dailylurker Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: That's happening here now. 1.5" in the last hour. Right at 7" This has been awesome for our area. It just keeps coming and coming here. It's gotten a lot steadier the past hour. Just hit 8" on the board. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umdterps29 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 4 minutes ago, WhiteoutMD said: 6.7 in Annapolis I just measured exactly 7 inches in Annapolis. That was my first time making it outside today, so there may have been a little compaction as well. Hoping to squeeze another inch out of the first part of the storm and then get another 2 inches tonight to top double digits 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 2 minutes ago, mattie g said: No doubt places north got the shaft. All the talk of the usual north ticks near the end did kind of happen, but ground truth looks to not have followed suit. Ya it ticked north, all the way up into central pa haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DanTheMan Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Not much doing on the radar but a beautiful snow-globe outside nonetheless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LordBaltimore Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1 minute ago, DDweatherman said: Anyone that entrusts in the long range HRRR doesn't see what its capable of in the convective season. I've seen it wrong by a lot at hour 3 HRRR is better than probably any other operational model at nailing bow echo/MCS structure and propagation after these things have already initiated. It's pretty much what it was designed for and the way it assimilates radar reflectivity is very different from models like the NAM or globals for that matter. It has a wheelhouse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 SN- which is very pretty to look at. Those yellows just S/SE of me are purdy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Lwx radar never picks up well up here and I don't know why. Radar shows 0 but it's snowing nicely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1 minute ago, LordBaltimore said: HRRR is better than probably any other operational model at nailing bow echo/MCS structure and propagation after these things have already initiated. It's pretty much what it was designed for and the way it assimilates radar reflectivity is very different from models like the NAM or globals for that matter. It has a wheelhouse I'd agree with this very much. That's its actual purpose. It's a mesoscale focused model thru and thru. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1 minute ago, nj2va said: SN- which is very pretty to look at. Those yellows just S/SE of me are purdy Yup. I'm a little bummed to be missing out on those. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 HRRR is fed in part by radar trends. Watch it start to look better once the remaining energy enters the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 2 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: up to a jaw-dropping total of 2.5". Props to all the "you all always cash in up that way" posters. Six years of being wrong with that thought and counting... It's probably my fault...because of my location on top of one of the highest points in east central MD right along the PA border I often do disproportionately well in very marginal events, like the 4" I got in November when even places right around me a few miles away barely got an inch! This probably gives a false sense to the board that this area up here has done better than it has recently in general. Only the very highest ridges up here have actually done ok, I feel really bad for places just south of me or in some of the valleys up here who have had it really bad recently. They have not cashed in like me in the marginal temp storms and they have missed all the coastal or slider storms to the south. The worst screw zone wrt averages in our region, which as a whole hasn't done well recently, has been that area. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowtoRain Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 9" in Easton, currently heavy snow, 24.8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Just now, mattie g said: Yup. I'm a little bummed to be missing out on those. You will have more come through in a couple hours. These bands out here are doing some work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steks43 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 6.5" - 7" depending on the ruler and my poking. 26/25 and gently, very light snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 6 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Anyone that entrusts in the long range HRRR doesn't see what its capable of in the convective season. I've seen it wrong by a lot at hour 3 HRRR is .10 or so of qpf for the ULL. I guess we could grab another inch or so but I'm certainly not counting on it. HRRR was awful for northern MD. Euro really nailed it the past 48 hours. Generally had my area between .3 and .4 qpf. Looks like that's going to be pretty accurate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Just now, clskinsfan said: You will have more come through in a couple hours. These bands out here are doing some work. Glad to hear that. I’ve been watching those the last hour. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 31 minutes ago, hsq said: Yeah! Easily. We had a smidge over 8 here in huntingtown a couple of hours back so I think 10 once this dies down is a safe bet. I think so. Still dumping hard and at 9.5" on the deck. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Paq Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Straight up puking potato chips from the sky in Easton. Easily over 1" per hour stuff. Just got back from a joyride in the truck and it put down a fresh inch on the driveway in 40 minutes. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Just now, psuhoffman said: It's probably my fault...because of my location on top of one of the highest points in east central MD right along the PA border I often do disproportionately well in very marginal events, like the 4" I got in November when even places right around me a few miles away barely got an inch! This probably gives a false sense to the board that this area up here has done better than it has recently in general. Only the very highest ridges up here have actually done ok, I feel really bad for places just south of me or in some of the valleys up here who have had it really bad recently. They have not cashed in like me in the marginal temp storms and they have missed all the coastal or slider storms to the south. The worst screw zone wrt averages in our region, which as a whole hasn't done well recently, has been that area. You said it well, the corridor along 70 east of the Catoctins up through Westminster proper and across to say Hunt Valley and north have been the worst off relative to their averages. Even in my area, the November storm was rain/snow mix 3 miles from me, 1" a couple streets down, but 2.5" up here at 900ft. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris_B Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 4 minutes ago, 87storms said: HRRR is fed in part by radar trends. Watch it start to look better once the remaining energy enters the region. Calling for about 3" from the afternoon blast. Probably cut that in half realistically. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Liking the radar. More snow is coming down! Let's add some more! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: You will have more come through in a couple hours. These bands out here are doing some work. Just need them oriented towards me. I know we'll get at least some snow on the back end, but I'm always a little concerned about subsidence between bands and that kind of thing, so I'm a little jumpy. As I'm typing this, a little enhancement just popped up on radar near me. Would love to see that expand/fill in... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
konksw Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 New band setting up across NoVa into DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Looks like it’ll be all snow for the bulk of us. Remember when it was forecast to briefly transition to a mix? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Paq Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 2 minutes ago, Chris_B said: Calling for about 3" from the afternoon blast. 6 more on top of the 9+ already down would be bananas. I'm skeptical, but hey LFG! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 4 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: It's probably my fault...because of my location on top of one of the highest points in east central MD right along the PA border I often do disproportionately well in very marginal events, like the 4" I got in November when even places right around me a few miles away barely got an inch! This probably gives a false sense to the board that this area up here has done better than it has recently in general. Only the very highest ridges up here have actually done ok, I feel really bad for places just south of me or in some of the valleys up here who have had it really bad recently. They have not cashed in like me in the marginal temp storms and they have missed all the coastal or slider storms to the south. The worst screw zone wrt averages in our region, which as a whole hasn't done well recently, has been that area. 12z Gfs says some N MD love from u/l low. Of course, I'm just a wee bit north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutMD Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 radar return south west of DC taking on a mor north movement and building Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
diatae Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Light snow now. Just measured 8". La Plata 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deer Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Radar says I'll be done with round 1 here in a bit. Triangle just to the south looks to get the last bands. Still coming down pretty nicely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alfoman Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1 minute ago, JenkinsJinkies said: Looks like it’ll be all snow for the bulk of us. Remember when it was forecast to briefly transition to a mix? Definitely had some sleet mixing into the earlier bands from DC south, so that was not wrong fully. It just never was the extent the NAM had projected it to be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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