MillvilleWx Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Just now, dailylurker said: Down here in AA County we like to ride the the line. Big QPF and big snowflakes. If we don't ping, we bling. Cautiously optimistic for us lowlanders. Edgewater/Annapolis is consistently on the northern fringe of the IP line. One thing I do love seeing is consistency on the CCB pull through for here. If that materializes....we will get raked before the storm bids, "Au Revoir!" on its way out. One of the reasons we see the 2-4" uptick for Eastern AA Co. Fingers crossed! 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Baltimore jack on NAM wowza 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 15 minutes ago, cbmclean said: I thought the NAM was a high result ion GFS? Don’t ever say this again. I said the same thing about 8 years ago and was chastised to oblivion. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Just now, MillvilleWx said: Cautiously optimistic for us lowlanders. Edgewater/Annapolis is consistently on the northern fringe of the IP line. One thing I do love seeing is consistency on the CCB pull through for here. If that materializes....we will get raked before the storm bids, "Au Revoir!" on its way out. One of the reasons we see the 2-4" uptick for Eastern AA Co. Fingers crossed! I love your optimism! Us Capers have a little more latitude. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 2 minutes ago, dailylurker said: Down here in AA County we like to ride the line. Big QPF and big snowflakes. If we don't ping, we bling. I know, grew up there haha. North has its benefits 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 minute ago, jayyy said: Baltimore jack on NAM wowza Yessir 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 I’m off work on Monday. May stay down at my brothers in HoCo rather than up here in Carroll County for an easier commute to work on Tuesday (and in hopes of seeing a bit more snow honestly) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 3 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Cautiously optimistic for us lowlanders. Edgewater/Annapolis is consistently on the northern fringe of the IP line. One thing I do love seeing is consistency on the CCB pull through for here. If that materializes....we will get raked before the storm bids, "Au Revoir!" on its way out. One of the reasons we see the 2-4" uptick for Eastern AA Co. Fingers crossed! I thought you were in Frederick... when did you move to AA Co? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Just now, Interstate said: I thought you were in Frederick... when did you move to AA Co? Back over the summer. Bit closer to work and a little better living arrangement (Personal stuff). Wife and I might be settling in Northern AA or out by Mt Airy in 2026. That's the goal. Financially will be considerably better by then with student loans and car payments all paid off. Amazing how much money that will open up. Btw, I grew up less than 12 min from you. Carney/Cub Hill area. I lived off Northwind and Harford Rd. Loved that area. Was a neat little microclimate outside the Beltway. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Just now, MillvilleWx said: Back over the summer. Bit closer to work and a little better living arrangement (Personal stuff). Wife and I might be settling in Northern AA or out by Mt Airy in 2026. That's the goal. Financially will be considerably better by then with student loans and car payments all paid off. Amazing how much money that will open up. Btw, I grew up less than 12 min from you. Carney/Cub Hill area. I lived off Northwind and Harford Rd. Loved that area. Was a neat little microclimate outside the Beltway. I know that Area well... I drove by the Soda Pop Shop today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Rgem is euro south, lol I hate these models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 RGEM is a smidge south this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 5 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Cautiously optimistic for us lowlanders. Edgewater/Annapolis is consistently on the northern fringe of the IP line. One thing I do love seeing is consistency on the CCB pull through for here. If that materializes....we will get raked before the storm bids, "Au Revoir!" on its way out. One of the reasons we see the 2-4" uptick for Eastern AA Co. Fingers crossed! Appears my area ENE from Baltimore benefits as well from the CCB, or at least assuming it is, as it moves East across the Northern areas. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Just now, TSSN+ said: Rgem is euro south, lol I hate these models looks like the ICON is going to be south as well 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: RGEM is a smidge south this run. It’s way more than a smidge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Just now, frd said: Appears my area ENE from Baltimore benefits as well from the CCB, or at least assuming it is, as it moves East across the Northern areas. Yup! DE really gets the goods on any run that gets the CCB going. Nice high ratio fluff to round it all out. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 2 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 RGEM really hands off to the coast earlier (and further south) than previous runs. Earlier than the NAM too. Didn’t look at the others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Still snowing lightly at 75 on the RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Ick 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 25 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: I believe the GFS runs on the FV3 core and is fairly hi-res compared to what it used to be. RGEM runs at a resolution similar to the NAM with the HRDPS the Canadian version of the hi-res 2.5km, although it has some significant issues with a multitude of parameters. This is a great question for the MDL people since they have more of the background. From what I have read, the NWS chose the FV3 as the new GFS's (and GEFS) dynamical core in part because it uses less computer resources than other options. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Still having this spread 48-60hrs out is sad. No wonder Lwx has 2-7 maps 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 3 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Ick Yeah northern edge of the precip is a mess. Really bad run Edit: unless you live in CVA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 4 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Ick It's starting to feel like Baltimore and north are starting to lose this one...(at least for a warning-level snow anyway) 1 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said: It's starting to feel like Baltimore and north are starting to lose this one... Sweating over the icon? If anything the euro (which went way south) has ticked north the last 2 or 3 runs. I know the GEM being south like the euro sucks but I would be surprised if the ICON is remotely close to the final solution… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 2 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: It's starting to feel like Baltimore and north are starting to lose this one... No they’re not. Relax. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 3 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Still having this spread 48-60hrs out is sad. No wonder Lwx has 2-7 maps Not a whole lot of spread now. The Euro wins again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Def some drama tonight. ICON isn't really that bad, nor is it very different from 18Z for most of this forum. RGEM isn't great, but it's been bouncy for the past 24 hours and is one model run. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 3 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: It's starting to feel like Baltimore and north are starting to lose this one... 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 7 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Some pretty weak rates up north. Most of the action is with the initial thump further south near the sleet line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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