Brick Tamland Posted Thursday at 07:43 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:43 PM URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Raleigh NC 239 PM EST Thu Jan 9 2025 NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>077-083>086-101000- /O.UPG.KRAH.WS.A.0001.250110T1800Z-250111T1500Z/ /O.NEW.KRAH.WS.W.0001.250110T1800Z-250111T1500Z/ Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance- Orange-Durham-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-Davidson-Randolph-Chatham- Wake-Johnston-Wilson-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Harnett-Anson- Richmond-Scotland-Hoke- Including the cities of Kittrell, Cary, Hillsborough, Creedmoor, Nashville, Archdale, Southern Pines, Aberdeen, Laurinburg, Wilson, Camp Mackall, Wagram, Asheboro, Durham, High Point, Carrboro, Raeford, Henderson, Norlina, Rockingham, Apex, Siler City, Pittsboro, Rougemont, Chapel Hill, Franklinton, Lexington, Dunn, Wadesboro, Albemarle, Polkton, Knightdale, Buies Creek, Rocky Mount, Spring Hope, Raleigh, Troy, Winston-Salem, Greensboro, Princeville, Sanford, Roxboro, Carthage, Oxford, Mebane, Graham, Tarboro, Selma, Clayton, Burlington, Scotland Neck, Lillington, Louisburg, Thomasville, Wake Forest, Pinehurst, Erwin, Warrenton, Enfield, Angier, Smithfield, Roanoke Rapids, and Ellerbe 239 PM EST Thu Jan 9 2025 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 10 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations up to three inches and ice accumulations up to two tenths of an inch. Highest snow accumulations are expected along the Virginia border. * WHERE...Most of central North Carolina. * WHEN...From 1 PM Friday to 10 AM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Friday evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. Persons should delay all travel if possible. If travel is absolutely necessary, drive with extreme caution and be prepared for sudden changes in visibility. Make sure your car is winterized and in good working order. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormwatcherJ Posted Thursday at 07:43 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:43 PM Looks like Raleigh NWS has gone winter storm warning now 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Thursday at 07:44 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:44 PM We will see soon if the NAM budges towards the HRRR and others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Thursday at 07:46 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:46 PM 2 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: We will see soon if the NAM budges towards the HRRR and others. It's surface depiction is already off at initialization Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted Thursday at 07:48 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:48 PM What still bugs me is RAH still calling for S or SW winds during the storm. That screams to me WAA which I thibk will cut down snow totals. Hope I'm wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted Thursday at 07:50 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:50 PM Is this thing still overachieving on the north and west side based on reports? Been busy as heck at work today and haven’t been able to overly look. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WX FAN Posted Thursday at 07:50 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:50 PM The weather service keeps changing the forecast. Now instead of snow, north Alabama is looking at mostly sleet. I’m at a loss to understand the sudden change. How long until the b word gets used? Or am I wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted Thursday at 07:52 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:52 PM Just now, Buddy1987 said: Is this thing still overachieving on the north and west side based on reports? Been busy as heck at work today and haven’t been able to overly look. Massively overperforming, however, the NWS has just cancelled all watches and warnings within a 1 mile radius around Buddy1987's house. So go back to work, no fun for you. 1 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted Thursday at 07:55 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:55 PM Hrrr showing just above freezing for my area for most of the storm, which should cut most of the zr down. Hopefully that happens. I'm ok with wet snow or sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted Thursday at 07:57 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:57 PM After seeing the 12Z NAM verifying 4F too warm at DFW this morning, knowing this would likely be biggest ATL area winter storm since 2014, and knowing I had a place to stay, the weenie in me decided to come to ATL area and take a chance it won’t be mainly a damaging major icestorm where I’ll be. Hoping mainly snow and sleet. I’ll be in a more favorable spot thermalwise than downtown as I’ll be in N Gwinnett County between Mall of GA and Lawrenceville (~40 miles NE of ATL itself). I stopped for a break but wanted to note the many power trucks on I-16 heading W toward the winter storm warned area. Also, I saw numerous trees down on the sides through the 50 miles between Metter and Dublin resulting from Hurricane Helene. Never seen anything like it before! 6 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UpStateCAD Posted Thursday at 07:57 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:57 PM what's the latest RGEM showing? Chris Justice likes that model for GSP area. HRRR sure has been on to some nice runs as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Thursday at 08:02 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:02 PM HRRR was first to the uptrend in 2022. It absolutely nailed the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted Thursday at 08:02 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:02 PM 4 minutes ago, GaWx said: After seeing the 12Z NAM verifying 4F too warm at DFW this morning, knowing this would likely be biggest ATL area winter storm since 2014, and knowing I had a place to stay, the weenie in me come to ATL area and take a chance it won’t be mainly a damaging major icestorm where I’ll be. Hoping mainly snow and sleet. I’ll be in a more favorable spot thermalwise than downtown as I’ll be in N Gwinnett County between Mall of GA and Lawrenceville (~40 miles NE of ATL itself). I stopped for a break but wanted to note the many power trucks on I-16 heading W toward the winter storm warned area. Also, I saw numerous trees down on the sides through the 50 miles between Metter and Dublin resulting from Hurricane Helene. Never seen anything like it before! Be safe! Well I just hit 50 in senoia, with a high forecast of 44, so anything is possible with the temp variations. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted Thursday at 08:02 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:02 PM lol NAM drops an inch of freezing rain in northern Alabama and like zero snow south of Tennessee Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Thursday at 08:03 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:03 PM NAM shows more snow for WNC so it is improved a little 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Thursday at 08:04 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:04 PM Hi Res NAM less amped too 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted Thursday at 08:05 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:05 PM Looks like the nam laid of the gummies this run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Thursday at 08:06 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:06 PM It's still on an island but it moved towards the other solutions 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Thursday at 08:06 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:06 PM NAM is still warmer than all the others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted Thursday at 08:06 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:06 PM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UpStateCAD Posted Thursday at 08:07 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:07 PM Take a look at GSP’s Forecast discussion. Sounds like they are not quite sure what to expect either. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted Thursday at 08:07 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:07 PM 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: It's still on an island but it moved towards the other solutions Trends matter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Thursday at 08:07 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:07 PM Just now, UpStateCAD said: Take a look at GSP’s Forecast discussion. Sounds like they are not quite sure what to expect either. Haven't updated since issuing the WSW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted Thursday at 08:08 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:08 PM 8 minutes ago, UpStateCAD said: what's the latest RGEM showing? Chris Justice likes that model for GSP area. HRRR sure has been on to some nice runs as well. 12z is the last one I see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted Thursday at 08:08 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:08 PM 2 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: Looks like the nam laid of the gummies this run I think it was shrooms 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted Thursday at 08:10 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:10 PM 2 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: Trends matter As noted by @msuwx earlier. If the NAM keeps initializing poorly as it has all day it still has time to baby step back to reality, which I think we will continue to see. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted Thursday at 08:11 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:11 PM 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted Thursday at 08:12 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 08:12 PM 28 minutes ago, stormwatcherJ said: Looks like Raleigh NWS has gone winter storm warning now Unfortunately it seems weighted to the ice for here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted Thursday at 08:14 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:14 PM 5 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said: I think it was shrooms Lol...I saw it parked at the dispensary in cherokee the other day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WX FAN Posted Thursday at 08:15 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:15 PM 3 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: The weather service keeps changing the forecast. Now instead of snow, north Alabama is looking at mostly sleet. I’m at a loss to understand the sudden change. How long until the b word gets used? Or am I wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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