January 10/11 Winter Storm Potential - May the Odds be Ever in our Favor

[tarheelwx]

This one is setting up just like a classic NC winter storm.  All precip types - not a huge dump but a solid moderate storm.  Hoping precip picks up a bit.

TW

[snowinnc]

26 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said:

I saw Burger the other day! Doesn’t he live in the Netherlands now?

Yes he does! I remember when I first joined the board and had questions he was always the first person to answer and was super helpful. Bummer about what happened to Cold Rain. I liked him. 

[85snowline]

1 hour ago, sarcean said:

 

Not disputing RDU.

Whether by city population, 482k (Raleigh) vs 911k (Charlotte) or metro (2.3 metro Raleigh vs 3.4 million), Charlotte is clearly bigger. Raleigh has many competiting cities with Cary, Durham, Chapel Hill, etc but Charlotte is much bigger.

Hope for all us to score on snow.

Concord with 110,000 people is pretty competitive with Lilly now. Rock Hill has Winthrop University so Charlotte is very competitive with the cities you mention around Raleigh. And then there's LKN which is a monster on its own.... Good call though!! 

[olafminesaw]

Anyone look back fondly on the old NCEP maps? They've changed a bit, but not much!

[UnionCountyNCWX]

1 hour ago, franklin NCwx said:

He then became ashe weather 

That's incorrect. As I was the only ashe county poster that I'm aware of until I moved back down to the Charlotte area and changed my name.

 

anyways. Just got back from chasing snow in Tennessee. Let's reel her in.

[AppalachianWedge]

Call me crazy, but I get excited when we get into the SREF Plumes range.

Sent from my Pixel 9 Pro XL using Tapatalk

[QC_Halo]

57 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

I miss hearing from some of the longtime posters. Robert (foothillswx) packbacker, griteater, Lookout, snojoe bigfrosty, coldrain, even widremann. 

Long live @WidreMann

[btownheel]

This one is setting up just like a classic NC winter storm.  All precip types - not a huge dump but a solid moderate storm.  Hoping precip picks up a bit.
TW

Think that’s why everyone’s excited. No
one trusts a real modeled big dog, we’re all cynical to the core. But a 4-6 inches of concrete after the sleet and zr finishes that has I-85 as the battle line? THAT all of us central NC folks know (at least pre 2020) like a family member and can trust a bit.


.

[Brick Tamland]

1 minute ago, btownheel said:

Think that’s why everyone’s excited. No
one trusts a real modeled big dog, we’re all cynical to the core. But a 4-6 inches of concrete after the sleet and zr finishes that has I-85 as the battle line? THAT all of us central NC folks know (at least pre 2020) like a family member and can trust a bit.


.

Yeah that's an OG storm from back in the day for central NC.

[StantonParkHoya]

6 minutes ago, AppalachianWedge said:

Call me crazy, but I get excited when we get into the SREF Plumes range.

Sent from my Pixel 9 Pro XL using Tapatalk
 

The SREFs don’t care about you though. Rule #1. They will kill you and roll you in a ditch. Rip your heart out, then laugh about it.

[lilj4425]

Just now, StantonParkHoya said:

The SREFs don’t care about you though. Rule #1. They will kill you and roll you in a ditch. Rip your heart out, then laugh about it.

So that’s why GSP likes using them soo much.  And whatever happened to @isohume?

[snowmaker13]

Uh oh. NAM isn't as excited on the 0z run. 

[SunAndRainbowsNC]

2 minutes ago, snowmaker13 said:

Uh oh. NAM isn't as excited on the 0z run. 

It looks fine to me out to 42 hours or so. 

[franklin NCwx]

3 minutes ago, snowmaker13 said:

Uh oh. NAM isn't as excited on the 0z run. 

It's only out to hr 48. It's about to phase

[snowmaker13]

Just now, franklin NCwx said:

It's only out to hr 48. It's about to phase

Your right. I'll sit back and watch. haha

[BornAgain13]

NS digging down good on the NAM

[Brick Tamland]

Here we go.

 

[franklin NCwx]

12 minutes ago, snowmaker13 said:

Your right. I'll sit back and watch. haha

It's going to be amped!

[Brick Tamland]

Maybe I am wrong, but the precip field looks bigger to me.

[franklin NCwx]

This might cut!

[SunAndRainbowsNC]

1 minute ago, franklin NCwx said:

It's going to be amped!

But colder overall it appears. I could be wrong though.

[franklin NCwx]

1 minute ago, SunAndRainbowsNC said:

But colder overall it appears. I could be wrong though.

Maybe to start.  But that NS is diving in very far west!

[Brick Tamland]

End of the NAM run.

[wncsnow]

I hate to even bring this up but this is the type of system to beware of gulf coast convection. Many storms have had moisture transport screwed by that here. 

[SunAndRainbowsNC]

1 minute ago, franklin NCwx said:

Maybe to start.  But that NS is diving in very far west!

High pressure to its NE. Nowhere to go but due east. It is also colder.

[Upstate Tiger]

1 minute ago, Brick Tamland said:

End of the NAM run.

Looks good to me

[NorthHillsWx]

NAM was ready to bring the goods! Amped up masterpiece. Cold and 1032 where it needs to be. HOLDDDDDD

[weatherfide]

There is a stout warm nose around 800 mb. The presence of this layer, if true, will ruin snow chances in many places in Georgia.

[Brick Tamland]

Just now, NorthHillsWx said:

NAM was ready to bring the goods! Amped up masterpiece. Cold and 1032 where it needs to be. HOLDDDDDD

Yeah, it looked juicy and about ready to go boom.

[suzook]

5 minutes ago, weatherfide said:

There is a stout warm nose around 800 mb. The presence of this layer, if true, will ruin snow chances in many places in Georgia.

Agree