Deck Pic Posted Monday at 09:56 AM Share Posted Monday at 09:56 AM 14 minutes ago, yoda said: Okay, what about the yellow out west by Winchester down to Front Royal moving our way? Go take a jebwalk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted Monday at 09:56 AM Share Posted Monday at 09:56 AM 39 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: good luck mdecoy. how much are you thinking for your backyard? 6"? Thanks Matt. 5-7 is my estimate. Would be great to get 6 inches would be our biggest storm here since the Blizzard of 2016. Good luck in your area as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted Monday at 09:57 AM Share Posted Monday at 09:57 AM Just now, MillvilleWx said: Mesoanalysis still has the best 85H FGEN well to the south closer to CHO and points southwest. This will migrate northeastward over the next several hours with the best forcing likely positioned in that circle above the arrows. This is the area that could see a steady 1-2"/hr rate period that will last 3-6 hrs before it moves off to the east and that's when the rates will subside before the next round comes through later today. By then, many inside that circle will be at 6-12" and then we wait for the bonus snow with the vort pass to our south. Good times here y'all with the best still to come! Cannot wait. Any chance of thundersnow with this forcing or no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted Monday at 09:59 AM Share Posted Monday at 09:59 AM My snowstick thing looks like just under 4" it's snowing at 25 degrees 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted Monday at 09:59 AM Share Posted Monday at 09:59 AM 13 minutes ago, deer said: Wall of yellows look like they're coming for me. Fairfax and DC soon! It’s pouring snow now..you mean it gets better? Holy egg foo yung 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted Monday at 09:59 AM Share Posted Monday at 09:59 AM Just now, SnowenOutThere said: Cannot wait. Any chance of thundersnow with this forcing or no? Not likely with this part. The best chance, albeit pretty small will be with the vort pass later today. More dynamic in nature. That will feature larger dendrites that carry more appreciable ratios. If we can somehow luck into that feature closing off south of us for even a few hours, there will be some very happy people in this sub-forum, if they aren't already! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted Monday at 10:00 AM Share Posted Monday at 10:00 AM 3 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Mesoanalysis still has the best 85H FGEN well to the south closer to CHO and points southwest. This will migrate northeastward over the next several hours with the best forcing likely positioned in that circle above the arrows. This is the area that could see a steady 1-2"/hr rate period that will last 3-6 hrs before it moves off to the east and that's when the rates will subside before the next round comes through later today. By then, many inside that circle will be at 6-12" and then we wait for the bonus snow with the vort pass to our south. Good times here y'all with the best still to come! Nice I finally get to be inside somebody's circle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tito Posted Monday at 10:00 AM Share Posted Monday at 10:00 AM 2 minutes ago, RevWarReenactor said: Thanks Matt. 5-7 is my estimate. Would be great to get 6 inches would be our biggest storm here since the Blizzard of 2016. Good luck in your area as well. Mod Snow, 25 degrees and little over an inch so far in Dover, DE. Most roads now covered. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted Monday at 10:02 AM Share Posted Monday at 10:02 AM 1 minute ago, MillvilleWx said: Not likely with this part. The best chance, albeit pretty small will be with the vort pass later today. More dynamic in nature. That will feature larger dendrites that carry more appreciable ratios. If we can somehow luck into that feature closing off south of us for even a few hours, there will be some very happy people in this sub-forum, if they aren't already! I hope with all my heart that that feature closes off to the south for about twelve hours. I want you guys to get totally obliterated by torrential snows! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted Monday at 10:03 AM Share Posted Monday at 10:03 AM 2 minutes ago, aldie 22 said: Nice I finally get to be inside somebody's circle It's always nice to be circled 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Monday at 10:03 AM Share Posted Monday at 10:03 AM 3.1” at 5 am, snowing at a rate of 1.3”/hr 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted Monday at 10:04 AM Share Posted Monday at 10:04 AM With 4.0” snowfall yesterday, Richmond’s dreadful 1,084-day string without 1” or more daily snowfall finally ended. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted Monday at 10:08 AM Share Posted Monday at 10:08 AM 3.5 inches of snow as of 5am and flake sizes have increased as I start to get into the band hitting terpest right now. Though from 4:30 to 5am snowfall rates decreased from .8 to .5 an hour, I assume from subsidence as the band got closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted Monday at 10:09 AM Share Posted Monday at 10:09 AM 5am 3.3” moderate snow 25/24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted Monday at 10:09 AM Share Posted Monday at 10:09 AM Maybe 2" in ellicott city? Are we gonna get hosed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snjókoma Posted Monday at 10:09 AM Share Posted Monday at 10:09 AM Van Ness: 3.4" -- 0.8" in the last hour. My IMBY thoughts: 5 AM - 7 AM: Should be 1.5-2" additional, based off the HRRR. Possible for upside if the returns to the W/SW materialize and/or flake type improves. 7 AM - 12 PM: ~4", as fronto lifts NE and ratios improve IMO, targeting 8-9" on the ground from round 1 in DC. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted Monday at 10:09 AM Share Posted Monday at 10:09 AM Steady dumping cold smoke. It looks like 4"+. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted Monday at 10:10 AM Share Posted Monday at 10:10 AM Seems fairly uniform out there with accumulations even those of us non professional slant stickers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Monday at 10:11 AM Share Posted Monday at 10:11 AM 14 minutes ago, RevWarReenactor said: Thanks Matt. 5-7 is my estimate. Would be great to get 6 inches would be our biggest storm here since the Blizzard of 2016. Good luck in your area as well. Huh? You said this pattern wouldn't produce. I'm confused? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Monday at 10:11 AM Share Posted Monday at 10:11 AM 2 minutes ago, snjókoma said: Van Ness: 3.4" -- 0.8" in the last hour. My IMBY thoughts: 5 AM - 7 AM: Should be 1.5-2" additional, based off the HRRR. Possible for upside if the returns to the W/SW materialize and/or flake type improves. 7 AM - 12 PM: ~4", as fronto lifts NE and ratios improve IMO, targeting 8-9" from round 1 in DC. Prob gonna take a lull nap around 9. Then be ready for round 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted Monday at 10:13 AM Share Posted Monday at 10:13 AM 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Prob gonna take a lull nap around 9. Then be ready for round 2 hrrr shuts off the good stuff around noon. Lunch time lull nap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DanTheMan Posted Monday at 10:13 AM Share Posted Monday at 10:13 AM A smidge over 4” in Clifton VA. Coming down pretty good. Gonna have a big pot of Guinness stew bubbling for round 2 in the evening after a nap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Monday at 10:13 AM Share Posted Monday at 10:13 AM more backbuilding, some additional yellows on the way Strong frontgen with mixing and riming in brighter correlation coefficents below (we won’t mix, this will become heavy snow by the time it gets here) 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted Monday at 10:17 AM Share Posted Monday at 10:17 AM Like a quarter inch in Havre de Grace Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted Monday at 10:17 AM Share Posted Monday at 10:17 AM 6 minutes ago, dailylurker said: Steady dumping cold smoke. It looks like 4"+. It's been just pouring snow out our way. You can even see the flakes fall in the dark out the window it's coming down so steady. I measured 1.2" in a hour last ob. If this keeps up, we'll be over 10" by storms end, no question. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted Monday at 10:19 AM Share Posted Monday at 10:19 AM Just now, MillvilleWx said: It's been just pouring snow out our way. You can even see the flakes fall in the dark out the window it's coming down so steady. I measured 1.2" in a hour last ob. If this keeps up, we'll be over 10" by storms end, no question. i think that initial thump that exceeded expectations really set us up well. now FGEN is coming in and much of the area is eyeing down 1.25-2"/hr rates. sleet line coming north should also give us some heavy snow with better flake size i imagine 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted Monday at 10:20 AM Share Posted Monday at 10:20 AM 1 minute ago, MillvilleWx said: It's been just pouring snow out our way. You can even see the flakes fall in the dark out the window it's coming down so steady. I measured 1.2" in a hour last ob. If this keeps up, we'll be over 10" by storms end, no question. I'm getting that same effect looking out the window. You don't even need a light. It seems like it's increasing still. It's getting wild out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted Monday at 10:22 AM Share Posted Monday at 10:22 AM 26/25, +SN, 3.75" everything going well so far 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted Monday at 10:23 AM Share Posted Monday at 10:23 AM 19 minutes ago, Terpeast said: 3.1” at 5 am, snowing at a rate of 1.3”/hr Future Mushroom Watch is issued for your two cars. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted Monday at 10:25 AM Share Posted Monday at 10:25 AM 13 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Prob gonna take a lull nap around 9. Then be ready for round 2 My recommendation is to take your lull nap during the lull. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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