Allsnow Posted Tuesday at 07:26 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:26 PM 1 minute ago, jm1220 said: We’re tracking 1-3” at worst at this point in January. It could turn around but when the pattern’s as boring as watching grass grow-not much else to talk about. Anyone have any details on the one EPS member out of 50 that gives us more than the 1-3”? 7 of the members give us more then 1-3 of snow only one of those 7 is a huge hit 12+ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted Tuesday at 07:31 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:31 PM I'm going to alert my co workersWhat do you do?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted Tuesday at 07:32 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:32 PM We’re tracking 1-3” at worst at this point in January. It could turn around but when the pattern’s as boring as watching grass grow-not much else to talk about. Anyone have any details on the one EPS member out of 50 that gives us more than the 1-3”? Eh, it’s better than being on fentanyl. . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted Tuesday at 07:32 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:32 PM Just now, North and West said: What do you do? . Lock people up 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted Tuesday at 07:38 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:38 PM This is real from the NWS and not a joke. Told them I thought the 40" part in the graphic was irresponsible. The text in the post was fine... "We've been getting a lot of questions about the potential weekend winter storm. To answer those questions, there is about a 50-60% chance of snow. That's all we know. We do NOT know how much snow we'll be getting yet. The storm is still 4 days away, and a lot can change. Could we get significant amounts? Sure, but there's still a chance we end up getting insignificant amounts. Greatest threat is Friday night and Saturday morning. Keep an eye on the forecast in the coming days for more information!" https://www.facebook.com/NWSMountHolly/posts/pfbid0zJeNRScVzhfRH1f6CD46octVXdtw865K7EQpwCF7S3PTLumC4wxag5sC7xpMia3el 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted Tuesday at 07:46 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:46 PM How much for Philly? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted Tuesday at 07:48 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:48 PM 1 minute ago, psv88 said: How much for Philly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted Tuesday at 07:54 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:54 PM 5 minutes ago, Parsley said: Remember the days when you would start off the storm OBS before us and we could all enjoy massive snowstorms? Feels like decades ago 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted Tuesday at 07:54 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:54 PM @SnowGoose69 can you comment in here what you said about the NAVGEM. You may get some weinies but so be it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdj5211 Posted Tuesday at 07:57 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:57 PM Via SnowGoose - I got a bunch of texts about the NAVGEM. It still does usually end up more progressive than other models. I think that was just an off run but its interesting, if it continues to be that amped up I've seen cases where that ends up being an indicator other models move north or west 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted Tuesday at 07:59 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:59 PM 45 minutes ago, HeadInTheClouds said: I'm talking more about the general capitol district. Places like Latham, Colonie, Clifton Park, Saratoga are nice places to live. Got married in Saratoga. Another decent gem. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted Tuesday at 08:03 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:03 PM 22 minutes ago, RU848789 said: This is real from the NWS and not a joke. Told them I thought the 40" part in the graphic was irresponsible. The text in the post was fine... "We've been getting a lot of questions about the potential weekend winter storm. To answer those questions, there is about a 50-60% chance of snow. That's all we know. We do NOT know how much snow we'll be getting yet. The storm is still 4 days away, and a lot can change. Could we get significant amounts? Sure, but there's still a chance we end up getting insignificant amounts. Greatest threat is Friday night and Saturday morning. Keep an eye on the forecast in the coming days for more information!" https://www.facebook.com/NWSMountHolly/posts/pfbid0zJeNRScVzhfRH1f6CD46octVXdtw865K7EQpwCF7S3PTLumC4wxag5sC7xpMia3el Odd 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted Tuesday at 08:03 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:03 PM 5 minutes ago, psv88 said: Remember the days when you would start off the storm OBS before us and we could all enjoy massive snowstorms? Feels like decades ago Yup. Now it's years of skirts, whiffs and disinclusions. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EWR757 Posted Tuesday at 08:06 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:06 PM 23 minutes ago, RU848789 said: This is real from the NWS and not a joke. Told them I thought the 40" part in the graphic was irresponsible. The text in the post was fine... "We've been getting a lot of questions about the potential weekend winter storm. To answer those questions, there is about a 50-60% chance of snow. That's all we know. We do NOT know how much snow we'll be getting yet. The storm is still 4 days away, and a lot can change. Could we get significant amounts? Sure, but there's still a chance we end up getting insignificant amounts. Greatest threat is Friday night and Saturday morning. Keep an eye on the forecast in the coming days for more information!" https://www.facebook.com/NWSMountHolly/posts/pfbid0zJeNRScVzhfRH1f6CD46octVXdtw865K7EQpwCF7S3PTLumC4wxag5sC7xpMia3el This is pathetic. I live in the Mt. Holly CWA. The GFS shows 1.7 inches of snow, the Graphcast 1.5 inches of snow and the ECMWF looks fairly similar to those two. There is a model consensus but the NWS posts (on social media), they don't know? Nothing favors a significant snow event at this point, not even the long-wave pattern. Hopefully the same meteorologist isn't writing TAFs. Regarding the upstate NY thing, I went to school at SUNYA. Wonderful meteorology school back in the day, but once I graduated I went south on I-87 and never looked back. There are some nice places in upstate New York, and the Hudson Valley in my opinion is magic and unique in the world. But, economic opportunities are few and far between and there is a lot of sadness. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted Tuesday at 08:25 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:25 PM 30 minutes ago, psv88 said: Remember the days when you would start off the storm OBS before us and we could all enjoy massive snowstorms? Feels like decades ago I pinned Walt’s 1/6 storm thread, so I clearly cursed that one. Hopefully @Rjaycan reel this in. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted Tuesday at 08:32 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:32 PM 1 hour ago, allgame830 said: Oh no now we grasping for straws! JMA got Feb 2006 right. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted Tuesday at 08:39 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:39 PM 3 hours ago, bluewave said: Yeah, hard to believe we got such an amazing 24 day stretch of winter following a December than was warmer than most Novembers. Maximum 24-Day Total Snowfall for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NYClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 40.8 1961-02-07 0 - 40.8 1961-02-06 0 - 40.8 1961-02-05 0 - 40.8 1961-02-04 0 2 39.8 1961-02-08 0 3 38.5 2016-02-15 0 Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY - Month of FebClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 1963 -2 0 2 1961 -1 0 3 1967 0 0 4 2016 1 0 5 1979 2 0 Wild, was that also the maximum 30 day snowfall at JFK? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted Tuesday at 08:39 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:39 PM GFS last 3 runs track shift SE each one 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted Tuesday at 08:41 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:41 PM 4 hours ago, Great Snow 1717 said: Here in New England it was a non winter... JFK had more snow than some parts of Maine that winter. and more snow than Binghamton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted Tuesday at 08:42 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:42 PM 4 hours ago, Great Snow 1717 said: I recall that day. We were playing in an end of the season basketball tournament. Our game was in the evening. A few of the players hair was wet, by the time we got to the bus their hair had frozen... that's what I call natural mousse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted Tuesday at 08:45 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:45 PM 3 hours ago, bluewave said: Yeah, hard to believe we got such an amazing 24 day stretch of winter following a December than was warmer than most Novembers. Maximum 24-Day Total Snowfall for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NYClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 40.8 1961-02-07 0 - 40.8 1961-02-06 0 - 40.8 1961-02-05 0 - 40.8 1961-02-04 0 2 39.8 1961-02-08 0 3 38.5 2016-02-15 0 Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY - Month of FebClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 1963 -2 0 2 1961 -1 0 3 1967 0 0 4 2016 1 0 5 1979 2 0 that might be the only thing that the winter of 2015-16 had in common with the winter of 1960-61. 1960-61 really delivered the goods with a 25" HECS in February and below zero temperatures. Was February 1961 JFK's snowiest month on record and what was the total seasonal snowfall at JFK that season? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted Tuesday at 08:47 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:47 PM 3 hours ago, Brian5671 said: and then a rainstorm 2 days later...LOL and then we had another bout of useless cold in early April if I remember correctly, snow out on the cape and we had sunny windy cold weather with temps in the 20s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdj5211 Posted Tuesday at 08:51 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:51 PM Question for the Mets in here....if the northern stream slows down and amplifies would we still get a significant snowstorm without phasing with the southern stream? Or is this a southern stream makes the difference type storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted Tuesday at 09:01 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:01 PM How much for Philly?. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted Tuesday at 09:02 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:02 PM 1 hour ago, RU848789 said: This is real from the NWS and not a joke. Told them I thought the 40" part in the graphic was irresponsible. The text in the post was fine... "We've been getting a lot of questions about the potential weekend winter storm. To answer those questions, there is about a 50-60% chance of snow. That's all we know. We do NOT know how much snow we'll be getting yet. The storm is still 4 days away, and a lot can change. Could we get significant amounts? Sure, but there's still a chance we end up getting insignificant amounts. Greatest threat is Friday night and Saturday morning. Keep an eye on the forecast in the coming days for more information!" https://www.facebook.com/NWSMountHolly/posts/pfbid0zJeNRScVzhfRH1f6CD46octVXdtw865K7EQpwCF7S3PTLumC4wxag5sC7xpMia3el They deleted the graphic from their FB post, because I'm sure someone in the NWS kicked someone's butt over the irresponsibility of posting a graphic showing "0-40" of snow possible." 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tomcatct Posted Tuesday at 09:03 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:03 PM 1 hour ago, allgame830 said: Oh no now we grasping for straws! The JMA baby !..1st one to be on board in 1996..anything is possible 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdj5211 Posted Tuesday at 09:13 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:13 PM 18Z Icon...wide right 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Tuesday at 09:14 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:14 PM 1 minute ago, jdj5211 said: 18Z Icon...wide right Definitely further north west then 12z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikem81 Posted Tuesday at 09:15 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:15 PM Just now, Allsnow said: Definitely further north west then 12z 1 minute ago, jdj5211 said: 18Z Icon...wide right About 100 mile movement in a better direction 96 hours out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted Tuesday at 09:16 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:16 PM solid trend on the RGEM 4 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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