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Jan 11th-12th Super Bomb or Super Bummed?


Rjay
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39 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

GFS is likely at the left goalpost with its aggressive fully phased solution and its on the left end of the GEFS but the blocking to the N/kicker to the west will have to do work to prevent a hugger with an outcome like that. If we really have a low riding almost due N ending up over Fire Island, that’s an inland favored outcome like 3/14/17. But at some point those factors pushing it east will take over and boot it out. Hopefully that would happen near the Delmarva and not Fire Island. Other models are much further east obviously but this seems like an all or nothing type outcome where we either have a phased bomb or unimpressive slider out to sea. It’s more likely of course we don’t have the coastal hugger but can’t say it’s not a possibility. 

Oh I think this is going to end up much closer to the ECMWF track. I'm not taking the GFS seriously.

WX/PT

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