so I'm ready! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmaker13 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 1 hour ago, wncsnow said: Foothills Weather network increased from 1-3 to 3-6 for most of I 40 north in WNC. If I can find their map I will share i found the image! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 9 minutes ago, snowmaker13 said: i found the image! Nice! Love the 6+ pops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 I would forget the globals now and concentrate on the short range models. I think the NAM is on an island by itself, but has trended colder the last run. I think the RAP, HRRR and RGEM have it right. I think there is going be a sharp cutoff starting in Wake County for NC, though. Probably an inch in the southern part of the county to 4 in the northern part. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmaker13 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Just now, Brick Tamland said: I would forget the globals now and concentrate on the short range models. I think the NAM is on an island by itself, but has trended colder the last run. I think the RAP, HRRR and RGEM have it right. I think there is going be a sharp cutoff starting in Wake County for NC, though. Probably an inch in the southern part of the county to 4 in the northern part. I can't see the snow hole being that extreme for ALV which is why i'm leaning towards the RAP. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 3 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: I would forget the globals now and concentrate on the short range models. I think the NAM is on an island by itself, but has trended colder the last run. I think the RAP, HRRR and RGEM have it right. I think there is going be a sharp cutoff starting in Wake County for NC, though. Probably an inch in the southern part of the county to 4 in the northern part. Down here I’m expecting an inch at MOST followed by sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Regan Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 There is literally always a diagonal boundary through Wake. SE Wake is usually double cursed. N and NW Wake may be able to pick up juju from the privileged counties. I swear the powers that be lost a bet a long time ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WX FAN Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 North Alabama Mets are in a panic on TV. You can see it. Live by the NAM and get hosed by it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmaker13 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 2 minutes ago, WX FAN said: North Alabama Mets are in a panic on TV. You can see it. Live by the NAM and get hosed by it. GPT says HRRR is more reliable than the NAM within 12-24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WX FAN Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Kinda died in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Tunica, MS, and Memphis went from light sleet/mix last hour to light snow currently. Skies have become mostly cloudy in last hour here 40 miles NE of ATL. I’m excited about the possibilities! Temps near 32 but dewpoints are well down into the teens. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Wetbulb temps in N GA are only in the middle 20s. I wonder if models are correctly taking this into account. Many keep temps in low 30s with precip, which seems too high! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmaker13 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 NAM coming in less amped! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmaker13 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 GSP was wrong for relying on the NAM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmaker13 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 1 minute ago, KChuck said: ...and that would be why? Aforementioned post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdawg10 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Looking at the radar..this thing will hit the triangle about an hour and a half earlier than most forecasters were predicting. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Just got up and looked out and nothing. Radar has me in it, but it's virga. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfide Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Got moderate sleet here! 32.9. Dewpoint 19.3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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