psuhoffman Posted Sunday at 12:38 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:38 PM 34 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Anyone have pretty HREF maps? HREF, not SREF. From what I saw on Twitter (probably old now), it likes DC-Baltimore as the max stripe, but solid for most of us. The most recent run I see is 0z 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted Sunday at 12:50 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:50 PM I hope my northern friends are feeling better today! just ignore WBAL who is going 2-4” along the MD/PA line lol 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted Sunday at 12:51 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:51 PM Looks like thundersnow near Topeka. 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted Sunday at 12:52 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:52 PM Storm starting to look very juicy on the national radar. Also, it’s weird being at 19 degrees before a storm!!! Normally it’s 51 and we’re waiting for a miraculous 20 degree drop to occur (which never happens). Flakes will not be wasted with this one. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted Sunday at 12:53 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:53 PM Does anyone have an updated cross section of the "warm nose" graph posted last night? Curious what the latest is on how far north the sleet is going to go. This was last night - regret I forgot who posted it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted Sunday at 12:53 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:53 PM 2 minutes ago, mappy said: I hope my northern friends are feeling better today! just ignore WBAL who is going 2-4” along the MD/PA line lol DC TV mets all have max snow DC-north. WBAL has been consistent with congrats Short Pump lol. It's weird. I think 3-6" for Harford/Cecil could be reasonable. 2-4"? Gtfo, especially when they have WSWs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted Sunday at 12:55 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:55 PM 3 minutes ago, RDM said: Does anyone have an updated cross section of the "warm nose" graph posted last night? Curious what the latest is on how far north the sleet is going to go. This was last night - regret I forgot who posted it. This is fairly similar... What the 6z here shows even more though is that areas JUST north of the sleet mixing line are absolutely thumping. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted Sunday at 12:56 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:56 PM 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: DC TV mets all have max snow DC-north. WBAL has been consistent with congrats Short Pump lol. It's weird. I think 3-6" for Harford/Cecil could be reasonable. 2-4"? Gtfo, especially when they have WSWs. Yeah I laughed when it was on the tv. They had 4-7” for you 7-10” DC area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted Sunday at 12:57 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:57 PM 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: DC TV mets all have max snow DC-north. WBAL has been consistent with congrats Short Pump lol. It's weird. I think 3-6" for Harford/Cecil could be reasonable. 2-4"? Gtfo, especially when they have WSWs. I happened to have WBAL on the other day for the first time in a while and I noticed they were using the Graf model as there futurecast radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Sunday at 12:58 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:58 PM High Risk posted last night that the 0z Hrrr did not have 0z soundings ingested. I would guess, therefore, that the 12z Hrrr won't have 12z sounding data. Someone with actual knowledge may feel free to correct me. It would be a first time on the forum, of course, but feel free. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted Sunday at 12:58 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:58 PM Just now, HighStakes said: I happened to have WBAL on the other day for the first time in a while and I noticed they were using the Graf model as there futurecast radar. Tommy Ts favorite. He always uses the graf. He’s also been showing the euro a lot which may be why there are lower amounts along the PA line. From what I’ve heard from Ava, they all have to follow his lead when it comes to maps and forecasts, even if they don’t agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted Sunday at 01:00 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:00 PM 2 minutes ago, HighStakes said: I happened to have WBAL on the other day for the first time in a while and I noticed they were using the Graf model as there futurecast radar. What I've occasionally seen from the GRAF on twitter is that it's closer to the consensus! WBAL seems to want to use a combo of the Ukie and the farther south Euro run from the last 48 hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted Sunday at 01:02 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:02 PM Euro is a thing of beauty. Pretty much everything has converged on a NOVA/DC jack stripe. 14 is the highest i have seen out here from any model. It's gonna snow yall. And snow hard. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted Sunday at 01:04 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:04 PM 11 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: Storm starting to look very juicy on the national radar. Also, it’s weird being at 19 degrees before a storm!!! Normally it’s 51 and we’re waiting for a miraculous 20 degree drop to occur (which never happens). Flakes will not be wasted with this one. just went for a morning run. Here in our neck of the woods, the ground is frozen solid. pretty big deal for before a snowstorm inside the beltway. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Sunday at 01:04 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:04 PM LWX bumped up the top 10% potential accums. If 12z holds, I’ll bump up my forecast and make a final call 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted Sunday at 01:05 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:05 PM 11 minutes ago, mappy said: Tommy Ts favorite. He always uses the graf. He’s also been showing the euro a lot which may be why there are lower amounts along the PA line. From what I’ve heard from Ava, they all have to follow his lead when it comes to maps and forecasts, even if they don’t agree. Interesting! I know they used to use the RPM a lot years ago but like you said they also show the Euro. I don't watch nearly as much as I used to but I feel like Tom T has definitely gotten more conservative in recent years. He's been at WBAL 35 years which is remarkable and he's a solid met. He never struck me as a my way only guy. By taking that stance he's hurting his own product by not accepting input especially from someone like Ava who's made her own mark a good meteorologist. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted Sunday at 01:07 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:07 PM 1 minute ago, HighStakes said: Interesting! I know they used to use the RPM a lot years ago but like you said they also show the Euro. I don't watch nearly as much as I used to but I feel like Tom T has definitely gotten more conservative in recent years. He's been at WBAL 35 which is remarkable and he's a solid met. He never struck me as a my way only guy. By taking that stance he's hurting his own product by not accepting input especially from someone like Ava who's made her own mark a good meteorologist. When Tony Pann, who is a snow weenie like Justin Berk, is conservative on air, you know it’s Tom’s doing lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted Sunday at 01:10 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:10 PM 35 minutes ago, Ravens94 said: Euro trending north the last 3 runs in a row shocker. Looks like Euro ticked the front end CAD better too. All good things as we close. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted Sunday at 01:12 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:12 PM 3 minutes ago, mappy said: When Tony Pann, who is a snow weenie like Justin Berk, is conservative on air, you know it’s Tom’s doing lol Justin and Tony used to have a weekly 1 hour weather talk show on WCBM in the early 2000's. Justin was at WBAL for several years before going to WMAR. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notvirga! Posted Sunday at 01:13 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:13 PM Doug K from nbc 4 in DC also shows the graf but he doesn’t use it if he thinks it’s wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted Sunday at 01:13 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:13 PM 7 minutes ago, Paleocene said: just went for a morning run. Here in our neck of the woods, the ground is frozen solid. pretty big deal for before a snowstorm inside the beltway. Maryland Mesonet two and four inch soil temps have cooled significantly into the low to mid 30s. Whatever falls will accumulate quick. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted Sunday at 01:14 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:14 PM Enjoy the snow my Southern friends as I am in New York,,,,,,my son is leaving my house ( NY ) this morning driving to Charlotte N C does anyone have a start time for this down South / does it begin after midnight or earlier ? Will my kid be ok ? Thanks in advance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted Sunday at 01:16 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:16 PM 2 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Maryland Mesonet two and four inch soil temps have cooled significantly into the low to mid 30s. Whatever falls will accumulate quick. Outside of the DCA tarmac, we’re not going to lose a flake 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted Sunday at 01:17 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:17 PM Enjoy the snow my Southern friends as I am in New York,,,,,,my son is leaving my house ( NY ) this morning driving to Charlotte N C does anyone have a start time for this down South / does it begin after midnight or earlier ? Will my kid be ok ? Thanks in advance Earlier. Snow spreads into central virginia area around 7 or 8. My goal would be to get to Charlotte by 9 if I were him. . 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted Sunday at 01:17 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:17 PM 3 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said: Enjoy the snow my Southern friends as I am in New York,,,,,,my son is leaving my house ( NY ) this morning driving to Charlotte N C does anyone have a start time for this down South / does it begin after midnight or earlier ? Will my kid be ok ? Thanks in advance Assuming he’s coming down 95, after midnight, for the 95 portion in Maryland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Sunday at 01:17 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:17 PM Just now, WxUSAF said: Outside of the DCA tarmac, we’re not going to lose a flake If it really dumps, DCA might lose the snow board again 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted Sunday at 01:18 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:18 PM 23 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: Storm starting to look very juicy on the national radar. Also, it’s weird being at 19 degrees before a storm!!! Normally it’s 51 and we’re waiting for a miraculous 20 degree drop to occur (which never happens). Flakes will not be wasted with this one. This! Even down in the lowlands of Montclair, it’s in the teens this morning and the ground is frozen solid. Would not be shocked to see the WAA snows get here before midnight. Every flake should stick too! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted Sunday at 01:19 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:19 PM New HRRR has 6 inches in dc by sunrise. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted Sunday at 01:20 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:20 PM 44 minutes ago, Ravens94 said: Euro trending north the last 3 runs in a row shocker. I thought 6z was a small step back but I didn’t see them side by side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted Sunday at 01:20 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:20 PM 1 minute ago, North Balti Zen said: Assuming he’s coming down 95, after midnight, for 95 portion in Maryland. NO brother,,,,,not 95 at all------77--> 81-------> 26. so you travel thru PA,,,,West Virginia briefly then Virginia to NC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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