NJwx85 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vegan_edible Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 watch now the euros gonna be amped have a feeling we're not gonna walk away from this with nothing, even 1-3" would be a nice little event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vegan_edible Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 2 minutes ago, NJwx85 said: This is trending towards nothing up here and I'm fine with that. Have my son's birthday party on Saturday afternoon anyway. And no legit snowlover would be happy with a 1-3" event when the GFS was showing 20-30" yesterday. lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Wouldn’t take much more to get it to a 3-5” event especially from the city east. GFS was close but not quite there. Perfectly fine outcome for me. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 And to think some here were upset yesterday because the 18z GFS showed a coastal scraper. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Okay I am not a met, however, wouldn't the decaying blocking in the AO and nao regions allow this to nudge a little North? Forky mentioned that our storm would happen as the block decays. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 minute ago, jm1220 said: Wouldn’t take much more to get it to a 3-5” event especially from the city east. GFS was close but not quite there. Perfectly fine outcome for me. It would definitely be a memorable event, and all day snowstorm on a Saturday is ideal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Just now, jm1220 said: Wouldn’t take much more to get it to a 3-5” event especially from the city east. GFS was close but not quite there. Perfectly fine outcome for me. If you look at the last few runs of the GFS, the trend is for a more positively tilted trough and lower heights at the coast. My call right now is for nothing significant North of Toms River. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Could nab a minor event here and probably another solid event further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 7 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: It would definitely be a memorable event, and all day snowstorm on a Saturday is ideal. sort of like mlb..it is a swing and miss winter... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Just now, Great Snow 1717 said: sort of like mlb..it is a swing and miss winter... they all seem to be now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 CMC should show something good 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Just now, LibertyBell said: they all seem to be now... I think the Super El Nino of 15/16 was a tipping point... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 2 minutes ago, Allsnow said: CMC should show something good A few inches hopefully Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 2 minutes ago, Allsnow said: CMC should show something good It has the trough negatively tilted at hr 84, agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 4 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: I think the Super El Nino of 15/16 was a tipping point... and central park had it's biggest snowstorm since records were kept since 1869 during that super el nino oh the irony.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 4 minutes ago, Allsnow said: CMC should show something good It’ll be close but the northern stream is lacking too much. Still should get a light-moderate event out of it. Edit: never mind, it got kicked out before it even reached 40N. Well then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Just now, LVblizzard said: It’ll be close but the northern stream is lacking too much. Still should get a light-moderate event out of it. Nah we get nada Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said: A few inches hopefully i do not care for a few inches of snow it's either a big snowstorm or i prefer cold and dry weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Just now, nycwinter said: and central par had it's biggest snowstorm since records were kept since 1869 during that super el nino oh the irony.. otherwise known as a "One Day Winter" lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 CMC nudged north about 50 miles. Still a miss for the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 minute ago, nycwinter said: i do not care for a few inches of snow it's either a big snowstorm or i prefer cold and dry weather. Noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 3 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Nah we get nada Yeah, oh well. At this point I just want a few inches because I think the big storm option is off the table Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Congrats to the southeast. Areas who haven’t had winter weather in years about to make up for it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Just now, Allsnow said: Yeah, oh well. At this point I just want a few inches because I think the big storm option is off the table This is annoying No reason to look at any models past 7 days anymore. Breaks your heart. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Weenie me all you want but at this point you can keep the 1-3” after the gfs for quite a few runs showing 20-30” the other day. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 6 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: otherwise known as a "One Day Winter" lol... It was actually one of our most impressive 3 to 4 week winter periods of all-time with a 30” snowfall in spots and then another 10”+ in early February and then the first below 0° in NYC since 1994. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 5 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: otherwise known as a "One Day Winter" lol... There was that -1 on Valentines Day morning. Cold and dry..... sounds so familiar.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Okay I am not a met, however, wouldn't the decaying blocking in the AO and nao regions allow this to nudge a little North? Forky mentioned that our storm would happen as the block decays.Easy. It’s because God hates the New York Metropolitan Area. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: This is annoying No reason to look at any models past 7 days anymore. Breaks your heart. Models doing a great job with this pattern inside 5 days. The most recent storm locked in by Wednesday of the previous week 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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