wncsnow Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 Euro snow for Saturday morning 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 The day 8 storm does remind me of Feb 2014 storm @BooneWX 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 25 minutes ago, wncsnow said: The day 8 storm does remind me of Feb 2014 storm @BooneWX Almost insane how much they look alike, not only at the 500mb level but with the surface depiction too for these clown runs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 27 minutes ago, wncsnow said: The day 8 storm does remind me of Feb 2014 storm @BooneWX Just now, BooneWX said: Almost insane how much they look alike, not only at the 500mb level but with the surface depiction too for these clown runs. I’m gonna need it to jackpot a bit further west than it did that day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 ICON is snow for the mountains Saturday morning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 14 Author Share Posted January 14 3 minutes ago, wncsnow said: ICON is snow for the mountains Saturday morning verbatim down into the hills of Rutherford also. wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 14 Share Posted January 14 It looks like one of those marginal deals where timing and the intensity of precipitation is key. If we get a heavier band move in around sunrise we could get a surprise inch or 2. If its light or later it will be drizzle or light rain. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 15 Author Share Posted January 15 Back to normal school time today. This is one of our roads we go down. Won’t be this week! Right at 30 . 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 On 1/13/2025 at 12:07 PM, WNC_Fort said: I do feel like the MLK day storm does have legs but think it might be one of those ENC specials where we are left cold/dry. Still early but just my hunch. Still leaning towards cold/dry for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 hour ago, WNC_Fort said: Still leaning towards cold/dry for us I am too for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 She’ll come west. Our HP and cold press isn’t looking as stout or far south as initially thought and I think soon we’ll see runs that reflect that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Canadian has the most climatological look of any rn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Just now, BooneWX said: She’ll come west. Our HP and cold press isn’t looking as stout or far south as initially thought and I think soon we’ll see runs that reflect that. I'm more concerned about the strength of the energy and the fact it's not consolidated 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: I'm more concerned about the strength of the energy and the fact it's not consolidated That could be an issue as well. I still think we’re days from knowing but I’ve seen this dance played out too often to feel like enc is scoring in this storm. Nothing against them at all and I’ll be rooting for them if so - but you absolutely don’t want to be in the bullseye at day 6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 Yea, I think I'm concerned by the system itself. Still a bit burned by that last system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 15 Author Share Posted January 15 I'm concerned about everything LOL. Its all trends and looks now. You can never always count on any NW movement. But we need this system to his before Thursday (prime time would be Tuesday night into Wednesday) to have more of a cold look around. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted January 15 Share Posted January 15 1 minute ago, strongwxnc said: I'm concerned about everything LOL. Its all trends and looks now. You can never always count on any NW movement. But we need this system to his before Thursday (prime time would be Tuesday night into Wednesday) to have more of a cold look around. The one big thing I've noticed is the moisture seems to blossom on the GFS runs when the high pressure is sitting over West Virginia,Virginia, Pennsylvania area, but on runs where the high pressure is moving down through Kansas, Oklahoma area the low gets shunted into the gulf. It will be interesting to see where the high pressure sets up overhead and how much the low can amplify. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Wednesday at 03:07 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 03:07 PM Saturday morning could still start as snow or some freezing rain if the NAM is right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Wednesday at 04:21 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 04:21 PM Hot take- we get more flakes Saturday morning than next week 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted Wednesday at 05:45 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:45 PM 1 hour ago, wncsnow said: Hot take- we get more flakes Saturday morning than next week Why are you so negative on next week's potential? You are trolling every post. Stop with the " one-liners and explain why you believe this. I would be happy to hear it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Wednesday at 05:48 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:48 PM Just now, CAD_Wedge_NC said: Why are you so negative on next week's potential? You are trolling every post. Stop with the " one-liners and explain why you believe this. I would be happy to hear it. I don't think you know what trolling means. 1. The air is the coldest, driest we have seen in years and it will take a strong S/W to be able to counter this. 2. The S/Ws that have been modeled have been weak and strung out much like the other ones we have had previously this winter. Remember last week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted Wednesday at 05:54 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 05:54 PM 2 minutes ago, wncsnow said: I don't think you know what trolling means. 1. The air is the coldest, driest we have seen in years and it will take a strong S/W to be able to counter this. 2. The S/Ws that have been modeled have been weak and strung out much like the other ones we have had previously this winter. Remember last week? Do you really think that the cold push will be that strong come verification time???? Rarely is as modeled at this range. To say that we will not get anything during the entire week sounds like a pretty bold statement to me. I would definitely bet the over on that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Wednesday at 06:08 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 06:08 PM All I’m paying attention to right now is the baroclinic zone setting up. I don’t buy suppressed solutions at this range because historically, it’s going to ride that gradient, which is not only a good storm for us, it’s a memorable one. Like I said earlier today. There would be no death wish greater than having the jackpot over us at day 6. Patience, it’s coming west with time. It’s a climatologically ripe storm for us, not to even mention that consistently, every model underperforms at this range with the extent of the moisture to the NW. I cannot count on my hand how many times I’ve seen this depiction at day 6, only for it to be a huge storm for WNC, ETN and SW VA. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pilotwx Posted Wednesday at 08:57 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 08:57 PM Yep, rather be where we are right now. As most who have been here for years know there usually is a NW trend. Probably start sniffing it out day 3 or late day runs on day 4. Also you can rest up as you dont have to worry about how much, at this point your thinking a dusting is a win 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Wednesday at 09:49 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 09:49 PM Its the long range NAM but it puts down some snow Saturday morning for the Blue Ridge 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Wednesday at 09:49 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 09:49 PM RDPS has snow too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Wednesday at 09:50 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 09:50 PM And the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Wednesday at 09:51 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 09:51 PM Finally the ICON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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