TSG Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 2 minutes ago, Ravens94 said: The euro showed a heavy snow axis is southern VA up until the bell. The GFS all but excelled on this. It then moved north with every other model till the end other then the GFS. It's wrong and is still wrong. The only reason it's less up here is the dry air was stronger then modeled and the banding went north into PA. Whatever makes you feel better dude. The GFS had the significant precip way too far north 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Looks like it’ll be between bands again for Reston. Hope all of those up north can makeup for their relative miss this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eddygeeme Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1 hour ago, winter_warlock said: That's what I got Same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Half inch in 25 nice fat flakes super fluffy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 this band over ashburn should push me to 5" total for warning criteria (compaction notwithstanding) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 9.5 1 W Georgetown DE 12:10 PM. stole my snow once again. hope it never snows there again 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Never stopped snowing fully. 3.3” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Why are a lot of people crying bust? It's within the forecast range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Just now, Ravens94 said: Half inch in 25 nice fat flakes super fluffy Nice, hopefully we can keep this band for the next 4hrs while we're supposed to be in the dryslot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Just now, Amped said: Nice, hopefully we can keep this band for the next 4hrs while we're supposed to be in the dryslot. It's super nice out right now and there's a band setting up north over the Mason Dixon too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 11 minutes ago, Fozz said: Exactly. The Euro, Canadian models and UKMET all insisted on this northern MD disappointment, and so this turned out to be another typical post-2016 storm. IMO the LWX did a great job hedging on this uncertainty, and so I think the 4-8” forecast will end up right on point. Those of us who live up north but not quite Mt PSU will eventually get ours. And it will be glorious. I just hope it is this year. My forecast in the a.m. yesterday was for 6-9”. In the afternoon, it was raised to 8-12”. I’m at 3” so far. With all respect to LWX, who I think does a great job, it wasn’t a stellar call for this area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Thought I was getting into a significant lull an hour ago but the way the radar is filling in might avoid it here. Steady light to moderate snow continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Healthy flakes falling again. Beautiful wintry scene out there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Just now, CAPE said: Thought I was getting into a significant lull an hour ago but the way the radar is filling in might avoid it here. Steady light to moderate snow continues. Same, my lull ended too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 27 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: My average over those winters is 8”. Which is 50% of climo. So we’re basically the same. You’ve just happened to go Aaron Judge in the high leverage events. And of course we all want to jack the big events or overperform. So I get it. But the idea that the “south” has done well is wrong I think it's all a matter of perspective. I get a LOT of snow up here from 1" at a time minor events that add up...but I would trade all of them in to get a few more inches from actual snowstorms! I don't even notice those 1" things. I've done really poor in our actual "storms" recently. In the end I think both area's have done equally bad wrt to averages, but DC has hit on a higher % of actualy snowstorms and that matters more to me than the seasonal total. I would take a winter where I get 20" from 2 storms than a winter where I get 30" but it all comes 1-3" at a time. That is just me. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Getting pummeled in Lewes right now. Heaviest snow of the day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1 minute ago, JenkinsJinkies said: Same, my lull ended too. Lull continues here in Dundalk lol…maybe it’s some warm nose right here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarthHokie Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 3 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said: Why are a lot of people crying bust? It's within the forecast range. Because they were hedging on the model output extremes. Not the actual forecase put out by nws 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 2 minutes ago, WVclimo said: My forecast in the a.m. yesterday was for 6-9”. In the afternoon, it was raised to 8-12”. I’m at 3” so far. With all respect to LWX, who I think does a great job, it wasn’t a stellar call for this area. Same. I knew I was on the far northern edge of high totals, but only 2.5" here even with that uncertainty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southmdwatcher Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Another 1.5" since the 9am measurement. Up to 10" total and it has compacted somewhat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 3 minutes ago, WVclimo said: My forecast in the a.m. yesterday was for 6-9”. In the afternoon, it was raised to 8-12”. I’m at 3” so far. With all respect to LWX, who I think does a great job, it wasn’t a stellar call for this area. Absolutely. The American models stunk for the Northern MD 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
diatae Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Seems to have stopped here in La Plata. Getting breezy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 20 minutes ago, TowsonTownT said: Just under 4" in my Towson backyard, but this should help the totals for us Baltimore area peeps. Nope, it's sliding south of us and dissipating a bit. NGL, I didn't have massive expectations, but this is definitely a disappointment so far. About as boring a 4 inches as you'll ever see....mostly pixie dust and never really great rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 9 minutes ago, TSG said: Whatever makes you feel better dude. The GFS had the significant precip way too far north You two might be arguing over time ranges...the GFS was way too far north for a time at like 72-100 hours then it corrected. By yesterday the GFS and Euro were pretty close together...the Euro gave me 6" yesterday and as recently 7" on the 0z run last night...it busted on the banding in northern MD also. It did nail the main banding that hit south of DC though. The band it put over northern MD ended up up in central PA. No model had that correct. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Just now, TowsonWeather said: Nope, it's sliding south of us and dissipating a bit. NGL, I didn't have massive expectations, but this is definitely a disappointment so far. About as boring a 4 inches as you'll ever see....mostly pixie dust and never really great rates. Here in Dundalk, from about 630am to 9am was pretty cool. But outside of that, it’s been light snow, pixie dust or now just snain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miss Pixee Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Snow is falling again! Holding at 26/25DP. My thuja giants are a bit floppy. And a neighbor's big ol' burr oak stands tall on the hill. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 5 minutes ago, WVclimo said: My forecast in the a.m. yesterday was for 6-9”. In the afternoon, it was raised to 8-12”. I’m at 3” so far. With all respect to LWX, who I think does a great job, it wasn’t a stellar call for this area. Yeah, that is a true bust. You never really know where the banding will set up and this system seems especially reliant on them. And it’s disappointing when the 3k NAM repeatedly showed a solid swath of 8-12” at close range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 This was Benson's first real snow. He's postholing since it's about as tall as him. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eddygeeme Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said: Legit dendrites in NW Montgomery County near Hyattstown per DOT cameras. Not far away in Germantown/Clarksburg border right on exit 16 Ridge Rd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ifindppl Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 After a lull, ripping again in Olney. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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