stormwatcherJ Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Looks like Raleigh NWS has gone winter storm warning now 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 We will see soon if the NAM budges towards the HRRR and others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 2 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: We will see soon if the NAM budges towards the HRRR and others. It's surface depiction is already off at initialization Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 What still bugs me is RAH still calling for S or SW winds during the storm. That screams to me WAA which I thibk will cut down snow totals. Hope I'm wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Is this thing still overachieving on the north and west side based on reports? Been busy as heck at work today and haven’t been able to overly look. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WX FAN Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 The weather service keeps changing the forecast. Now instead of snow, north Alabama is looking at mostly sleet. I’m at a loss to understand the sudden change. How long until the b word gets used? Or am I wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Just now, Buddy1987 said: Is this thing still overachieving on the north and west side based on reports? Been busy as heck at work today and haven’t been able to overly look. Massively overperforming, however, the NWS has just cancelled all watches and warnings within a 1 mile radius around Buddy1987's house. So go back to work, no fun for you. 1 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Hrrr showing just above freezing for my area for most of the storm, which should cut most of the zr down. Hopefully that happens. I'm ok with wet snow or sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 After seeing the 12Z NAM verifying 4F too warm at DFW this morning, knowing this would likely be biggest ATL area winter storm since 2014, and knowing I had a place to stay, the weenie in me decided to come to ATL area and take a chance it won’t be mainly a damaging major icestorm where I’ll be. Hoping mainly snow and sleet. I’ll be in a more favorable spot thermalwise than downtown as I’ll be in N Gwinnett County between Mall of GA and Lawrenceville (~40 miles NE of ATL itself). I stopped for a break but wanted to note the many power trucks on I-16 heading W toward the winter storm warned area. Also, I saw numerous trees down on the sides through the 50 miles between Metter and Dublin resulting from Hurricane Helene. Never seen anything like it before! 6 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UpStateCAD Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 what's the latest RGEM showing? Chris Justice likes that model for GSP area. HRRR sure has been on to some nice runs as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 HRRR was first to the uptrend in 2022. It absolutely nailed the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 4 minutes ago, GaWx said: After seeing the 12Z NAM verifying 4F too warm at DFW this morning, knowing this would likely be biggest ATL area winter storm since 2014, and knowing I had a place to stay, the weenie in me come to ATL area and take a chance it won’t be mainly a damaging major icestorm where I’ll be. Hoping mainly snow and sleet. I’ll be in a more favorable spot thermalwise than downtown as I’ll be in N Gwinnett County between Mall of GA and Lawrenceville (~40 miles NE of ATL itself). I stopped for a break but wanted to note the many power trucks on I-16 heading W toward the winter storm warned area. Also, I saw numerous trees down on the sides through the 50 miles between Metter and Dublin resulting from Hurricane Helene. Never seen anything like it before! Be safe! Well I just hit 50 in senoia, with a high forecast of 44, so anything is possible with the temp variations. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 lol NAM drops an inch of freezing rain in northern Alabama and like zero snow south of Tennessee Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 NAM shows more snow for WNC so it is improved a little 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Hi Res NAM less amped too 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Looks like the nam laid of the gummies this run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 It's still on an island but it moved towards the other solutions 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 NAM is still warmer than all the others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UpStateCAD Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Take a look at GSP’s Forecast discussion. Sounds like they are not quite sure what to expect either. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: It's still on an island but it moved towards the other solutions Trends matter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 Just now, UpStateCAD said: Take a look at GSP’s Forecast discussion. Sounds like they are not quite sure what to expect either. Haven't updated since issuing the WSW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 8 minutes ago, UpStateCAD said: what's the latest RGEM showing? Chris Justice likes that model for GSP area. HRRR sure has been on to some nice runs as well. 12z is the last one I see. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 2 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: Looks like the nam laid of the gummies this run I think it was shrooms 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 2 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: Trends matter As noted by @msuwx earlier. If the NAM keeps initializing poorly as it has all day it still has time to baby step back to reality, which I think we will continue to see. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 9 Author Share Posted January 9 28 minutes ago, stormwatcherJ said: Looks like Raleigh NWS has gone winter storm warning now Unfortunately it seems weighted to the ice for here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 5 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said: I think it was shrooms Lol...I saw it parked at the dispensary in cherokee the other day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WX FAN Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 3 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: The weather service keeps changing the forecast. Now instead of snow, north Alabama is looking at mostly sleet. I’m at a loss to understand the sudden change. How long until the b word gets used? Or am I wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 7 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Haven't updated since issuing the WSW Refresh your browser. They've updated. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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