olafminesaw Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Does anyone have the NBM trends for precip over the past few models cycles? My sense is models trended wetter generally through 6z until the 12z models generally took a step back in terms of QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QC_Halo Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 How long has it been since the last major board meltdown? Has to have been years at this point. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 12z Euro AI: pretty much the exact same thing it’s been showing for a million runs now 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 minute ago, QC_Halo said: How long has it been since the last major board meltdown? Has to have been years at this point. Pretty sure we've been melting down every day since like 2018. 5 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QC_Halo Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Just now, wake4est said: Pretty sure we've been melting down every day since like 2018. I’m talking about a highly anticipated system, that becomes a bust. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KChuck Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 hour ago, olafminesaw said: Will be nice to have instant stickage with highs in the mid/upper 30s and lows in the teens leading up to the storm I was surprised in Kville how quick the secondary roads got coated. Wasn't thinking about it prior so it took me by a bit by surprise until I thought about it for a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KChuck Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 hour ago, BooneWX said: EPS: juicer, improved. But, a tick north for those on the edge. I thought that we all are on the edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 All except a very few ensemble members, both EPS and GEFS have accumulating snow here in Atlanta, consensus is 2-4". 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 4 minutes ago, KChuck said: I thought that we all are on the edge. Not me. I’m over 100 miles away from the good stuff! I can relax because there’s nothing to worry about since there’s virtually no chance of anything significant nearby. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Finally catching up on the posts and the model runs.... Been real busy today..... Everything is looking great so far. Love the trends! Still going in the right direction! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KChuck Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 55 minutes ago, oconeexman said: I'm here Lil turd! Trying to temper expectations..liking a solid 2-4 then sleet to pound it down! I was thinking that with the low dew points and cold temperatures that we'd be starting off with fluffy snow at better than 10:1 ratios then watch them collapse as the mixed precip and rain comes in, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 minute ago, KChuck said: I was thinking that with the low dew points and cold temperatures that we'd be starting off with fluffy snow at better than 10:1 ratios then watch them collapse as the mixed precip and rain comes in, no? That depends much more on colder 850s than it does on surface dewpoints. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KChuck Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 14 minutes ago, QC_Halo said: I’m talking about a highly anticipated system, that becomes a bust. And this is different from what lately??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subliminal87 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Just curious if someone could help out my anxiety. I have a flight from Harrisburg pa to Charlotte then to Phoenix. I feel like I might be ok out of Harrisburg but what about Charlotte on Saturday? I think I’m going to be screwed but trying to stay positive lol. oooor spend more and fly out Saturday morning out of Philly for a direct flight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 4 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Finally catching up on the posts and the model runs.... Been real busy today..... Everything is looking great so far. Love the trends! Still going in the right direction! You’re in a great spot 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaPilot Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Im wishcasting about an .5-1 inch of pretty white stuff with some sleet and then little or no Ice. Anything at this point. Looks like down here in Peachtree City we are going to be right on the edge. Been a while here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 I’m talking about a highly anticipated system, that becomes a bust.I’m so jaded I feel like every system is gonna be a bust. Until somethings fallen and I’ve got radar to prove it it’s all digital eye candy! . 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 27 minutes ago, BooneWX said: 12z Euro AI: pretty much the exact same thing it’s been showing for a million runs now Guys in the MA forum saying it has performed very well. Would be a nice hit if that’s the case for many here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Just now, Buddy1987 said: Guys in the MA forum saying it has performed very well. Would be a nice hit if that’s the case for many here. It’s outperformed the GFS and standard Euro in testing 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 32 minutes ago, QC_Halo said: I’m talking about a highly anticipated system, that becomes a bust. 2017? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 I'm rooting for you guys. I'm a little worried about the lack of really cold air... But it's a good setup especially for WNC and along I-85. Like usual it's gonna be feast or famine probably. if you're in CLT I fear it'll be nailbiter as it looks now. 6 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 15 minutes ago, BooneWX said: It’s outperformed the GFS and standard Euro in testing That’s pretty wild! I honestly didnt even know they were releasing it as soon as they have. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Euro was great with the DC-Baltimore Sunday/Monday storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 2 minutes ago, burgertime said: I'm rooting for you guys. I'm a little worried about the lack of really cold air... But it's a good setup especially for WNC and along I-85. Like usual it's gonna be feast or famine probably. if you're in CLT I fear it'll be nailbiter as it looks now. Isn’t it always like that? It’s how we roll in the south 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 32 minutes ago, KChuck said: I was thinking that with the low dew points and cold temperatures that we'd be starting off with fluffy snow at better than 10:1 ratios then watch them collapse as the mixed precip and rain comes in, no? Id like to think imby there won't be a lot of mixing issues during the last half but todays trends have me thinking it def will. Still time to reverse the trend and we got happy hour Nam this afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 minute ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: Euro was great with the DC-Baltimore Sunday/Monday storm Euro or Euro AI? I thought the regular Euro was a tad too far south originally 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Don’t have snow maps for Euro Ai but SLP track about 20 miles off Morehead City, 546 line in Johnston Co. Probably a snow to sleet to snow set up for RDU. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GunBlade Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 2 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said: Isn’t it always like that? It’s how we roll in the south A friend of mine used to live on the 50th floor of the Vue in downtown Charlotte. He went out on his balcony one morning and it was snowing. When he went downstairs to walk to work it was raining....That is what we are working with nearly every storm in this area 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 And I know this won’t make many feel better but Sunday’s storm in the MA jumped north at this lead time, only to settle further south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now