SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 6 minutes ago, CAPE said: Me too. Also snow on snow. I will be hiking on Monday if this forecast holds. Absolutely, I’m a snow pack guy as well. This week will be ideal with the low sun angle and temps in the 20s. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Well the NAM is running......its finally getting into range where its somewhat useful.....remember the NAM always overdoes QPF by at least 25% so dont get too excited when you see the totals it spits out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King George Dee Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Your theory is holding water so far, with DC near jackpot zone and 48 hours to go. Creep North my friend. Don’t be greedy . King George and Fredericksburg want snow too!. 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Just now, Shad said: Well the NAM is running......its finally getting into range where its somewhat useful.....remember the NAM always overdoes QPF by at least 25% so dont get too excited when you see the totals it spits out! I know it's a bias, but I don't think we can necessarily just cut qpf because of it 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 minute ago, King George Dee said: Don’t be greedy . King George and Fredericksburg want snow too! . I used to live at the back of Tyringham Drive off Millbank road in KG. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: I still think nrn MD is the jack zone for now although I realize some of the guidance is south. Just going by how these trend and mid level features. We’ll see what 12z does. Either way a solid hit in the DC-BWI metro for sure. There will be a narrow area of 12+ I think. Sweet, thanks again for your input! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Really nice look at 500 on the nam precip is heavier out west already because of it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 minute ago, Ravens94 said: Really nice look at 500 on the nam precip is heavier out west already because of it At which hour on the 12z NAM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Through 30, heights a touch lower out front but it’s mostly noise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 6 minutes ago, yoda said: At which hour on the 12z NAM? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Snowing in central va at 36, now on doorstep @40 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 hour ago, WVclimo said: DC with greater than a 50% chance of 8”+ Wow, DC the favored low-land contender - I'm not sure I've seen that before. Is this a bias-adjusted best estimate of the chance or the percent of ensemble members giving 8 or more inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Moderat snow in Nova@42, and western md Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Where is stormtracker and why is he not tracking storms 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Snowing DC metro at 05z Mon on 12z NAM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Just now, Ji said: Where is stormtracker and why is he not tracking storms Couple of options, 1 being he doesn’t care about the Nam much. 2: dc is a snow town again, so he doesn’t need to worry about models. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Nam looking good again. Good N/S interaction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 minute ago, Ravens94 said: Sfc low farther south, but not sure what it showed last run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 that dry slot is a bit scary..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 NOVA and DC sleeting at 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Just now, Terpeast said: Sfc low farther south, but not sure what it showed last run Same location just slightly east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Not any more north but last 3 runs drying on the south side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 minute ago, Solution Man said: NOVA and DC sleeting at 48 But back to snow by 51, or close to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Snow filling in at 51, Nova and DC back to snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Sleet was knocking on Baltimore’s doorstep at H48 before thermals cooled again by H51. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Costal is starting at 51 winds backing NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 3k continues to be a tad colder re: thermals. I don't know which is better at what, but that feels like a good thing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 that dry slot is a bit scary.....It’s only the entire state of Virginia lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Beautiful vort pass depicted on the nam. Just hope it’s right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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