wxdude64 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 7 minutes ago, deer said: 32/18. Dew climbing with returns starting to hug PWC. 6 minutes ago, BristowWx said: That should shake out to about 28 or so when it starts snowing Yeah, not bullet-proof, but a +3 DP to every -1 temp is a good average. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snjókoma Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 01z HRRR looks identical to 00z, ~0.80" of QPF in DC before round 2. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deer Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Just now, Bob Chill said: Solid 1.5" before a lull. Precip on the doorstep again but I doubt it will be snow. Temps bouncing between 29-30 so frozen will continue at least. Hope y'all get hammered and schools are out for a week. Good times The weenie in me hopes the same. My bank account is on life support though, kinda need Fairfax to be open again soon lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miss Pixee Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1 hour ago, das said: This is true. I have never had a snow day or weather-related day off in my 11 years as a Fed. This. It isn't even news...teleworkers have been doing this when everyone else has leave options. It's standard policy. Meanwhile, 33/13DP 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Furthest north I see on I81 cams is just south of Woodstock. So I might have a ways to go yet. 29/10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Waiting for the column to saturate 4 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Temp went up when clouds rolled in. 27.0/11.3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 @mitchnick didn’t realize you’re like 10 miles north of me now. What part of Hanover, might make a difference here north v south side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 @HighStakes the high res guidance is all tightening the gradient as predicted, but on the PA side of the border. We should be ok. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisStock Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 love the jeb walks did that in 96 with 33 inches of snow in staten island 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deer Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 3 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Just adjusted the base reflectivity tilts and seems like returns have made it over the southern half of PWC. Waiting on them to start reaching the ground. 32/20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 A lil slick down here at the office. Currently 26F. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 6 minutes ago, wxdude64 said: Yeah, not bullet-proof, but a +3 DP to every -1 temp is a good average. The 1/3rd rule is actually pretty darn accurate. Wetbulb = Temp*.66 + DewPt*.33 is scary good for how simple it is. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Pittsburgh radar is TASTY! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 21 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: PWS says I am at 29.1/21.2 (Colesville, MD) Obviously nothing happening here as of yet. Debating napping for a few hours or just staying up all night. i just woke up from a 90 minute. hoping to make it as far as I can 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: @HighStakes the high res guidance is all tightening the gradient as predicted, but on the PA side of the border. We should be ok. Yes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 I'm encouraged by the returns on Pittsburgh's radar. Looks like there won't be some monster cutoff right at the Mason-Dixon line. Everybody wins! 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 38 minutes ago, wxmeddler said: Correct. The models had this pretty well outlayed. Euro especially. Those wishing for a 9pm start time were in for a disappointment. Totally agree on the cold to start! Rather have instant stickage than waiting for rates to overcome. Yeah. I wasn't expecting anything for a while yet. This will be a case things moisten up, start out light and then begin to pick up in earnest once the LLJ cranks into Central VA and the 85H FGEN advances north. I don't think some realize the type of wall that is approaching. Our best ascent is still way to the south. Hi-res hasn't wavered one bit. The only change, and was expected was the tightening of the northern gradient from the confluent area to the north. That's why the maxima is showing up where it is and there are secondary mini-maxes to the south of the primary confluence where the convergence of 7H FGEN and the orographic enhancements north of I-70 will help those areas despite the lower QPF output. Ratios will likely be 12-15:1 on average for those zones. 10-12:1 across the district and locally higher pending positioning in bands from the 85H FGEN. That area seems to lie between I-70 down to just north of I-66 and points east. One interesting note is the primary spot to be with this could end of being a place like Easton or Cambridge, MD over into Sussex Co. DE. That area is right in the crush zone, imo. This is going to be a nice storm. I know it's dry, but it'll be fine. Wet bulbs into the low to mid-20s for many in here. Snow will fall and it will stick instantly. Let's enjoy it!! 9 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 dews still in the mid single digits here in NW DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 2 minutes ago, Disc said: A lil slick down here at the office. Currently 26F. Pingin pretty good here to your east. It's going to be a crunchy night and AM lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 It's already been stated by the smart people here, but LWX mentions the dry air in the latest disco. Snippet below. THE ONSET OF SNOW HAS BEEN SOMEWHAT SLOWED BY THE AMPLE DRY AIR IN THE LOWEST 250 MB. THIS IS SHOWN QUITE WELL IN THE 00Z IAD SOUNDING, GENERALLY BETWEEN THE SURFACE AND 750-MB, WHICH IS CHARACTERIZED BY A LOW/MID RH OF 20-25 PERCENT. HOWEVER, THE ELEVATED CORE OF PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO COOL AND MOISTEN THE LAYER BELOW THROUGH EVAPORATION AND WET-BULBING PROCESSES. EVENTUALLY THE ENTIRE AREA WILL TRANSITION OVER TO SNOW ONCE RESIDUAL DRY AIR IS ERODED. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seether Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Almost 3 inches down here in Chester, Va just south of Richmond. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Flipped to sleet in Lynchburg. Some of the short range models are showing two inches of sleet here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yohan Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 25 minutes ago, Warm Nose said: This is incredible. I'm gonna dig up an old tablet and just put this thing up fullscreen 24/7 in the kitchen. keep in mind if guy keeps posted at url, should be fine, if not then need find other source. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 Snowing out around Johnnies Knob and Star Tannery. It wont be long for me now. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 3" now in Moseley by Mag Green Golf Course in Chesterfield Co. I know we will change over to sleet etc but man what a great front end THUMP! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 We are going to get BASHED, and I’m so excited. I might get out of my depression if it snows more than an inch. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 6 Share Posted January 6 I can't get my weather readings done, or any of my AI Prompts, or anything else done. I am fully engrossed, and I am losing the Battle of the Blizzard of 2025. I am sinking fast without a trace. This is going to be a fascinating and very fun, eminently ENJOYABLE meteorological phenomenon, even for enthusiasts like me located well over 1,300 miles away to the west southwest. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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