stormtracker Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Ok, the time has come. We gotta tighten up and get strict around here. Storm mode time. If you see your posts disappearing, probably should take a new strategy and make better posts, that includes me. We know this is every man for himself wrt model desires, but let's stop with the regional infighting and asking the. models to go north, south, east, west. Not going to be a lot of warnings and mods are gonna be 5 posting a little more liberally, especially with obvious troll posts. Ok, with that out of the way, let's try to reel this in. And post about your favorite recipes and TV shows in this thread. Of of those things you absolutely shouldn't do. 19 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 4 Author Share Posted January 4 Ok, GFS has begun. Somebody else can summarize the previous 6z models and 12z NAM. I was in a medicine coma for those. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Radar over KS starting to blossom which is our storm. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 4 Author Share Posted January 4 So far, just a slight bit more confluence on the GFS. Not huge by any means. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 If we’re looking for clues in some regards to nowcasting, watch out in the Midwest states, particularly the battleground areas and fringes (Iowa, Indy suburbs, S IL, etc.) 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 06z GFS was a major hit for almost everyone... hopefully the 12z GFS can continue that 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 4 Author Share Posted January 4 Confluence is definitely a bit stronger, but nothing earth shattering at 33hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 4 Author Share Posted January 4 Closing in at 3z. Snowing at 6z Edit to change 9z to 6z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 12Z models....pre GFS 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Confluence is definitely a bit stronger, but nothing earth shattering at 33hr Noticed it at 24 as well over VT/NH area. Slight southeast component to the low at 30 comparing to 6z. Don’t know if it’s noise yet or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 4 Author Share Posted January 4 Moderate snow at 9z for everybody. Temps no issue..seems a tad colder vs 6z 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 4 Author Share Posted January 4 Sounding people, check 'em. Looks like all if not mostly snow from EZF north? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 The GFS is a thing of beauty for NOVA and DC. We get smashed. 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 WB 12Z GFS 10am Mon; 1pm, 4pm 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Sounding people, check 'em. Looks like all if not mostly snow from EZF north? DCA metro is snow at 15z MON... barely. if its light precip, sleet will possibly mix in. warm nose is near 800mb... but 0.5c at most Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Good run for everyone, touch colder than 6z overall. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Transfer taking place at 54, looks good for all, thermals holding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 4 Author Share Posted January 4 Not going to bother with SV accum maps. Gonna ask the WB people to do the lifting there. Not a bad run for the metros. We all get 6 with more as you go south from M/D line. Just SE of DC is 10" where the NAM has like 1. lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 4 Author Share Posted January 4 2 minutes ago, yoda said: DCA is snow at 15z MON WB has it as sleet or something according to Will's map. You have the sounding? Sometimes WB paints sleet in snow/close snow situations ETA: Nevermind. Saw you edited and said you checked the sounding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Just now, stormtracker said: WB has it as sleet or something according to Will's map. You have the sounding? Sometimes WB paints sleet in snow/close snow situations Mobile, so hard to post. Seems like it would be snow to me. Isothermal at worst, and as said above a touch colder than last run. Run is very similar otherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
schinz Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: WB has it as sleet or something according to Will's map. You have the sounding? Sometimes WB paints sleet in snow/close snow situations ETA: Nevermind. Saw you edited and said you checked the sounding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 4 Author Share Posted January 4 Just now, DDweatherman said: Mobile, so hard to post. Seems like it would be snow to me. Isothermal at worst, and as said above a touch colder than last run. Run is very similar otherwise. Yeah, WB precip type seems off, especially since this run is a hair cooler. I'd like to hear what our mets think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 DC proper may flirt with sleet a bit after 12z Monday but it’s close. A good dumping anyways. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 4 Author Share Posted January 4 1 minute ago, yoda said: Hmm, that's close af. Mets? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deer Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Seems like a hold for most of the area from 06z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Just now, stormtracker said: Hmm, that's close af. Mets? That’s sleet 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Slightly drier this run, mostly noise. WB 12Z GFS precip compared to 6Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Just now, CoastalWx said: DC proper may flirt with sleet a bit after 12z Monday but it’s close. A good dumping anyways. I would posit that as long as the precip doesnt get too light, it should remain snow since the "nose" is only a few tenths above 0c Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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