LibertyBell Posted Tuesday at 04:31 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:31 PM Just now, bluewave said: It was actually one of our most impressive 3 week winter periods of all-time with a 30” snowfall in spots and then another 10”+ in early February and then the first below 0° in NYC since 1994. Kara Sea Block? I remember the storm near the Superbowl gave us like 4-6 inches.... I dont remember if that was the storm that caused the big crane crash in Manhattan though? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted Tuesday at 04:31 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:31 PM This winter is so 1980s....NYC could be nickled and dimed to like 6-7 inches of snow by 1/10. We have not seen that in a long time 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted Tuesday at 04:32 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:32 PM Just now, SnowGoose69 said: This winter is so 1980s....NYC could be nickled and dimed to like 6-7 inches of snow by 1/10. We have not seen that in a long time and those same arctic winds too the only thing we're missing is below zero cold lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted Tuesday at 04:34 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:34 PM CMC did improve by going from garbage to something other than that for the weekend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted Tuesday at 04:35 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:35 PM 11 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Nah we get nada Yeah I thought the trough looked better initially but it actually ends up worse than the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted Tuesday at 04:35 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:35 PM 1 minute ago, LibertyBell said: There was that -1 on Valentines Day morning. Cold and dry..... sounds so familiar.... I recall that day. We were playing in an end of the season basketball tournament. Our game was in the evening. A few of the players hair was wet, by the time we got to the bus their hair had frozen... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted Tuesday at 04:36 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:36 PM 3 hours ago, wdrag said: My only thought on 96 and even through 2010 ish... models weren't nearly as good. Those of us who're in our 70s and older (hands please) , have witnessed spectacular improvements in general model consensus through at least 5 days... even this storm just passed was thread started the 30th, couched in the uncertainty (see p1 of the Jan 6 thread if interested)). Maybe even those on here who're only `60 (born in 65), probably are aware of the spectacular improvement. ALL of us should now know how helpful the short term models are (HRRR(X) and RAP. Ditto the science of medicine but I won digress. They definitely seem better than ever. When they're not perfect every Statler and Waldorf on the board starts blowing raspberries to express whatever it is they are trying to express. At least they have someplace to express themselves. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted Tuesday at 04:36 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:36 PM 5 minutes ago, North and West said: Easy. It’s because God hates the New York Metropolitan Area. . The storm saw the new congestion pricing and decided to take a hard right turn. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted Tuesday at 04:38 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:38 PM 7 minutes ago, MJO812 said: This is annoying No reason to look at any models past 7 days anymore. Breaks your heart. Set expectations low in a winter like this and on the off chance something happens, appreciate it more. Mets have been posting how this pattern probably doesn’t support a major storm. Hopefully the 3-5” type event can happen. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted Tuesday at 04:38 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:38 PM 7 minutes ago, bluewave said: It was actually one of our most impressive 3 to 4 week winter periods of all-time with a 30” snowfall in spots and then another 10”+ in early February and then the first below 0° in NYC since 1994. Here in New England it was a non winter... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted Tuesday at 04:43 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:43 PM UKIE: https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ukmo_global&p=sn10_acc-imp&rh=2025010712&fh=102&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted Tuesday at 04:45 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:45 PM 1 minute ago, Great Snow 1717 said: Here in New England it was a non winter... It’s ironic that one of our greatest 24 day winter stretches occurred after the +13.3 December. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted Tuesday at 04:45 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:45 PM 13 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Models doing a great job with this pattern inside 5 days. The most recent storm locked in by Wednesday of the previous week It’s a fragile setup but there’s a low cap on what can happen with no phase. If no phase we have to hope for some Atlantic enhancement from the N stream system, that’s about it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted Tuesday at 04:45 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:45 PM Euro is not just another model, it’s much better than the GFS as many of us who know have been saying. We need to stop looking at the GFS permanently. Ensembles included 1 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted Tuesday at 04:47 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:47 PM 2 minutes ago, bluewave said: It’s ironic that one of our greatest 24 day winter stretches occurred after the +13.3 December. That departure from normal is more than the Patriots averaged per game during the 2023 season lol... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Tuesday at 04:48 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:48 PM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted Tuesday at 04:51 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:51 PM 41 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Okay I am not a met, however, wouldn't the decaying blocking in the AO and nao regions allow this to nudge a little North? Forky mentioned that our storm would happen as the block decays. i meant more toward the end of the month 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted Tuesday at 04:51 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:51 PM Almost every model is showing at least 1-2/2-4" for the DC-Boston megalopolis or not that far SE of there meaning a minor (1-2") to moderate (2-4") event is not the almost pipe dream that a bomb is and most of us would be happy with a few more inches of snow. I'm loving looking out my window right now at 1.2" of snow, which should mostly still be there come Saturday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted Tuesday at 04:53 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:53 PM 4 minutes ago, RU848789 said: Almost every model is showing at least 1-2/2-4" for the DC-Boston megalopolis or not that far SE of there meaning a minor (1-2") to moderate (2-4") event is not the almost pipe dream that a bomb is and most of us would be happy with a few more inches of snow. I'm loving looking out my window right now at 1.2" of snow, which should mostly still be there come Saturday. Almost every model is not showing 2-4. Stop 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted Tuesday at 04:54 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:54 PM 3 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: That departure from normal is more than the Patriots averaged per game during the 2023 season lol... Yeah, hard to believe we got such an amazing 24 day stretch of winter following a December than was warmer than most Novembers. Maximum 24-Day Total Snowfall for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NYClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 40.8 1961-02-07 0 - 40.8 1961-02-06 0 - 40.8 1961-02-05 0 - 40.8 1961-02-04 0 2 39.8 1961-02-08 0 3 38.5 2016-02-15 0 Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY - Month of FebClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 1963 -2 0 2 1961 -1 0 3 1967 0 0 4 2016 1 0 5 1979 2 0 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted Tuesday at 04:55 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:55 PM GFS has a rainstorm in it's long range and you just know that will verify. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted Tuesday at 04:57 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:57 PM 8 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Amazing how the gefs ticked slightly better. Will be interesting to see if the geps is slightly better as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted Tuesday at 04:58 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:58 PM Just now, EastonSN+ said: Amazing how the gefs ticked slightly better. Will be interesting to see if the geps is slightly better as well. The gfs has been so inconsistent with this storm it's very hard to trust it. Ukie and euro have wanted no part of it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted Tuesday at 05:00 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:00 PM 1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said: The gfs has been so inconsistent with this storm it's very hard to trust it. Ukie and euro have wanted no part of it We need a repeat of 2015 where are the Euro was schooled 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted Tuesday at 05:02 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:02 PM 3 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Almost every model is not showing 2-4. Stop You need to read my post more closely - I said "at least 1-2/2-4" for the DC-Boston megalopolis or not that far SE of there" with the 12ZGFS/6ZEuro/12ZICON showing that for the megalopolis along 95 and the 12ZCMC showing that about 50-75 miles SE of 95 (i.e., mostly off-shore, but still "not that far SE of there"). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted Tuesday at 05:05 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:05 PM 34 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: There was that -1 on Valentines Day morning. Cold and dry..... sounds so familiar.... and then a rainstorm 2 days later...LOL 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted Tuesday at 05:06 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:06 PM 9 hours ago, Roger Smith said: Severe cold to follow snow (or no snow) window. I do not see that. It looks cold just like what we've been having. Severe cold to me is lows 10-15 highs 20-25 or lower. Don't see it. WX/PT 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted Tuesday at 05:10 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:10 PM 2 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said: I do not see that. It looks cold just like what we've been having. Severe cold to me is lows 10-15 highs 20-25 or lower. Don't see it. WX/PT yeah models backed away from that pretty quickly-seems like extreme cold/heat is often overdone in the long range-another reason to not look at OP models past 5 days 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted Tuesday at 05:11 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:11 PM 3 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said: I do not see that. It looks cold just like what we've been having. Severe cold to me is lows 10-15 highs 20-25 or lower. Don't see it. WX/PT Yeah not dropping below 20 in the city in January can't be considered severe. It's an impressive streak of slightly below average temps though 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Tuesday at 05:18 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:18 PM Alot of nice hits on the gefs 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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