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January 5-6 Thing II: STORM MODE


stormtracker
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2 minutes ago, Deck Pic said:

People here are going to sweat the dry slot.  But this 500mb passage is pretty sick.  It will be like a 4 hour lull maybe.  HODL

Noon on monday the ull is still in KY

image.thumb.png.92eab0a03c0f4a1448541913491a5777.png

We accumulate snow, lightly, at every time step until midnight thanks to the influence of the 500 low.

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2 minutes ago, Deck Pic said:

People here are going to sweat the dry slot.  But this 500mb passage is pretty sick.  It will be like a 4 hour lull maybe.  HODL

Noon on monday the ull is still in KY

image.thumb.png.92eab0a03c0f4a1448541913491a5777.png

Snow weenie dreams are made of things like this. Just wow. :o 

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6 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:

Always trusted your insight so any thoughts on ground truth? This seems like a reasonable outcome to you?  

I'm sticking with the euro at least through tonight.  This storm looks pretty exciting in terms of the upside.  But we get screwed a lot lol

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Just now, Ephesians2 said:

Jan 2019 seems the closest, at least that I can think of. 

That was an over-performer for sure in the metro DC area...though I don't think it was as good for areas up toward BWI and north, whereas this one looks better relatively speaking.  I also recall LWX went 8-12" in the metro DC area which at first seemed really aggressive but ended up spot-on.

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2 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

We are 30 hours out now, a bonafide chance of an old-fashioned  snowy, cold, wintry week!  And by January 7 a lot of winter snow forecasts go up in flames already!!!!  I must be dreaming!!!!

I went 22/18/21 I think, so I'm rooting against myself for a hit up there lol.

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5 minutes ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said:

That was an over-performer for sure in the metro DC area...though I don't think it was as good for areas up toward BWI and north, whereas this one looks better relatively speaking.  I also recall LWX went 8-12" in the metro DC area which at first seemed really aggressive but ended up spot-on.

No it was not...we don't talk about 2019 <_<

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LOL
Not less than 30 hours from game time. And you run a weather page...

Don’t know. I have seen the Nam make wild swings before close to game time. I predicted this would happen today
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2 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

No it was not...we don't talk about 2019 <_<

Yeah that's kind of what I remember from that event in 2019.  Sorry to bring up "bad" memories on that...I guess it's like the Voldemort storm from B**ing D*y 2010 (the Storm Which Shall Not Be Named!).  But this event for Monday, looks a lot better for areas up to the north as well, compared to that 2019 storm.

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1 minute ago, Ji said:


Don’t know. I have seen the Nam make wild swings before close to game time. I predicted this would happen today

I'd be cautiously optimistic with the NAM.  It's exciting to look at, but we know the NAM has burned us plenty of times.   If the GFS/Euro combo confirms, then yeah...I can believe over 6 for us

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