BristowWx Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Is this the obs thread too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 On 1/5/2025 at 4:18 PM, BristowWx said: Is this the obs thread too? Expand We’ll do a new thread after euro. You can make it now if you want Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Latest HRRR has first flakes out here around 9. Seems a bit quicker than earlier runs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Millville seemed right on target 3 days ago with his forecast of 8-12” for much of the area. All the models agree with the DMV being in the bullseye. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 On 1/5/2025 at 2:50 PM, Brasiluvsnow said: Agreed and THAT IS EXACTLY WHAT I HAVE TOLD THEM ,,,,,,,,, Expand Or they can reenact Donner Pass 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 On 1/5/2025 at 4:21 PM, snowmagnet said: Millville seemed right on target 3 days ago with his forecast of 8-12” for much of the area. All the models agree with the DMV being in the bullseye. Expand Same with DT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 On 1/5/2025 at 4:18 PM, BristowWx said: Is this the obs thread too? Expand Great day 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 On 1/5/2025 at 4:21 PM, snowmagnet said: Millville seemed right on target 3 days ago with his forecast of 8-12” for much of the area. All the models agree with the DMV being in the bullseye. Expand He's great. So many other top notch experts here. This boards has got to be the number 1 source for expert analysis bar none. We civilians are so fortunate to be able to interact with them. It's like the average fan chatting basketball with Magic Johnson on a regular basis. 21 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 On 1/5/2025 at 4:24 PM, HighStakes said: He's great. So many other top notch experts here. This boards has got to be the number 1 source for expert analysis bar none. We civilians are so fortunate to be able to interact with them. It's like the average fan chatting basketball with Magic Johnson on a regular basis. Expand Concur, there are Top Notch Red Tagger Mets in here 12 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 On 1/5/2025 at 4:28 PM, Solution Man said: Concur, there are Top Notch Red Tagger Mets in here Expand Wxman1 is a favorite of mine. The name says it all. Number 1. He knows shit. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 UKIE caved. Much better this run. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 On 1/5/2025 at 4:34 PM, BristowWx said: Wxman1 is a favorite of mine. The name says it all. Number 1. He knows shit. Expand I think you are missing a word. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 On 1/5/2025 at 4:35 PM, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: I think you are missing a word. lol Expand a lot of shit…lol… 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Based off mPING reports snow starts quickly after returns move overhead. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 On 1/5/2025 at 4:22 PM, WEATHER53 said: Or they can reenact Donner Pass Expand My mummy is yummy Sorry. I will behave rest of way. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 Following live storm coverage here. https://youtu.be/49nNsTMVAdk You can watch them push cars out of ditches, get thundersnow updates, etc. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 On 1/5/2025 at 3:22 PM, JakkelWx said: ??? Same here! From 2021. I was lurking this whole time and saw this post and HAD to chime in lol. Expand lol many years earler 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMan1 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 On 1/5/2025 at 4:34 PM, BristowWx said: Wxman1 is a favorite of mine. The name says it all. Number 1. He knows shit. Expand Well, I thank you. There really are some excellent mets on this board, and it has been great following and keeping in touch with them and all the weather enthusiasts for well over a decade now. Heck even during the Eastern US Wx board days. Let me just add... collectively we are essentially a ML/AI model. So much experience in this room, we've seen it all, or just about, in the last couple of decades. That really helps forecasting events like this. Think the mean and mode for the immediate metro region will be 6-8", maybe 7-9". That's what the probabilistic maps are suggesting. Certainly 10-11" will be possible wherever that FGEN band sets up later Monday. Maybe along Rte 50, though probably south. Either way, some cold smoke coming, at the right perfect time of year climatically speaking. Enjoy it everyone! 21 4 1 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 First flakes into western WV. Comes in like a wall it looks like. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 DCA 5-minute ob is currently 36/1. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 On 1/5/2025 at 4:49 PM, MN Transplant said: DCA 5-minute ob is currently 36/1. Expand 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 On 1/5/2025 at 4:48 PM, WxMan1 said: Well, I thank you. There really are some excellent mets on this board, and it has been great following and keeping in touch with them and all the weather enthusiasts for well over a decade now. Heck even during the Eastern US Wx board days. Let me just add... collectively we are essentially a ML/AI model. So much experience in this room, we've seen it all, or just about, in the last couple of decades. That really helps forecasting events like this. Think the mean and mode for the immediate metro region will be 6-8", maybe 7-9". That's what the probabilistic maps are suggesting. Certainly 10-11" will be possible wherever that FGEN band sets up later Monday. Maybe along Rte 50, though probably south. Either way, some cold smoke coming, at the right perfect time of year climatically speaking. Enjoy it everyone! Expand gonna train a new model on all the red-taggers' posts lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 So what did euro and ukmet get wrong?. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 WB 12Z HRDPS (high res.) came north and is in line with other guidance. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 On 1/5/2025 at 3:47 PM, clskinsfan said: ICON Ensemble has many more northern SLPS this run. Trending north for sure. Expand Liking the north tick! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 On 1/5/2025 at 4:56 PM, Weather Will said: WB 12Z HRDPS (high res.) came north and is in line with other guidance. Expand So glad they came north !!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 With the north tick on the models I wonder if LWX will increase amounts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 On 1/5/2025 at 4:59 PM, winter_warlock said: Liking the north tick! Expand We can usually count on the North trend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 On 1/5/2025 at 5:01 PM, winter_warlock said: With the north tick on the models I wonder if LWX will increase amounts? Expand Only really ticking north in the most south of models coming in line with the rest. 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 5 Share Posted January 5 On 1/5/2025 at 5:01 PM, winter_warlock said: With the north tick on the models I wonder if LWX will increase amounts? Expand Don’t think so. I think they have been anticipating the north trend with their current forecast. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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