jm1220 Posted January 9 Share Posted January 9 I’m deleting the bickering crap. Grow up. 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted Thursday at 07:27 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:27 PM 4 hours ago, jm1220 said: Could be another nice hit for those who got hit from the last one. Maybe not DC so much but east of there in DE. at this rate Delaware will have more snow than either NYC or BOS this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Thursday at 08:15 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:15 PM Nam south Not shocking 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted Thursday at 08:32 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:32 PM 19 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Nam south Not shocking Both Nam models didn't look bad to me. They actually have some higher totals in northern NJ with some spots 1 to 2 inches. HRRR not as impressed with closer to a half inch for a lot of the area, but it's still very early for that model. I think overall the model trends are pretty good. Timing is good too with late night into early morning, and snow ratios look pretty good. We have a decent chance to get an inch. It looks pretty similar to Monday's event. Hopefully we'll get a bigger storm later in the month, but I'm glad we continue to nickel and dime our way to near normal snowfall with these light events during this cold pattern. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Thursday at 08:51 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:51 PM 19 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Both Nam models didn't look bad to me. They actually have some higher totals in northern NJ with some spots 1 to 2 inches. HRRR not as impressed with closer to a half inch for a lot of the area, but it's still very early for that model. I think overall the model trends are pretty good. Timing is good too with late night into early morning, and snow ratios look pretty good. We have a decent chance to get an inch. It looks pretty similar to Monday's event. Hopefully we'll get a bigger storm later in the month, but I'm glad we continue to nickel and dime our way to near normal snowfall with these light events during this cold pattern. I would be fine with 1 inch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Thursday at 09:52 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:52 PM 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted Thursday at 11:04 PM Share Posted Thursday at 11:04 PM 12z-18 EC, HRRR, RGEM are all down on much snow LI and surroundings, generally near 1/2" or less. 21z RAP and 18 NAM beefier. We know what to root for and check again tomorrow morning. In the meantime, enjoy your family. As many have said... its gonna do what it wants and we just cant let the good life with family and friends pass us by. Yes my dog was walked and he was at brisk pace. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted Friday at 12:31 AM Share Posted Friday at 12:31 AM 3 hours ago, winterwx21 said: Both Nam models didn't look bad to me. They actually have some higher totals in northern NJ with some spots 1 to 2 inches. HRRR not as impressed with closer to a half inch for a lot of the area, but it's still very early for that model. I think overall the model trends are pretty good. Timing is good too with late night into early morning, and snow ratios look pretty good. We have a decent chance to get an inch. It looks pretty similar to Monday's event. Hopefully we'll get a bigger storm later in the month, but I'm glad we continue to nickel and dime our way to near normal snowfall with these light events during this cold pattern. Nickels and dimes would be good, but these have been pennies. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted Friday at 12:36 AM Share Posted Friday at 12:36 AM It is frustrating to have the first below normal/average winter in many many years only for it to snow in Arkansas. But it is what it is can’t do anything about it. But a 1-3” would be nice lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted Friday at 01:29 AM Share Posted Friday at 01:29 AM 52 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said: It is frustrating to have the first below normal/average winter in many many years only for it to snow in Arkansas. But it is what it is can’t do anything about it. But a 1-3” would be nice lol Would be. Unfortunately that hope’s running on fumes too. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted Friday at 01:41 AM Share Posted Friday at 01:41 AM It is frustrating to have the first below normal/average winter in many many years only for it to snow in Arkansas. But it is what it is can’t do anything about it. But a 1-3” would be nice lolSo it goes . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wishcast_hater Posted Friday at 01:56 AM Share Posted Friday at 01:56 AM SUPER BUST Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Friday at 01:58 AM Share Posted Friday at 01:58 AM Whatever I'm fine with this 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted Friday at 02:16 AM Share Posted Friday at 02:16 AM 17 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Whatever I'm fine with this Good because you don't have a choice. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Friday at 02:17 AM Share Posted Friday at 02:17 AM Just now, IrishRob17 said: Good because you don't have a choice. Nam is dustings to an inch 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted Friday at 02:46 AM Share Posted Friday at 02:46 AM 28 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Nam is dustings to an inch wash rinse repeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted Friday at 02:58 AM Share Posted Friday at 02:58 AM 1 hour ago, wishcast_hater said: SUPER BUST Been dead for days, arguably was never alive. GFS valiantly attempted CPR but patient long ago coded. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted Friday at 03:11 AM Share Posted Friday at 03:11 AM 11 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Been dead for days, arguably was never alive. GFS valiantly attempted CPR but patient long ago coded. Looking back - why were we so taken in by one model’s solution? Should have been easily discounted in hindsight. I guess the pattern was good enough but no other model timed the phase. Kind of feel like a sucker now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted Friday at 03:25 AM Share Posted Friday at 03:25 AM 13 minutes ago, cleetussnow said: Looking back - why were we so taken in by one model’s solution? Should have been easily discounted in hindsight. I guess the pattern was good enough but no other model timed the phase. Kind of feel like a sucker now. No real people here bought the gfs besides the usual same people who are always wrong 1 2 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted Friday at 03:30 AM Share Posted Friday at 03:30 AM 3 minutes ago, qg_omega said: No real people here bought the gfs besides the usual same people who are always wrong You and snowman being the only real people. Got it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted Friday at 03:35 AM Share Posted Friday at 03:35 AM 24 minutes ago, cleetussnow said: Looking back - why were we so taken in by one model’s solution? Should have been easily discounted in hindsight. I guess the pattern was good enough but no other model timed the phase. Kind of feel like a sucker now. Only because it showed it 5 or 6 times it seemed like it might be on to something but yeah no other model ever showed anything close so the hope was for a minor to maybe moderate event. Now it's going to be a dusting to maybe an inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted Friday at 03:39 AM Share Posted Friday at 03:39 AM 26 minutes ago, cleetussnow said: Looking back - why were we so taken in by one model’s solution? Should have been easily discounted in hindsight. I guess the pattern was good enough but no other model timed the phase. Kind of feel like a sucker now. There were signs in the ensembles that other models might catch on but none really jumped in, then the streams were clearly progged not to cooperate with the oncoming kicker and fast flow. Hopefully the northern stream trough is potent enough to give some of us up to an inch. Another fail. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted Friday at 04:07 AM Share Posted Friday at 04:07 AM Tonight's GFS says we get close to an inch. I really wish we could get something even just slightly better like a 2 to 4 inch event, but to me an inch is a lot better than nothing so I continue to root for it. I'll take a snowy early Saturday morning with an inch on the ground. Hopefully it'll happen. Right now a half inch to 1 inch looks like a good call. Euro has been showing almost nothing, so hopefully it'll improve tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted Friday at 11:11 AM Share Posted Friday at 11:11 AM 7 hours ago, winterwx21 said: Tonight's GFS says we get close to an inch. I really wish we could get something even just slightly better like a 2 to 4 inch event, but to me an inch is a lot better than nothing so I continue to root for it. I'll take a snowy early Saturday morning with an inch on the ground. Hopefully it'll happen. Right now a half inch to 1 inch looks like a good call. Euro has been showing almost nothing, so hopefully it'll improve tonight. You'll learn to enjoy our lower snowfall winters going forward. Trust me, it's a lot of fun to track low snowfall storms too. Every inch counts and is a lot of fun to track and see (especially when it falls during the day.) It's a lot more fun than tracking 4 inch snow that changes to rain, trust me. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Friday at 01:22 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:22 PM Snow showers tomorrow morning 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted Friday at 01:26 PM Share Posted Friday at 01:26 PM 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Snow showers tomorrow morning I am definitely looking forward to snow in the air and hopefully we can get a coating to an inch which will look nice. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted Friday at 02:42 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:42 PM 1 hour ago, EastonSN+ said: I am definitely looking forward to snow in the air and hopefully we can get a coating to an inch which will look nice. Snowman is laughing at everyone but he doesn't understand most people are happy with just an inch or two of snow. We aren't skiiers or anything and we don't live in the mountains so why would we even care how much it snows as long as it snows?: 1 inch or 10 inches or 100 inches, snow is snow and no one really cares how much falls as long as it's snow. The best part about small snowfalls, you don't have to shovel ANYTHING. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wishcast_hater Posted Friday at 02:46 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:46 PM No real people here bought the gfs besides the usual same people who are always wrongSnowman? . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wishcast_hater Posted Friday at 02:47 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:47 PM Definitely disagree. I want YUGE snows. I enjoy using my snowblower and driving my quad in deep snows. Plus I got a plow this year and want to try it out. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted Friday at 02:55 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:55 PM Looking back - why were we so taken in by one model’s solution? Should have been easily discounted in hindsight. I guess the pattern was good enough but no other model timed the phase. Kind of feel like a sucker now.I have to think it’s because it’s showing you what you want to see, just like other solutions show other people what they want to see, so it reinforces their own biases. Just like a slanted news source or radio station for other topics, people love having preconceived notions reinforced. It’s marketing 101.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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