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January 5-6 Thing Storm Obs


snowfan
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8 minutes ago, mappy said:

some better dendrites now, but still pretty paltry when not good rates. think the ULL could help us later? 

QPF looks pretty lame and the energy is deamplifying as it passes and starts to re-amp a little too late for us... but at the same time it doesn't take much to get a couple inches from these types of things...if we get any banding at all we could get a nice surprise but I am not expecting too much.  Maybe another 1-2".  

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13 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

 

 

 

Yea north of DC up into southern PA got stuck in between bands...the 85h associated band (which I never thought we were in play for much from) actually shifted southeast a bit and the 7h band shifted WAY north (which isn't uncommon recently, models really really really struggle and seem to place this way too far south or miss it completely) and left northern MD in between.  Oh well.  Happens, we still got some snow.  

What's your thoughts on round 2?

 

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Just now, psuhoffman said:

which run, its been going back and forth between dryest and wettest run to run lol 

Think I was looking at 13z, but 14z looks solid as well.  Maybe a bit better even in spots.  

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1 minute ago, North Balti Zen said:

up to a jaw-dropping total of 2.5".   Props to all the "you all always cash in up that way" posters. Six years of being wrong with that thought and counting...

Yep...I mean I'm up over 4 inches, but that's still the same 5" "barely WSW" wall I've been running into the last 6 years, so you know I get it. This has just not been a good zone to be in the last 6 years, smh (and I feel more bad for you because you moved to see more!)

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3 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

up to a jaw-dropping total of 2.5".   Props to all the "you all always cash in up that way" posters. Six years of being wrong with that thought and counting...

Over time, being north and west pays off more often than not. Having spent a decade living about 10 minutes north of mappy, more often than not, I received more snow on average than those on the wrong side of the fall line. Especially in marginal situations and with coastals. 

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4 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

up to a jaw-dropping total of 2.5".   Props to all the "you all always cash in up that way" posters. Six years of being wrong with that thought and counting...

It’s screwed up. I don’t remember what it looks like to have a verified WSW.

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6 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

up to a jaw-dropping total of 2.5".   Props to all the "you all always cash in up that way" posters. Six years of being wrong with that thought and counting...

Ya I haven’t “cashed” in since I moved up this way in 2018 

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Just took a 30 min loop thru the hood. 3” on the dot in multiple spots. Light snow with occasional dendrites throughout the journey. No sleet. Very wintry…like a winter version of those Atlantic misty days we get. Waiting on round two now.

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Just now, snowfan said:

Over time, being north and west pays off more often than not. Having spent a decade living about 10 minutes north of mappy, more often than not, I received more snow on average than those on the wrong side of the fall line. Especially in marginal situations and with coastals. 

It really is true, especially given the changes in our climo we have seen. I obviously had a big difference going from Baltimore to Westminster near McDaniel. But with recent climo, my 2021 move to Carroll Valley/Ski Liberty area has already shown a big difference. 2 warning level storms (6" & 5.5") while in one Westminster had a dusting. Its all about the long game. 

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