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January 5-6 Thing II: STORM MODE


stormtracker
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  On 1/5/2025 at 5:21 AM, stormtracker said:

Looking good so far.  No thermal problems...northern fringe of heavies precip expanded just a bit..like 30 miles.   Not saying the storm is moving north! 

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The northern MD crew doesn’t need it to trend north. There is a legit path to a full forum win here. If that h7 driven band on the northern fringe beefs up just a bit as it often does at the last minute, and the h85 driven band stays where it is, we could get a full forum EZF to the Pa line warning event. 

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  On 1/5/2025 at 5:25 AM, Deck Pic said:

This euro run is a miracle of modern science

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Wow. The NAM shifted back south and is all snow for DC, HRRR looks great, GFS is all snow and is solid, and now the ECMWF is north (in terms of precip not the actual storm). A miracle of modern science.

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  On 1/5/2025 at 5:26 AM, psuhoffman said:

The northern MD crew doesn’t need it to trend north. There is a left path to a full forum win here. If that h7 driven band on the northern fringe beefs up just a bit as it often does at the last minute, and the h85 driven band stays where it is, we could get a full forum EZF to the Pa line warning event. 

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Kinda getting close to that on the euro run right now 

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  On 1/5/2025 at 5:27 AM, DDweatherman said:

Kinda getting close to that on the euro run right now 

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I types that up just before the run hit. The euro did almost exactly what I hoped and now looks really close to what I envisioned. I’d maybe expect another slight beefing up of the QPF along the PA line area but not much. Maybe another .1 qpf. But that’s another 1-2” which gets that area into that 5-8” range I’ve been thinking all along. 

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