wncsnow Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 HRRR is coming in warmer mid levels with the sleet line about 50 miles north of 18Z so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Snow totals will be lower in WNC this run. Less moisture and warm nose more pronounced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Sisk Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: Snow totals will be lower in WNC this run. Less moisture and warm nose more pronounced. It’s like watching a yo-yo…up and down, up and down. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 I actually tend to agree most with GSP NWS on this event. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Amazing how these models know exactly where 85 is 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Just now, BooneWX said: Amazing how these models know exactly where 85 is The thermals were mostly ok for us. Little bit less precipitation but still a solid look. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 3 minutes ago, wncsnow said: The thermals were mostly ok for us. Little bit less precipitation but still a solid look. SW Mountains still get raked. Drops 5" here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bevo Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 I've already started drinking...even if that's bad, I don't care. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 The HRRR is initializing temps 4-5 degrees too high atm. Not sure that really matters because we’re talking about mid level warmth but obviously makes me cautious of over valuing warmer depictions. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 6 minutes ago, BooneWX said: Amazing how these models know exactly where 85 is Whoever keeps putting I-85 from Google Maps into these damn weather models needs to stop. And to think I live literally two miles south of I-85 also. I’m soo screwed. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 34 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: 18z Euro verifying best by a wide margin on precip coverage right now. RGEM is not bad but its too dry, 12/3KM NAM horrific. They were both dry in Shreveport and most of NRN LA and WRN MS/SE AR. Even the high res 12Z GFS is okay as is the regular GFS. Good. The NAM has been ugly today. The Euro has consistently been showing a good storm here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 4 minutes ago, strongwxnc said: SW Mountains still get raked. Drops 5" here. It was close but temps ok here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 6 minutes ago, Bevo said: I've already started drinking...even if that's bad, I don't care. Started a few hours ago. Let's go! 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 6 minutes ago, Bevo said: I've already started drinking...even if that's bad, I don't care. It's okay, gotta watch for cavities but throwing back a few apple juices with the boys never hurt anyone 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Qpf is wow in central NC. Hrrrrrrrr has it over 0.5”. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 I don't really understand those snowfall outputs in North GA from model sites that are supposed to be taking sleet out, yet the majority of that adds up while it's showing sleet? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 7 minutes ago, wake4est said: Qpf is wow in central NC. Hrrrrrrrr has it over 0.5”. Yeah, this is the best run yet. Has me with 4 inches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 14 minutes ago, lilj4425 said: Whoever keeps putting I-85 from Google Maps into these damn weather models needs to stop. And to think I live literally two miles south of I-85 also. I’m soo screwed. For NC at least, is it not because 85 runs atop a ridge line that was the old postal route and was roughly demarcation of a step up? I thought it had some elevation deal at play? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Just now, Brick Tamland said: Yeah, this is the best run yet. Has me with 4 inches. Check out RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 2 minutes ago, wake4est said: Check out RGEM I saw the last run at 18Z. HRRR looks very similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 4 minutes ago, wake4est said: Check out RGEM Last run of the Euro also has me at 4 inches. The NAM seems to be by itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 I’ve seen Miller B’s less messy than this storm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 21z SREF came in with more moisture. Solid 3-5" for that narrow band that's been showing up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 NAM slightly colder again but still more.amped than others Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 NAM snow totals are still super ugly. I wonder what NWS will say Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kimmie Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 22 minutes ago, lilj4425 said: Whoever keeps putting I-85 from Google Maps into these damn weather models needs to stop. And to think I live literally two miles south of I-85 also. I’m soo screwed. You and me both, lol! We should have moved to Greer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 Every model has north of 40 snowing for 9 straight hours. Those must be some pretty putrid rates to only render 2-3 inches. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 10 Share Posted January 10 New NAM switches from snow to sleet back to snow for WNC mountains and northern foothills 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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