Ravens94 Posted Monday at 05:26 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:26 PM Precip is exploding in SW PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted Monday at 05:26 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:26 PM 9 minutes ago, Fozz said: Exactly. The Euro, Canadian models and UKMET all insisted on this northern MD disappointment, and so this turned out to be another typical post-2016 storm. IMO the LWX did a great job hedging on this uncertainty, and so I think the 4-8” forecast will end up right on point. Those of us who live up north but not quite Mt PSU will eventually get ours. And it will be glorious. I just hope it will be this year. I can't fault them for their call. Climo called for banding on the north side. Just didn't happen. Instead we got a loose piece way up north. The NAM was right on target at the final hour. I keep saying every year that the NAM is nowhere near as bad as people like to think when used correctly. Very happy with the result down here in DC. (I'm actually in Adams Morgan now; I need to change my location.) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted Monday at 05:26 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:26 PM Regional radar mosaic showing better returns across SW PA into WV. Encouraging. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Monday at 05:27 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:27 PM plowed streets and shoveled sidewalks getting covered again This band looks stationary, maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted Monday at 05:28 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:28 PM probably 7-8" so far in DC. A lull right now - hopefully some more on the backside. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted Monday at 05:28 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:28 PM Winter doing winter things 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
feloniousq Posted Monday at 05:29 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:29 PM Back to snizzle. Band lasted maybe 10 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted Monday at 05:29 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:29 PM 3 minutes ago, DarthHokie said: Because they were hedging on the model output extremes. Not the actual forecase put out by nws This simply isn't true. friend. My forecast was 6-11 inches and I have 4. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSG Posted Monday at 05:29 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:29 PM 20 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: You two might be arguing over time ranges...the GFS was way too far north for a time at like 72-100 hours then it corrected. By yesterday the GFS and Euro were pretty close together...the Euro gave me 6" yesterday and as recently 7" on the 0z run last night...it busted on the banding in northern MD also. It did nail the main banding that hit south of DC though. The band it put over northern MD ended up up in central PA. No model had that correct. That's exactly the time period I'm talking about. I think some people held onto that and then the ~48hr NAM showed a similar northern track and it was all over for reasonable consideration of the more southern solutions. And yes, it didn't get every detail right, but the end result was closer than what the GFS was advertising. It def nailed the central VA forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted Monday at 05:29 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:29 PM Just now, TowsonWeather said: This simply isn't true. friend. My forecast was 6-11 inches and I have 4. There's still round 2, that could bump you to the low end of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted Monday at 05:30 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:30 PM We squeezed out a bit more since this morning's measure and were briefly close to 4 inches. Sleet mixes in when there is not much precipitation. 24/23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Round Hill WX Posted Monday at 05:30 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:30 PM Just cleared the snow board…4.75” in Round Hill. Light snow/25 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted Monday at 05:31 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:31 PM 6 minutes ago, DarthHokie said: Because they were hedging on the model output extremes. Not the actual forecase put out by nws The actual forecast out here was 8 - 12, and they added the caveat about banding to localized 18". I have 4" with this latest light band. So this was not the NWS's finest hour. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AACOUNTYMD Posted Monday at 05:31 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:31 PM constant snizzle. . . but seems to be picking up a bit. Close to 8 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted Monday at 05:32 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:32 PM We typically have some type of high pressure to our north during these WAA thumps. Whether its sliding east or just a weak GL high. I wonder if the lack of the typical banding we'd expect was due to this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eddygeeme Posted Monday at 05:32 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:32 PM 17 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: Looks like it’ll be between bands again for Reston. Hope all of those up north can makeup for their relative miss this morning. Germantown has made out great this band is bonus snow lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GregD Posted Monday at 05:32 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:32 PM South of Leesbug 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted Monday at 05:32 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:32 PM 6 minutes ago, IronTy said: This was Benson's first real snow. He's postholing since it's about as tall as him. Benson the Owl??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted Monday at 05:34 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:34 PM 7 inches for Haymarket Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted Monday at 05:35 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:35 PM Noticeable uptick in snow here in Gaithersburg over the past 20 min. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted Monday at 05:36 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:36 PM 5.75 as of 1145. Never stopped snowing so far. Just started to pick back up again. Biggest flakes of the day. Temp 26.6 Pasadena Most guidance showed around 8 inches here. Will be interesting to see if we can get another 2.25 inches later today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted Monday at 05:37 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:37 PM 14 minutes ago, diatae said: Seems to have stopped here in La Plata. Getting breezy. Round 2 is going to be awesome don't worry 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted Monday at 05:39 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:39 PM Radar looks pretty good in PA and back to the west. I'd be pretty optimistic for many judging from the significant uptick in precip. Just need it to hold together and keep that vort from de-amping too much on the way by. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted Monday at 05:40 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:40 PM Been snowing good for a while now just NE of Germantown. There was about 5" when I cleared the driveway before this band and it has added about a half inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DraydenWX Posted Monday at 05:40 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:40 PM Beautiful day on the St. Mary’s River. Bring on round two. 7 inches so far. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TPAwx Posted Monday at 05:41 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:41 PM 40-year NOVA alum watching from afar. Great pics and looks like a nice winter event for most of you! All those winters up there trained me to never count on the high-end scenarios from any model run. 4+ is pretty good, even if a bummer after signals for much higher totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted Monday at 05:42 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:42 PM Models did a C- overall Showed 1-12” up to 2 days out and then centered in on a 5-10” range with talks of over that. Lots of sleet talk which mostly did not happen. Nowcasting trumped models and I discussed the nw to se slant as troublesome and in fact anyone north of that did not get more than 4”. 5-7” for right around DC so that was in the forecast range low side 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
diatae Posted Monday at 05:42 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:42 PM 3 minutes ago, peribonca said: Round 2 is going to be awesome don't worry Round one was awesome and I'm ready for more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted Monday at 05:43 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:43 PM Nice trajectory for Northern AA. As of alot of the heavier bands went to southern AA earlier. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Monday at 05:43 PM Share Posted Monday at 05:43 PM Intermittent light snow now. Temp up to 27. Just under 8" here so far. A chance for double digits if the UL low has some vigor when it comes though. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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