BooneWX Posted Tuesday at 04:22 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:22 PM I have little faith in SREF plumes but I did find it interesting for KHKY that yesterday there was good consensus for a sub-2” event with most members below the mean line. Today there are two groups forming: one is a tight cluster between 2.5-4” and another slightly smaller but still large cluster between 1-2”. Yesterday, several members blanked KHKY and today, none do. Outliers: 2 members @ .35” 4 members (up from 2 members yesterday) >5” 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Tuesday at 04:49 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:49 PM With these cirrus filtering in, it looks and feels like something is coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted Tuesday at 04:50 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:50 PM Here's the image from the 09Z SREF for KHKY. Two inches of snow would feel like a really big win at this point. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Tuesday at 04:52 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:52 PM Uk with slight improvement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Tuesday at 04:54 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:54 PM A lot of the improvement is keeping the initial band together 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Tuesday at 05:01 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:01 PM I think the big thing tomorrow is that some stretch of western NC is likely to get completely blanked. It’s the nature of these systems moving west to east. The big question is where. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Tuesday at 05:34 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:34 PM Euro with a slight improvement with overall precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted Tuesday at 05:37 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:37 PM 36 minutes ago, BooneWX said: I think the big thing tomorrow is that some stretch of western NC is likely to get completely blanked. It’s the nature of these systems moving west to east. The big question is where. Yeah, that's my fear, at this point, too. Catawba County Schools are going remote learning tomorrow. It will be so sad if students just have to stare at brown earth all day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted Tuesday at 05:55 PM Author Share Posted Tuesday at 05:55 PM Yeah, that's my fear, at this point, too. Catawba County Schools are going remote learning tomorrow. It will be so sad if students just have to stare at brown earth all day.I assume the same down here in Rutherford also. Have not called yet . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Tuesday at 06:15 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 06:15 PM SREF mean looks like it’ll be slightly less but overall not much of a change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted Tuesday at 06:39 PM Author Share Posted Tuesday at 06:39 PM 23 minutes ago, BooneWX said: SREF mean looks like it’ll be slightly less but overall not much of a change about 2" for me. Well the site is about 20 miles to my East on the SREF page. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted Tuesday at 07:39 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:39 PM RAP at the end of the run has snow breaking out and lifting under SW MTNS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted Tuesday at 07:46 PM Author Share Posted Tuesday at 07:46 PM RAP at the end of the run has snow breaking out and lifting under SW MTNS. Yes, I would like to see more of that! . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Tuesday at 07:47 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:47 PM That upper low feature gives as much or more snow than the actual "low" on the HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Tuesday at 07:48 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:48 PM HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Tuesday at 07:57 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 07:57 PM GSP cut my expected snowfall by half an inch but increased the high end by an inch. In short - nobody knows! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Tuesday at 08:05 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:05 PM the Nam and Hi Res Nam suck this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Tuesday at 08:08 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:08 PM 2 minutes ago, wncsnow said: the Nam and Hi Res Nam suck this run. The 3k has been firing warning shots for several runs now. I could care less locally because my expectations are low but this could be heartbreak city tomorrow for the triad and Wake co. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Tuesday at 08:13 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:13 PM The NAM has a distinct line of storms in the gulf robbing moisture transport. Like I said earlier, that’s the key to the boom or bust factor for many. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Tuesday at 08:20 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:20 PM 5 minutes ago, BooneWX said: The NAM has a distinct line of storms in the gulf robbing moisture transport. Like I said earlier, that’s the key to the boom or bust factor for many. It also is weaker and further offshore. I was feeling a bit hopeful earlier but not anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Tuesday at 08:57 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:57 PM ICON- less moisture. We are on the train to milky sunshine 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted Wednesday at 12:53 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 12:53 AM Brad P. Says that the lull in precip back here in the West is due to the low pressure basically jumping to the east coast and transferring the best lift and energy to the east for the coastal to take over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WiseWeather Posted Wednesday at 01:02 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:02 AM Im holding onto my 19 virtual inches i had at 0z last Wednesday night and im not letting go. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Wednesday at 01:09 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:09 AM 6 minutes ago, WiseWeather said: Im holding onto my 19 virtual inches i had at 0z last Wednesday night and im not letting go. . I sat out the sled, flat side up for measurements and good luck. Nothing wrong with bringing the vibes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted Wednesday at 01:10 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:10 AM 7 minutes ago, WiseWeather said: Im holding onto my 19 virtual inches i had at 0z last Wednesday night and im not letting go. . You are going to need a virtual snowblower for all of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WiseWeather Posted Wednesday at 01:11 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:11 AM You are going to need a virtual snowblower for all of that.We live in the foothills…. Who needs a snowblower on a gravel road?? . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted Wednesday at 01:18 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:18 AM 6 minutes ago, WiseWeather said: We live in the foothills…. Who needs a snowblower on a gravel road?? . When the euro had HKY at like 10-11" on Friday or Saturday night, I said oh no here we go, no one wants to be in the bullseye 4 days out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WiseWeather Posted Wednesday at 01:19 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:19 AM When the euro had HKY at like 10-11" on Friday or Saturday night, I said oh no here we go, no one wants to be in the bullseye 4 days out.I dont think you even want it to show snow 24 hours out now… the models suck.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Wednesday at 01:21 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:21 AM HRRR does have a little love this run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted Wednesday at 01:25 AM Share Posted Wednesday at 01:25 AM 3 minutes ago, wncsnow said: HRRR does have a little love this run It looked much better on the radar depiction than previous cycles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now