January 10/11 Winter Storm Potential - May the Odds be Ever in our Favor

[wncsnow]

New NAM switches from snow to sleet back to snow for WNC mountains and northern foothills 

[suzook]

Sitting at 33 degrees, was supposed to be at 28. Getting concerned about the temps. 

[BornAgain13]

1 minute ago, wncsnow said:

NAM snow totals are still super ugly. I wonder what NWS will say 

Hopefully they agree that they are ugly and wrong

[StantonParkHoya]

1 minute ago, wncsnow said:

New NAM switches from snow to sleet back to snow for WNC mountains and northern foothills 

It’s still trending colder if you watch the last 3 runs. Playing catch up imo.

[Brick Tamland]

NAM is still warmer than all the other models. Hardly anything here but all the other models have me getting 2 to 4 inches.

[GunBlade]

It also takes the NAM 5 hours to model what the radar returns currently look like… 

[WinstonSalemArlington]

GRAF

https://x.com/daniel_bonds/status/1877536988359782427?s=46&t=5ny5bPgiX5Vy3bQMvYTY5g

[StantonParkHoya]

18z RGEM is a beaut

[BornAgain13]

Wow the 0z NAM just gave mby 7", trended colder here and kept the ice away 

[Brick Tamland]

Here's the NAM. Still has me on the line of 1 and 2 inches even with being warmer than all the other models.

[WinstonSalemArlington]

Just now, Brick Tamland said:

Here's the NAM. Still has me on the line of 1 and 2 inches even with being warmer than all the other models.

Over half a foot in parts of Forsyth County

[wncsnow]

NAM and hires definitely trended colder. It was also very juiced up!

[BornAgain13]

3K NAM trended colder here with 5-6"

[strongwxnc]

8 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

GRAF

https://x.com/daniel_bonds/status/1877536988359782427?s=46&t=5ny5bPgiX5Vy3bQMvYTY5g

So Solid if it happens like that. 

[Brick Tamland]

I don't think the precip is going to be a problem. It's going to come down to colder vs warmer.

[BornAgain13]

The FV3 increased totals as well.

[NC_hailstorm]

NAM putting down .7 to .8 here and finally correcting the temps.  

[Brick Tamland]

Just now, NC_hailstorm said:

NAM putting down .7 to .8 here and finally correcting the temps.  

Hopefully it keeps correcting further east.

[StantonParkHoya]

3k NAM actually now has 3 inches in northern Wake after nothing at all before

[WinstonSalemArlington]

[digital snow]

Watching these things for 25 years has taught me that NC snowstorms that ride the line end up being a burst of snow and  then a sleet fest in Durham. I hope we have an over performer and we all get crushed. Typical spots west to the Triad and north towards VA will do better. I am not complaining, we are starved and I love it. Give me that crunchy stuff. Radar looks juicy!

[HWY316wx]

20 minutes ago, suzook said:

Sitting at 33 degrees, was supposed to be at 28. Getting concerned about the temps. 

What is your wetbulb?

 

[Brick Tamland]

1 minute ago, StantonParkHoya said:

3k NAM actually now has almost 4 inches in northern Wake after nothing at all before

Has downtown Raleigh right at the cutoff line for snow and 3 inches for me.

[USCG RS]

48 minutes ago, lilj4425 said:

Whoever keeps putting I-85 from Google Maps into these damn weather models needs to stop. And to think I live literally two miles south of I-85 also. I’m soo screwed.  

If the mid levels continue to warm up... I want the lower levels to as well. Id rather rain than ice.

[wake4est]

Check out the freezing rain in Central North Carolina on the NAM. Sorry, unable to post the pic right now.

[SnowGoose69]

Well if the NAM is right this is the biggest bust ever for ATL.  Rain by 14Z 

[BooneWX]

What I keep seeing consistently in the models is that there is going to be some sort of narrow corridor that’s typical of a southern slider that’s going to over perform greatly. Seems like there’s two camps:

 

1. Forest City to just west of Salisbury

2. @wncsnowto Statesvegas and High Point 

[StantonParkHoya]

Really like the fact that it’s going to be 18-22 degrees tonight with clouds rolling in right at day break

[wncsnow]

Local Mets increasing totals now 

[snowmaker13]

1 minute ago, wncsnow said:

Local Mets increasing totals now 

got a map please?