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The January 5/6 Thing


stormtracker
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55 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

There will be some decent wet bulbing once the moisture feed enters the air and starts moistening things up from the top-down. It’s one of the reasons a lot of us will start snow and stay pretty much all snow. The dividing line will likely be in VA and MAYBE portions of St Mary’s County in MD. Rest should be snow. Have to see how it trends as we move closer. 

This  will be key as to how much we drop when it gets going.  35/15 at onset becomes 28-29/26 when steady snow 

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Just now, stormtracker said:

Not sure it went that far norther?  I think it just got wetter for you guys.  Either way, same result.   Don't worry, yall are going to get the jack

I'd say just a smidge, h5 is a bump north and mixing across from MO eastward led me to believe it was slightly. We're also just slightly more amped. 

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1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Not sure it went that far norther?  I think it just got wetter for you guys.  Either way, same result.   Don't worry, yall are going to get the jack

6z vs 12z

12z the primary is more north. 

IMG_8416.jpeg

IMG_8415.png

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4 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

6z vs 12z

12z the primary is more north. 

IMG_8416.jpeg

IMG_8415.png

But that comparison could also be the result of timing differences (storm moving faster/slower) between runs.

It's all splitting hairs anyways. For most of us, things haven't really changed, though I appreciate that some (me included) are teetering on the edge of either missing out on big totals or missing out entirely.

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9 minutes ago, Warm Nose said:

DCA will still report <3" regardless  ... :lol:

Not to shill for DCA - but they were on point during the storms last year. No suspicious activity. They even recorded .1" this year during that morning sleet a week or two ago. Think they've found a generous slant-sticker to conduct the measurements. 

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2 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

I would be upset at the return of the infamous DC claw but hard to complain about only getting 8-10 instead of 10+

That's when you know the claw has really pinched our weenie pysches--that we see a map like this and have a momentary subconscious groan out of habit, lolol But agreed--this claw is (hopefully) more friendly :)

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