Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,793
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    manaja
    Newest Member
    manaja
    Joined

2025 foothills Thread


 Share

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1.1k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

6 minutes ago, mercurydime said:

4.29 inches for this rain event. That's a soaking. 

Catawba got up some and it's scary without any banks that were destroyed from Helene. I'm afraid a 15 ft level will be more like a 20 ft level now. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

55 minutes ago, WNC_Fort said:

What does it take for us in the foothills to score anymore. It's either amped/rain or weak/sheared/no precip. I just need 1 decent storm y'all.

I think we get a mix of everything this storm but it could trend NW and we get 35 and rain. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I’m going to track this storm because it’s weather but my gut and initial thought is that most of the foothills will see zero snow from this setup. It’s a sleet - sleet and Zr to Zr situation unfortunately. I’m not buying any snow south of middle VA. There’s cold air around that could change this but we don’t know how to do phased storms unless it’s something the pine swamps in ENC can benefit from.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

11 minutes ago, BooneWX said:

I’m going to track this storm because it’s weather but my gut and initial thought is that most of the foothills will see zero snow from this setup. It’s a sleet - sleet and Zr to Zr situation unfortunately. I’m not buying any snow south of middle VA. There’s cold air around that could change this but we don’t know how to do phased storms unless it’s something the pine swamps in ENC can benefit from.

I think CAD might be underdone and could help us with surface temps at least. Could be a nasty ice storm or a sleet bomb

Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

I think CAD might be underdone and could help us with surface temps at least. Could be a nasty ice storm or a sleet bomb

I’ll hope for the latter and I do agree that CAD will come in stronger than modeled on globals. Would love a good front end thump of snow but ice is the likely setup when you’re scooting that 50/50 low so far east. Still time for an earlier phase and honestly some models are teetering close to that.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, BooneWX said:

I’m optimistic that this predominantly snow area could expand a bit as models catch onto CAD. I think we already started to see that last night. 

Looks like Euro ensembles at this point is our best bet. I feel like in these situations is going to be hard to avoid some sleet and possibly some freezing rain here. Even the big storm of December of 2009, I had 8 to 9" in my area with sleet and freezing rain, while Lenoir up to the mountains just got crushed with snow. I think all in all it could be a major winter storm that shows a little bit of everything for us. I do like seeing the ensembles get a little bit colder each run. I think we will see precipitation expand further north and west as we get closer to the storm, not necessarily A further north track just a depiction of moisture expanding further north and west and if we can combine that with colder temperatures each run we should transition more to a snow and sleet storm.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

23 minutes ago, WXNewton said:

Looks like Euro ensembles at this point is our best bet. I feel like in these situations is going to be hard to avoid some sleet and possibly some freezing rain here. Even the big storm of December of 2009, I had 8 to 9" in my area with sleet and freezing rain, while Lenoir up to the mountains just got crushed with snow. I think all in all it could be a major winter storm that shows a little bit of everything for us. I do like seeing the ensembles get a little bit colder each run. I think we will see precipitation expand further north and west as we get closer to the storm, not necessarily A further north track just a depiction of moisture expanding further north and west and if we can combine that with colder temperatures each run we should transition more to a snow and sleet storm.

I’m all for a good ol fashioned 3-4” of snow with 2 inches of sleet for sledding. Just hope we can keep the ZR out. 

  • Like 2
  • 100% 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

23 minutes ago, WXNewton said:

Looks like Euro ensembles at this point is our best bet. I feel like in these situations is going to be hard to avoid some sleet and possibly some freezing rain here. Even the big storm of December of 2009, I had 8 to 9" in my area with sleet and freezing rain, while Lenoir up to the mountains just got crushed with snow. I think all in all it could be a major winter storm that shows a little bit of everything for us. I do like seeing the ensembles get a little bit colder each run. I think we will see precipitation expand further north and west as we get closer to the storm, not necessarily A further north track just a depiction of moisture expanding further north and west and if we can combine that with colder temperatures each run we should transition more to a snow and sleet storm.

 

december_18-19_2009_nc_snowmap (1).gif

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...