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The January 5/6 Thing


stormtracker
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2 hours ago, Kmlwx said:

A dry slot is sort of a loose term to describe an area that is less hospitable to precipitation. 

Generally we get overrun snow and about when it’s ready to change we dry slot  to drizzle which does not harm the accumulated snow and the transfer misses up but maybe helps northeast of Balt 

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3 hours ago, Bob Chill said:

Doesn't seem to matter what models do for me lol. Same outcome. Getting interested in the zr. Lots of pines on the mountains and hills here. Could look pretty cool iced up after an inch of snow at best. 

Not that it makes any damm difference but I'm rooting for @stormtracker, @Deck Pic, and all the other folks who literally get edged every damn storm. Make sure you rub it in REAL good if it happens :tomato:

What got you to skedaddle us?

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9 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

The GEFS run this morning was the only bad news I really saw - and the good news is the GEFS sucks.
 

Folks should always prep themselves for the real chance you could see a north shift over the next 84 hours, but hard not to love where things stand. 

I wonder how big of a north shift is still on the table here?

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55 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

There will be some decent wet bulbing once the moisture feed enters the air and starts moistening things up from the top-down. It’s one of the reasons a lot of us will start snow and stay pretty much all snow. The dividing line will likely be in VA and MAYBE portions of St Mary’s County in MD. Rest should be snow. Have to see how it trends as we move closer. 

This  will be key as to how much we drop when it gets going.  35/15 at onset becomes 28-29/26 when steady snow 

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1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Not sure it went that far norther?  I think it just got wetter for you guys.  Either way, same result.   Don't worry, yall are going to get the jack

Idk if it went norther as much as it got drier/mixy/rainer souther. Think the dry slot is becoming better modeled 

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Just now, stormtracker said:

Not sure it went that far norther?  I think it just got wetter for you guys.  Either way, same result.   Don't worry, yall are going to get the jack

I'd say just a smidge, h5 is a bump north and mixing across from MO eastward led me to believe it was slightly. We're also just slightly more amped. 

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