wncsnow Posted Sunday at 05:14 AM Share Posted Sunday at 05:14 AM Down to 24.5 and the dewpoint is 16. WAA is a beyatch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Sunday at 06:02 AM Share Posted Sunday at 06:02 AM There's sleet and ice too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted Sunday at 12:34 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 12:34 PM From GSPAs of 300 AM Sunday: Shortwave energy will carve out a deep troughacross the Northeast to Mid-Atlantic Wednesday into Thursday,which will bring a reinforcing dry cold front thru the forecastarea. The front may bring a round of stratocu along the TN borderand breezy conditions across the mountains Wednesday aftn intoWednesday night. This combined with temps still 10-15 deg belownormal may produce wind chills around -5F across the NorthernMountains thru early Thursday morning. Winds should subside andskies become clear Thursday, but highs will remain chilly.The latest guidance seems to be trending toward a distinct southernstream upper low in northwestern Mexico that interacts with adigging trough over the Great Plains. This will likely produce asfc wave near the Texas Coast late Thursday. This wave may advanceeast along/near the Gulf Coast and spread moisture across theSoutheast Friday into Friday night. The latest NBM already haslikely PoPs spreading into the forecast area Friday night. Thisprecip would likely fall into chilly air, which depending on thethermal profiles, may result in freezing rain, snow, or a wintrymix for our area. The 00z GFS shows mostly a RA/SN event, withaccumulating snow across nearly the entire forecast area Fridayaftn thru Friday night. The 00z ECMWF has trended toward the GFS,but is still more of a wintry mix setup with a warm nose punchinginto the area. For what it`s worth, the Canadian keeps the systemsuppressed and is mostly dry for our area. A little over a majorityof the ensemble members have measurable precip Friday-Friday night,with the mean sfc temps below freezing. So confidence is increasingon some type of wintry event late Friday or Saturday. PoPs wereheld in the chance range with a rain/snow fcst for now due to somuch uncertainty. This system will definitely bear watching. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WiseWeather Posted Sunday at 01:13 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:13 PM Low of 22 this morning… lets see how high we go today!. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Sunday at 01:59 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:59 PM I’m getting Jan 2022 vibes. I think the setup is very different in the upper levels but the surface depiction feels similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Sunday at 02:02 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:02 PM I need a subscription to one of these model tracking sites. I’d kill to see the city chart for Hickory rn. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Sunday at 02:45 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:45 PM If that moisture can hang on over the mountains, we’re going to get quite the surprise. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Sunday at 03:18 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:18 PM 33 minutes ago, BooneWX said: If that moisture can hang on over the mountains, we’re going to get quite the surprise. Air is pretty dry. I'm afraid it will be mostly virga 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted Sunday at 03:57 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:57 PM 37 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Air is pretty dry. I'm afraid it will be mostly virga Yep, I believe you are correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
avianman Posted Sunday at 04:07 PM Share Posted Sunday at 04:07 PM I was just in Wilkesboro and there were flurries up there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Sunday at 04:29 PM Share Posted Sunday at 04:29 PM Never knew interstate placement could be so controversial. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted Sunday at 04:30 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 04:30 PM Never knew interstate placement could be so controversial. I was going to comment but ya know. We all got it. . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Sunday at 04:30 PM Share Posted Sunday at 04:30 PM Just now, wncsnow said: Never knew interstate placement could be so controversial. I’m telling you, we gotta move it all here going forward. As we get closer, if we get more I85 solutions, it’s going to be gross in that main thread. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Sunday at 04:52 PM Share Posted Sunday at 04:52 PM UK looks a little weaker/suppressed through 117. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Sunday at 04:54 PM Share Posted Sunday at 04:54 PM Snows in northern AL and MS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Sunday at 04:54 PM Share Posted Sunday at 04:54 PM Looks like a good low track on the UK. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Sunday at 04:56 PM Share Posted Sunday at 04:56 PM Ends up being a little too suppressed but I like that look 5/6 days out. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted Sunday at 05:01 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:01 PM If it amped at the right time, the foothills and mountains could end up getting a big dog. Weaker solution helps our neighbors south and east though… 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted Sunday at 05:01 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 05:01 PM If it amped at the right time, the foothills and mountains could end up getting a big dog. Weaker solution helps our neighbors south and east though…We walk the line for sure. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Sunday at 05:25 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:25 PM All in all, I like where we’re at right now, even if we’re still awaiting the Euro. I’m getting a feeling that we’re looking at a true CAD event regardless of how amped or not amped the system is. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Sunday at 05:34 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:34 PM Got a few rain drops and 36. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted Sunday at 05:36 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 05:36 PM Got a few rain drops and 36.Same at 35. Was not thinking I would see any till late PM . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Sunday at 05:37 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:37 PM Some pingers mixed in 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Sunday at 05:41 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:41 PM That euro run was terrible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted Sunday at 05:42 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:42 PM Right on queue. As soon as I start to believe… models worsen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Sunday at 05:43 PM Share Posted Sunday at 05:43 PM Sleet 35/18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted Sunday at 06:10 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:10 PM Moderate sleetfest outside. 35.2/19 here.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
avianman Posted Sunday at 06:14 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:14 PM Sleeting NE Hickory. 35° 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Sunday at 06:34 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:34 PM My family in Mount Airy has about a half an inch on the ground, silver dollars falling and it’s 28. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Sunday at 06:40 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:40 PM . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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