clskinsfan Posted Monday at 05:44 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:44 PM Few pics from my hood from 45 ,minutes ago. Just finished my first shovel. Hit 6 inches. still snowing lightly. Hope to steal a couple more so I can eat my words about "no chance to get to 8". 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarthHokie Posted Monday at 05:45 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:45 PM 15 minutes ago, TowsonWeather said: This simply isn't true. friend. My forecast was 6-11 inches and I have 4. Thats for the full storm. And its not over.. so yes you are still in range 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted Monday at 05:47 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:47 PM Have 6.5” of snow with a few layers of sleet mixed in so far. Was like concrete to push with the blade and the atv. Awesome storm! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted Monday at 05:48 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:48 PM ULL getting its act together 8 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
konksw Posted Monday at 05:48 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:48 PM 5 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: Models did a C- overall Showed 1-12” up to 2 days out and then centered in on a 5-10” range with talks of over that. Lots of sleet talk which mostly did not happen. Nowcasting trumped models and I discussed the nw to se slant as troublesome and in fact anyone north of that did not get more than 4”. 5-7” for right around DC so that was in the forecast range low side We aren’t done yet. DC could get another 2-3 this evening and that would put us in the mid to high end of the forecast range. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted Monday at 05:48 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:48 PM Jasper is really hoping the coastal adds some more, but said he’s pretty happy with how things turned out regardless 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted Monday at 05:49 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:49 PM 17 minutes ago, TSG said: That's exactly the time period I'm talking about. I think some people held onto that and then the 48hr 12k NAM showed a similar northern track and it was all over for reasonable consideration of the more southern solutions. And yes, it didn't get every detail right, but the end result was closer than what the GFS was advertising. It def nailed the central VA forecast Every forecast I saw including mine, had that max down near DC and points southeast. I had it SLIGHTLY too far north but not by that much. The real bust was in the banding just north of there associated with the H7 forcing, the models expected there to be more overlap and have those two features connected, in reality the H7 band pushed up way into central PA and left a huge dead zone in between the h85fgen zone that hit DC south and the banding up in PA. That killed a lot of MD. This was missed by the euro also which had 6-8" across northern MD. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
feloniousq Posted Monday at 05:50 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:50 PM Back to moderate 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted Monday at 05:50 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:50 PM I’m on south end of the dark green band north part of beltway Some of largest flakes so far and steady approaching moderate 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted Monday at 05:51 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:51 PM She loves the snow. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted Monday at 05:51 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:51 PM Upper level stuff looking more vigorous on radar than the HRRR is giving it credit for. Maybe this part has a bit more upside. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted Monday at 05:51 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:51 PM 23 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Regional radar mosaic showing better returns across SW PA into WV. Encouraging. I am a little worried that its sinking south too much and we might end up north of much of the ULL associated banding. Especially along the PA line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted Monday at 05:51 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:51 PM 10" from round 1, 26.2 with some wind now 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted Monday at 05:51 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:51 PM 2 minutes ago, DarthHokie said: Thats for the full storm. And its not over.. so yes you are still in range 1. I will be shocked if I get 50% as much as I've gotten so far in Round 2. Deeply skeptical - but you're right, it's not impossible. 2. As I mentioned in another post: it isn't just the amounts, it's the nature of the event. The rates were never remotely good, the flakes were pixie dust the entire time - just a boring, underwhelming, and not very dynamic event up here. After days and days of hype about how intense it would be. Just a bummer. 3. None of this is that big of a deal. Very happy for my southern friends who are cashing in - they get screwed all too often, so a good win is very welcome. I'm not losing any sleep about any of this, just pointing out the fact that it's been a letdown here in MBY and other parts of Baltimore on north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted Monday at 05:51 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:51 PM 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted Monday at 05:52 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:52 PM Coming down moderate to heavy in this band. Looks and feels like my childhood in the 80s. Old school winter is back!! ETA: MoCo / HoCo Deathband for the win. BTW—Measured anywhere from 5.5 to 6”. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted Monday at 05:54 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:54 PM I measured 5.5". Some might have melted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted Monday at 05:54 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:54 PM This band over Loudoun into MD has held and has nice rates. I’m about 4.5” now and was at 3.5” this morning. Hoping I can get another 2-3” by the end of today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted Monday at 05:54 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:54 PM Moderate to hvy intensity band aligned E to W near Columbia. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted Monday at 05:56 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:56 PM 33 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: You two might be arguing over time ranges...the GFS was way too far north for a time at like 72-100 hours then it corrected. By yesterday the GFS and Euro were pretty close together...the Euro gave me 6" yesterday and as recently 7" on the 0z run last night...it busted on the banding in northern MD also. It did nail the main banding that hit south of DC though. The band it put over northern MD ended up up in central PA. No model had that correct. I think overall the Euro took charge (as it typically does). Need to see how round 2 performs, but the American models were kind of on an island with giving my location upwards of 0.5”+ liquid equivalent whereas most of the other models were struggling to budge north. Consensus seems to have won so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kay Posted Monday at 05:56 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:56 PM 1 hour ago, T. August said: What was your total? Looks like 3.2” here entering the lull. 3.5" last I checked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted Monday at 05:57 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:57 PM 3 minutes ago, TowsonWeather said: 1. I will be shocked if I get 50% as much as I've gotten so far in Round 2. Deeply skeptical - but you're right, it's not impossible. 2. As I mentioned in another post: it isn't just the amounts, it's the nature of the event. The rates were never remotely good, the flakes were pixie dust the entire time - just a boring, underwhelming, and not very dynamic event up here. After days and days of hype about how intense it would be. Just a bummer. 3. None of this is that big of a deal. Very happy for my southern friends who are cashing in - they get screwed all too often, so a good win is very welcome. I'm not losing any sleep about any of this, just pointing out the fact that it's been a letdown here in MBY and other parts of Baltimore on north. I don't think it is that bad in southern part of Baltimore City (Federal Hill). Just measured 4.5 inches. Still snowing intermittently. If we can get another 1 to 2 inches later, it will have basically have met the forecast for 6 to 8 inches. We never did see the intense snowfall rates, but got close to about 1 inch an hour for a period of time around 7 to 9 a.m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted Monday at 05:58 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:58 PM ML Lapse rates around 6 across the area coinciding with 850 fronto that's smack dab over MD right now. Where bands do develop, there could be a bit of convective nature and good rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dendritious Posted Monday at 05:58 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:58 PM Feeling a bit frustrated in Herndon. We barely scraped the low end of predicted totals and have so far gotten none of the recent bands that have touched LoCo. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted Monday at 05:59 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:59 PM Up to 6" here in southern Howard County, with moderate snow falling under this good band. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Monday at 06:00 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:00 PM 8 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I am a little worried that its sinking south too much and we might end up north of much of the ULL associated banding. Especially along the PA line. I think we'll do fine with it, even up here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted Monday at 06:01 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:01 PM My 2 year old granddaughters first snow over 3 inches. Along with Maverick who seems to not like it so much. 22 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Monday at 06:02 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:02 PM 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: I think we'll do fine with it, even up here. Why? Pitt radar https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=PBZ-N0B-1-24-100-usa-rad 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted Monday at 06:02 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:02 PM 3 minutes ago, 87storms said: I think overall the Euro took charge (as it typically does). Need to see how round 2 performs, but the American models were kind of on an island with giving my location upwards of 0.5” liquid equivalent whereas most of the other models weren’t struggling to budge north. Consensus seems to have won so far. The euro was giving you 9" yesterday! It busted just as bad as the GFS across MD. Now if you are talking about the time period around 72-100 hours when the GFS has a few runs where it had the axis of heaviest snow way up in PA yea that was way off...but before that the euro had a few runs it tried to cut, then a run it went way too far south and washed out, we can go back and forth. Overall the euro was better I am not denying that. But both the Euro and GFS yesterday showed similar snowfall across MD and they both busted. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Monday at 06:04 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:04 PM 17 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: ULL getting its act together Maybe... JUST maybe I can reach 8" if this ULL overperforms. I'm at or close to 5.5" with that band over me. I think 7" total is more realistic. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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