konksw Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 3:51 PM, WhiteoutMD said: radar return south west of DC taking on a mor north movement and building Expand Yeah looks like the dry slot is trying to fill in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 3:44 PM, psuhoffman said: It's probably my fault...because of my location on top of one of the highest points in east central MD right along the PA border I often do disproportionately well in very marginal events, like the 4" I got in November when even places right around me a few miles away barely got an inch! This probably gives a false sense to the board that this area up here has done better than it has recently in general. Only the very highest ridges up here have actually done ok, I feel really bad for places just south of me or in some of the valleys up here who have had it really bad recently. They have not cashed in like me in the marginal temp storms and they have missed all the coastal or slider storms to the south. The worst screw zone wrt averages in our region, which as a whole hasn't done well recently, has been that area. Expand This. It has been an absolute squeeze job, and I'm trying to figure out why. It's like the climo has shifted or something so that we just don't do well enough in these west-east slider like systems...it's like it always favored south of me, and I don't ever remember another time where even I, not being as far north as you, got fringed this much. Ordinarily it's DC with temp/mixing issues...but since 2019 they haven't had that with these types of sytems. I will never trust a system like this again unless it shows mixing south of me. Heavy rates just don't get up here that way lately...smh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 But now that northern MD got fringed @Deck Pic doesn't get to have his trial And we should put to bed that "joke" we do get fringed up here a lot, DC has got more snow than this area in a singular event a handful of times just recently! But it's true we won't get any sympathy because of all the times we get snow when they are just getting rain, and the fact that even in those years by the end of the season most of this area up here will end up with more snow...it just hasn't been as MUCH more as averages would say we should get recently. But the fringe is real, it actualy does happen, and it is something to worry about up here when guidance has us on the northern edge. We don't always win out in those situations and recently we've had some fails. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 3:48 PM, Chris_B said: Calling for about 3" from the afternoon blast. Probably cut that in half realistically. Expand I feel confident that we'll get another 2-3" from round two. That part is gonna swing through on a near perfect track. Still a big chunk of the system left: https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/conus_band.php?sat=G16&band=08&length=12 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Right at 7.0” as of 10:50, that’s with sleet mixed in. Currently, huge Snow globs and 28 degrees. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 3:50 PM, mitchnick said: 12z Gfs says some N MD love from u/l low. Of course, I'm just a wee bit north. Expand Don't forget that is retro to 7am today, so it shows some QPF that has already fallen or was modeled to fall. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 3:27 PM, NorthArlington101 said: Girlfriend measured 5” with measuring tape (lol) - guessing with compaction my spot on H & 1st NW in DC might’ve hit 6”. Tricky to say. Expand Dude, I love you, but did you read this??? 1 8 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 3:54 PM, Maestrobjwa said: This. It has been an absolute squeeze job, and I'm trying to figure out why. It's like the climo has shifted or something so that we just don't do well enough in these west-east slider like systems...it's like it always favored south of me, and I don't ever remember another time where even I, not being as far north as you, got fringed this much. Ordinarily it's DC with temp/mixing issues...but since 2019 they haven't had that with these types of sytems. I will never trust a system like this again unless it shows mixing south of me. Heavy rates just don't get up here that way lately...smh Expand The adage really is true, you want to ride the mix line a bit and then use your geography to your advantage. When its all snow 50-100 miles south of you, theres the distinct chance you're caught in subsidence or lighter rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 5.8" here, and thrilled for the jackpotters, especially since they're not the typical jackpotters. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 3:54 PM, Maestrobjwa said: This. It has been an absolute squeeze job, and I'm trying to figure out why. It's like the climo has shifted or something so that we just don't do well enough in these west-east slider like systems...it's like it always favored south of me, and I don't ever remember another time where even I, not being as far north as you, got fringed this much. Ordinarily it's DC with temp/mixing issues...but since 2019 they haven't had that with these types of sytems. I will never trust a system like this again unless it shows mixing south of me. Heavy rates just don't get up here that way lately...smh Expand The timeframes people are talking about are so small in the overall scale of things that you can't put it down to climate shifting. Sometimes places have shit luck for a period or there's some sort of cycle we're going through. No way to know for sure. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 11am obs Back on the job 3” when I retired at 4:30 and 7” now with light snow and 28 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mbusada1 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 9” in heavy snow and 26 in Lothian, MD. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Snizzle, 23, and between 3 and 4" on the ground. (take note @NorthArlington101) Trying to will that band to my west over my house. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 3:59 PM, Deck Pic said: I’ve lucked out in the last 3 big ones. I think I jacked 2019. But overall I’m at 50% of climo over the 2016-17 to 2023-24 period. It all evens out. But when you get fringed I know it’s painful. Expand Not terrible at face value, nice scene of snow falling and over 3" OTG here. Not 6+ but maybe I grab 1-3" this afternoon/evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Nice bands headed into Baltimore and north 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 27/21, -SN, sitting at 6.8" so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 4:05 PM, Ravens94 said: Nice bands headed into Baltimore and north Expand Not here in Dundalk. It’s interesting, I’ve been lulled basically since 930. I don’t see anything falling now. So maybe some sketchy things going on with radar truth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 3:32 PM, jaydreb said: Calling @ravensrule. Expand They always want to make the boyfriend feel better, it makes sense. My wife just measured 12” on my back deck. I wonder if that’s correct. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 4:10 PM, Baltimorewx said: Not here in Dundalk. It’s interesting, I’ve been lulled basically since 930. I don’t see anything falling now. So maybe some sketchy things going on with radar truth Expand Don't know what he is talking about. I don't see any bands on radar, either. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Healthy looking blob out towards Winchester, i look to be on the southern end of it but Leesburg and Ashburn could get some niceness from it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 5.5” totalIn a lull but looking like we’ll get some of that batch currently impacting clskinsfan’s area. Maybe another 1-2” from the ULL later on if we’re lucky. If we can manage 7-8” here I’d consider that a win. Looking more like 3” at my house in UB per the wife Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 3:55 PM, DDweatherman said: Don't forget that is retro to 7am today, so it shows some QPF that has already fallen or was modeled to fall. Expand DCA spotted 4.7 at 7am, this would give it 8 inches even. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kay Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 All of "northern MD" is mountainous. A mini Switzerland. "Northern MD" extends eastward to just past 1-83 beyond which you are in some other state. DE I assume. (sarcasm..view from the south) enjoy the snow everyone. Heading out for a stroll! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 3:58 PM, mattie g said: The timeframes people are talking about are so small in the overall scale of things that you can't put it down to climate shifting. Sometimes places have shit luck for a period or there's some sort of cycle we're going through. No way to know for sure. Expand Agree. i mean Richmond just broke a snow drought of 1 plus inch snowfall that lasted over 1000 days yesterday. No one up here can come close to claiming anything like that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Can see a line has setup NW of DC should be some 1-2per hour stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Radar to my west is improved. Looks like that activity should come through and provide another boost to the snow. Who knows if it'll amount to much! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MountainGeek Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Yup can confirm it's legit - mod snow with decent flake size 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
konksw Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Just under 6 inches in Columbia Heights. If we can snag another half inch before the first event ends 2-3 would get us right around 8 or 9+ inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 4:10 PM, Baltimorewx said: Not here in Dundalk. It’s interesting, I’ve been lulled basically since 930. I don’t see anything falling now. So maybe some sketchy things going on with radar truth Expand Very fine snow falling currently just to your south over the Patapsco River even though radar isn’t showing anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 On 1/6/2025 at 4:13 PM, Kay said: All of "northern MD" is mountainous. A mini Switzerland. "Northern MD" extends eastward to just past 1-83 beyond which you are in some other state. DE I assume. enjoy the snow everyone. Heading out for a stroll! Expand What was your total? Looks like 3.2” here entering the lull. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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