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January 5-6 Thing Storm Obs


snowfan
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5 minutes ago, snowfan said:

HRRR still has a couple hours of light snow with the ULL this evening and a general .5-1” additional of snow. If nothing else, will freshen up the shoveled areas. 

Perhaps expectedly, The projections for this back end snow keep steadily decreasing. Yesterday, at this time, we were talking about maybe picking up a couple more inches later afternoon until about 1 a.m. this morning. Now, we seem to be setting the bar at maybe 1 inch. 

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3 minutes ago, real said:

Perhaps expectedly, The projections for this back end snow keep steadily decreasing. Yesterday, at this time, we were talking about maybe picking up a couple more inches later afternoon until about 1 a.m. this morning. Now, we seem to be setting the bar at maybe 1 inch. 

Somebody is going to get more than an inch from this. I can guarantee it. 

image.thumb.gif.6f625cb1b58d25652f3a45c8847dc358.gif

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2 minutes ago, real said:

Perhaps expectedly, The projections for this back end snow keep steadily decreasing. Yesterday, at this time, we were talking about maybe picking up a couple more inches later afternoon until about 1 a.m. this morning. Now, we seem to be setting the bar at maybe 1 inch. 

Yeah but the radar is looking decent now for dc metro and we have until about 9 or 10 pm before it shuts off. 

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1 hour ago, mattie g said:

Kinda looks like things are trying to fill in down here, as well. Could be the start of the backend goodness.

Just quoting myself because I think I got this one right :lol:. The little "band" I was mentioning then blossomed and started dropping dendrites about 30 minute after this. Been snowing since - even moderately - and now the radar is filling in.

I frankly don't give a f*ck what the HRRR says. It's garbage. As Elsa once said: Let it f*cking snow!

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We should temper expectations about tonight. Models are depicting rapid deterioration after crossing the Apps. This could be the headfake they're depicting. 

Hope I'm wrong. I've been kind of looking forward to this the whole day. Would leave a little bit of a bad taste in my mouth for this to be pulled last minute after such a nice storm. 

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1 minute ago, mattie g said:

Just quoting myself because I think I got this one right :lol:. The little "band" I was mentioning then blossomed and started dropping dendrites about 30 minute after this. Been snowing since - even moderately - and now the radar is filling in.

I frankly don't give a f*ck wat the HRRR says. It's garbage. As Elsa once said: Let it f*cking snow!

Are you talking to yourself again Mattie?

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2 minutes ago, Wetbulbs88 said:

We should temper expectations about tonight. Models are depicting rapid deterioration after crossing the Apps. This could be the headfake they're depicting. 

Hope I'm wrong. I've been kind of looking forward to this the whole day. Would leave a little bit of a bad taste in my mouth for this to be pulled last minute after such a nice storm. 

I’m going to go ahead and not do that lol.  Gimme my 3-5 inches of backside fluff. 

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Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches are possible later 
this afternoon and evening between 4-11pm. Some localized amounts up 
to 4 inches are possible mainly along and west of the
Alleghenies as well as in areas that see heavier bands move 
through. Snowfall rates of 0.5" to 1"/hr are possible with a 
fluffier consistency to snow as colder/drier air works in. 
Temperatures will continue to hold in the mid to upper 20s 
outside the mountains. Lows tonight will fall into the mid to 
upper teens. Snow will wrap up tonight around midnight outside 
the mountains with increasing winds and gradually clearing 
skies.
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