DDweatherman Posted Monday at 06:44 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:44 PM 1 minute ago, T. August said: Man I want that as much as you do, but I’d say that’s pretty damn close lol He posted a radar image of central PA as well, HRRR doesn't have anything outside of the SW corner of the state. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted Monday at 06:46 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:46 PM 1pm airport measurements BWI: 5.8 DCA: 5.5 IAD: 4.6 8 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted Monday at 06:46 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:46 PM Measured another 0.75" from the light stuff in Burke, so that puts me at 6.75" total so far. 2 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Radar reallly lighting up over far NW WV and Pittsburgh. Hopeful that everyone gets another 2" - 4" on top of this as the sun sets. Was about to say this. Really hoping it doesn't dry up too much in the mountains and we can pile up some evening fluff. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted Monday at 06:46 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:46 PM 2 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: Have we melted since the 5.5" measurement? It looks like overall ratio is less than 10:1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted Monday at 06:49 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:49 PM 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: 1pm airport measurements BWI: 5.8 DCA: 5.5 IAD: 4.6 Wow. BWI leads the pack, again. I thought DCA would have received the most, based on radar returns this morning. But I guess BWI never went over to sleet while DCA probably did, briefly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted Monday at 06:49 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:49 PM It's a few small things all breaking the wrong way IMO. Ratios are a part of the calculation, there was reason to believe higher ratios would pan out, but the DGZ ended up out of alignment with the best lift even during heavier precip. Banding also did not work out for MD specifically. And I think across the board guidance was maybe 10% overdone on QPF. Add in those 3 minor errors and you end up with the low end of snowfall v high end. It wasn't some huge bust, just some small misses on details imo. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Monday at 06:50 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:50 PM 4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: 1pm airport measurements BWI: 5.8 DCA: 5.5 IAD: 4.6 Shoot me now. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skywalker03 Posted Monday at 06:52 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:52 PM It hasn't stopped snowing here in north Rockville. We've been sitting under the band for a while. Folks who shoveled earlier will need to go out again. It looks like the new band has dropped another inch, but I don't have an official measurement. Kids had a blast this morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted Monday at 06:52 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:52 PM 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: It's a few small things all breaking the wrong way IMO. Ratios are a part of the calculation, there was reason to believe higher ratios would pan out, but the DGZ ended up out of alignment with the best lift even during heavier precip. Banding also did not work out for MD specifically. And I think across the board guidance was maybe 10% overdone on QPF. Add in those 3 minor errors and you end up with the low end of snowfall v high end. It wasn't some huge bust, just some small misses on details imo. Yeah, I think that's all fair. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Monday at 06:57 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:57 PM 5 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Yeah, I think that's all fair. Agree. I think given the data and parameters, the forecast was fair and well done. Someone was going to get double digit totals, and others were only going to reach the low end of the forecast range. I wouldn’t call it a bust, even though my backyard underperformed with the frontend thump. Dry air and poor snow growth really ate into the totals, but regardless it is a winter wonderland out there. It looks the same to me whether I got 6” or 9”. this surprise little “lake effect” band is a nice one though. Really fluffed things up! I’m happy with the way things turned out even though I got nowhere near the jackpot. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted Monday at 06:58 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:58 PM It hasn't stopped snowing here in north Rockville. We've been sitting under the band for a while. Folks who shoveled earlier will need to go out again. It looks like the new band has dropped another inch, but I don't have an official measurement. Kids had a blast this morning.Crazy how stationary that band has been. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted Monday at 06:58 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:58 PM 3 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Yeah, I think that's all fair. I'm pretty underwhelmed and I think my perspective is off because it snowed 5" before I woke up and it was pinging by the time I measured. Picked up 1.75" since then, but aside from about 30 minutes of fluff, that part has been pretty pedestrian. All I need is 1.25" later to get to my 8" goal, but it doesn't feel like I'm actually close at all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted Monday at 06:58 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:58 PM 1 minute ago, Terpeast said: Agree. I think given the data and parameters, the forecast was fair and well done. Someone was going to get double digit totals, and others were only going to reach the low end of the forecast range. I wouldn’t call it a bust, even though my backyard underperformed with the frontend thump. Dry air and poor snow growth really ate into the totals, but regardless it is a winter wonderland out there. It looks the same to me whether I got 6” or 9”. No matter if you get 6” or 9” when you combine it you get 69. All is good. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted Monday at 06:59 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:59 PM snow band is heading straight this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted Monday at 06:59 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:59 PM 6 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: It's a few small things all breaking the wrong way IMO. Ratios are a part of the calculation, there was reason to believe higher ratios would pan out, but the DGZ ended up out of alignment with the best lift even during heavier precip. Banding also did not work out for MD specifically. And I think across the board guidance was maybe 10% overdone on QPF. Add in those 3 minor errors and you end up with the low end of snowfall v high end. It wasn't some huge bust, just some small misses on details imo. Will have to wait and see how the evening round pans out, but thus far the HRRR, NAM 3K, RAP, and EURO were overdone, especially the high res - more like 30-40% overdone. I recall the HRRR showing 12-15”, it at least corrected some yesterday. The GFS and even to some degree the ICON had the right idea with heavier totals S and E. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Monday at 06:59 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:59 PM Just now, ravensrule said: No matter if you get 6” or 9” when you combine it you get 69. All is good. I walked right into that one… 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted Monday at 07:00 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:00 PM 2 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Agree. I think given the data and parameters, the forecast was fair and well done. Someone was going to get double digit totals, and others were only going to reach the low end of the forecast range. I wouldn’t call it a bust, even though my backyard underperformed with the frontend thump. Dry air and poor snow growth really ate into the totals, but regardless it is a winter wonderland out there. It looks the same to me whether I got 6” or 9”. Just now, mattie g said: I'm pretty underwhelmed and I think my perspective is off because it snowed 5" before I woke up and it was pinging by the time I measured. Picked up 1.75" since then, but aside from about 30 minutes of fluff, that part has been pretty pedestrian. All I need is 1.25" later to get to my 8" goal, but it doesn't feel like I'm actually close at all! I'm personally glad I stuck to my guns with 4-8" for MBY. I was *really* tempted to go 6-10" after yesterday's 0z runs. In the end, I think I'll end up close to 8" with the ULL snow. So pretty spot on for MBY, although I know it's low-end most places elsewhere. I think you'll get to 8" @mattie g. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AU74 Posted Monday at 07:01 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:01 PM 9 minutes ago, Skywalker03 said: It hasn't stopped snowing here in north Rockville. We've been sitting under the band for a while. Folks who shoveled earlier will need to go out again. It looks like the new band has dropped another inch, but I don't have an official measurement. Kids had a blast this morning. Same here in Colesville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dendritious Posted Monday at 07:01 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:01 PM Finally getting another band of snow in Herndon- the first since this morning. First decent size flakes I've seen, too. Hope it keeps up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted Monday at 07:02 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:02 PM I’d like to do a post-mortem when this is all said and done, but I think some of the ideas of the, “Why?” for this event have great merit. Just woke up. Going to go measure, but I’m sure it’s compacted a bit now. Still got hammered pretty good in these parts. It’s a winter wonderland outside. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AACOUNTYMD Posted Monday at 07:05 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:05 PM Hasn't stopped snowing all day. . . truly a wonder Any Herald Harbor, Arden, Palisades, Sherwood Forest people out here? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted Monday at 07:06 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:06 PM 8 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Agree. I think given the data and parameters, the forecast was fair and well done. Someone was going to get double digit totals, and others were only going to reach the low end of the forecast range. I wouldn’t call it a bust, even though my backyard underperformed with the frontend thump. Dry air and poor snow growth really ate into the totals, but regardless it is a winter wonderland out there. It looks the same to me whether I got 6” or 9”. this surprise little “lake effect” band is a nice one though. Really fluffed things up! I’m happy with the way things turned out even though I got nowhere near the jackpot. It's been a nice little band! Those to my north probably did even better, but it's been pretty light or steady for a couple of hours now. Can't be too mad. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eddygeeme Posted Monday at 07:09 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:09 PM 9 minutes ago, Imgoinhungry said: Crazy how stationary that band has been . It is has maybe moved 2-3mi north or South but just a constant jet streak. The upper level dynamics around that have got to be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted Monday at 07:09 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:09 PM 2 minutes ago, StormyClearweather said: It's been a nice little band! Those to my north probably did even better, but it's been pretty light or steady for a couple of hours now. Can't be too mad. Nice, a little southern arm of that band is about to go over me... Yep, right on schedule, some light snow resumed. Moderate size flakes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
09-10 analogy Posted Monday at 07:11 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:11 PM Let's see what this little glub of enhancement crossing over the Cabin John Bridge does IMBY shortly. If anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted Monday at 07:12 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:12 PM 1 minute ago, Paleocene said: Nice, a little southern arm of that band is about to go over me... Yep, right on schedule, some light snow resumed. Moderate size flakes Yeah this is nice. Bulging a little bit to the SW I like the look of the radar. This might have some staying power. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted Monday at 07:13 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:13 PM 50 minutes ago, Wxtrix said: https://www.weather.gov/lwx/pnsmap?type=snow Always a reporting desert in upper MoCo. C'mon, people..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted Monday at 07:14 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:14 PM Snow is so weird/fun to watch on radar. Behaves so differently than a line of thunderstorms, for example. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hstorm Posted Monday at 07:15 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:15 PM Beautiful steady snow in the band. We had been on the southern fringe for the past few hours, with occasional bursts. Steadier now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AACOUNTYMD Posted Monday at 07:16 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:16 PM snow remains steady. beautiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now