BornAgain13 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 In other news, just for fun for some, especially @Buddy1987, Day 11-12 delivers a significant Snow Storm to the Mid Atlantic 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 8 Author Share Posted January 8 RAH held the line at 1:16pm: 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RamblinRed Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Either the Euro or UK would be pretty good for me. UK would give me 2-3" while the Euro would be 4+. Would be thrilled with either given 6 years of no snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 2 hours ago, GaWx said: 12Z GFS sleet for AL/GA/SC: wide area and looks rather impressive, Tony, with possibly ~0.5” at your abode, about the most I’ve seen yet for you and many of these areas on any model’s run (note the 0.7 at Athens): @dsaur Aren’t you just north of the Experiment station? But as you always say with sleet, the more worrisome ZR is usually lurking though this is not high in your area…maybe 0.10”: Sorry, just checking in. Yep, a few miles nw. Some of the latest models had me mostly sleet, I saw an 850 at 2, so it's real borderline, but it usually is unless it's snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 2 minutes ago, dsaur said: Sorry, just checking in. Yep, a few miles nw. Some of the latest models had me mostly sleet, I saw an 850 at 2, so it's real borderline, but it usually is unless it's snow. Edit: It worries me to see Goofy with the low so much into Ga. That says rain to wash all the front loaded goodies away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 18z HRRR looks sooo good ... But I know it will shear out the further it moves east but man that's a pretty look at HR 38 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Impressive national cold this afternoon 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 They’re out brining the roads around my neighborhood 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmaker13 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Can't even squeak out a WSW. Likely going to be just a WWA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 11 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: 18z HRRR looks sooo good ... But I know it will shear out the further it moves east but man that's a pretty look at HR 38 At 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 The major indices are all combining to help make this SE winter storm and cold happen: PNA over +1 leading up to and during storm AO had gone to below -3.5 and still ~-2 during storm NAO period of sub -1 leading up to and during storm MJO cold supporting weak to moderate left side leading up to and during storm The last time in met. winter with this strong a combination of +PNA/-AO/-NAO along with left side MJO was way back on 2/7/10! Before that, it was way back in Jan of 1985 (several days: 4,5,7, 17). Before that was 1/15/1977. So, cherish this very rare combo that has occurred only about once every other decade or so. Each of these three periods was associated with very memorable SE wintry events including deep SE following within a few days: -2/7/10: preceded a major SE snowstorm by 5-6 days (2/12-13/10) with 8” at Columbia for example and NW FL snows of 1” on 2/12 and 0.5” on 2/14 -1/17/85: preceded by just 3-4 days either the coldest or 2nd coldest lows on record (back to late 1800s) in much of SE US -1/15/77: preceded extreme cold in SE US by 2-4 days, which included snow in many areas including much of FL with light accumulations central FL and flurries way down to Homestead and the Bahamas! -1/7/24: ? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 13 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: 18z HRRR looks sooo good ... But I know it will shear out the further it moves east but man that's a pretty look at HR 38 Virga virga virga 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 1 minute ago, Brick Tamland said: At 48 Weenie phase 1 is about commence tonight. 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 WRAL not impressed lol. 0-1” south of 85. 1-2” north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 2 minutes ago, GaWx said: The major indices are all combining to help make this SE winter storm happen: PNA over +1 leading up to and during storm AO had gone to below -3.5 and still ~-2 during storm NAO period of sub -1 leading up to and during storm MJO cold supporting weak to moderate left side leading up to and during storm The last time in met. winter with this strong a combination of +PNA/-AO/-NAO along with left side MJO was way back on 2/7/10! Before that, it was way back in Jan of 1985 (several days: 4,5,7, 17). Before that was 1/15/1977. So, cherish this very rare combo that has occurred only about once every other decade or so. Each of these three periods was associated with very memorable wintry events following within a few days: -2/7/10: preceded a major SE snowstorm by 5-6 days (2/12-13/10) with 8” at Columbia for example and NW FL snows of 1” on 2/12 and 0.5” on 2/14 -1/17/85: preceded by just 3-4 days either the coldest or 2nd coldest lows on record (back to late 1800s) in much of SE US 1/15/77: preceded extreme cold in SE US by 2-4 days, which included snow in many areas including much of FL (light accumulations central FL and flurries way down to Homestead and the Bahamas! -1/7/24: ? Just like 18-19 the Nino never came but long range models kept trying to bring it. Those PNA ensembles just 3-5 days ago unanimously had it going to -1 now they are mostly positive again 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 5 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: WRAL not impressed lol. 0-1” south of 85. 1-2” north Good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 8 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: WRAL not impressed lol. 0-1” south of 85. 1-2” north They never are. All the models could be showing a foot of snow and they wouldn't forecast it until 24 hours out at least. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IceQueen706 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 2 hours ago, buckeyefan1 said: Looks like @franklin NCwx is in the sweet spot according to GSP My area, too...Rabun County! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 WSW for many counties: https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NCZ053&warncounty=NCC021&firewxzone=NCZ053&local_place1=2 Miles E Enka NC&product1=Winter+Storm+Watch&lat=35.5637&lon=-82.6538 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 6 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: They never are. All the models could be showing a foot of snow and they wouldn't forecast it until 24 hours out at least. I’d rather them be on the low end forecast wise. Otherwise you’re gonna have another Chris Justus like lashing on social media again. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Winter storm watch hoisted…a good little tease but maybe a glimmer of optimism? I was expecting we’d skip the watch stage and go straight into an advisory. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Just now, lilj4425 said: I’d rather them be on the low end forecast wise. Otherwise you’re gonna have another Chris Justus like lashing on social media again. They always do it and then adjust higher at the last minute if needed. They would rather bust over than under ever since the infamous storm in December 2000 where Greg Fishel ended up in the fountain because they forecasted a huge storm that ended up being nothing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 NAM looks juicy at 36. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Through 30 at least NAM looks like it won't be as N with precip into AL/GA this run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Tenn is getting an absolute thumping this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 12 minutes ago, DAWGNKITTEN said: My area, too...Rabun County! Yasssss!! I didn’t realize that is where you are I’m now finally under a WSW 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Sisk Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Winter Storm Watch now in for the Upstate of SC Winter Storm Watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 8 Share Posted January 8 Well, well… 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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