MJO812 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 30 minutes ago, Rjay said: The 18z op was mostly rain at the coast. Why are you jumping on him? Because it wasn't all rain. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dseagull Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Is there a publicly available site where I can obtain raw data and data sets (organized in a format which I can import into my own xlsx files?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 20 minutes ago, wxman said: Define "coast". Verbatim NYC gets 10+ on the 18z GFS. Down the Jersey Shore and LI, yes, much less snow. Exactly 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 9 minutes ago, TriPol said: EURO is not the king it once was. Not at all and the majority of the eps trended better from 12z. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 10 minutes ago, TriPol said: EURO is not the king it once was. Not even close. All it is now is JAM(Just A Model). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 39 minutes ago, jm1220 said: GFS is likely at the left goalpost with its aggressive fully phased solution and its on the left end of the GEFS but the blocking to the N/kicker to the west will have to do work to prevent a hugger with an outcome like that. If we really have a low riding almost due N ending up over Fire Island, that’s an inland favored outcome like 3/14/17. But at some point those factors pushing it east will take over and boot it out. Hopefully that would happen near the Delmarva and not Fire Island. Other models are much further east obviously but this seems like an all or nothing type outcome where we either have a phased bomb or unimpressive slider out to sea. It’s more likely of course we don’t have the coastal hugger but can’t say it’s not a possibility. Oh I think this is going to end up much closer to the ECMWF track. I'm not taking the GFS seriously. WX/PT 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Is there a publicly available site where I can obtain raw data and data sets (organized in a format which I can import into my own xlsx files?) Simplified it for you. 1 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Fwiw, probably not much. But the NAM looks to phase. Much more GFS like then Euro 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 2 hours ago, dseagull said: And on the 8th day.. he said...."Let there be a HECS of biblical proportions for all of the weenies across the lands.. " @psuhoffmanJust did that for today's storm, amazing: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 3 minutes ago, Volcanic Winter said: @psuhoffmanJust did that for today's storm, amazing: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 33 minutes ago, Franklin0529 said: Fwiw, probably not much. But the NAM looks to phase. Much more GFS like then Euro You want the NAM to be showing a track into Albany at this range. If it’s not super amped beyond 60hrs that’s a tell. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Icon shifted west 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SI Mailman Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Icon bombs it out and exits stage right at Virginia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Moving in the right direction. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 2 minutes ago, SI Mailman said: Icon bombs it out and exits stage right at Virginia. If we see the bombing storm signal among more of the models tonight that's a good sign, then the question becomes does it make the turn or get immediately booted out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 minute ago, Nibor said: Moving in the right direction. Yep for sure. Verbatim there's still a lot of energy being left behind and the trough is positively tilted. If we can get that more consolidated and more neutral/negative tilt, then game on big time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Is the gfs stuck edit: its slow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 1 minute ago, cleetussnow said: Is the gfs stuck no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Rollng now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 9 minutes ago, cleetussnow said: Rollng now So far so good through 66 hours 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: So far so good through 66 hours Looks nothing like the Euro at H5. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Just now, NJwx85 said: Looks nothing like the Euro at H5. Not even close. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Looking good so far... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Definitely a step back. Not close to earlier 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Just now, RU848789 said: Looking good so far... Much further east and weaker on gfs Goodnight 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 But I will take this. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 7 Author Share Posted January 7 14 minutes ago, MJO812 said: So far so good through 66 hours 9 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Not even close. 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Much further east and weaker on gfs Goodnight 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Just now, MJO812 said: But I will take this. Yea it's not terrible, just not the bomb it was showing 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdj5211 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 shows a 988mb low near the benchmark and a bunch of storm cancel posts go up.....you guys are too funny 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 Good for Shit, 6z will reshow it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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