SnowenOutThere Posted Saturday at 02:38 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:38 AM Fwiw NAM 3k is slightly colder than the 12z upstairs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Saturday at 02:38 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:38 AM Filling back in at 72 as the coastal gets going with the h5 pass 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Saturday at 02:38 AM Author Share Posted Saturday at 02:38 AM Still not gonna sweat the NAM too hard. Tomm night is another story Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted Saturday at 02:38 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:38 AM LP over north central NC @ 72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Saturday at 02:39 AM Author Share Posted Saturday at 02:39 AM Nice little enhancement at 75..still some light snow in the area 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Saturday at 02:39 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:39 AM Heavy snow NoVA 75-78 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Saturday at 02:39 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:39 AM 1 minute ago, Terpeast said: Filling back in at 72 as the coastal gets going with the h5 pass That's the fluff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted Saturday at 02:39 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:39 AM 75 coastal is taking over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Saturday at 02:39 AM Author Share Posted Saturday at 02:39 AM Oh man..coastal backlash at 78...almost as heavy as the WAA 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted Saturday at 02:40 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:40 AM DC gets the goods when the coastal fires up. Nice run. We would take it in a heartbeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted Saturday at 02:40 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:40 AM 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Saturday at 02:40 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:40 AM Nice run, more than acceptable 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted Saturday at 02:40 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:40 AM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted Saturday at 02:40 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:40 AM 78 is a real nice rip job, then she’s gone by 81. Over 24 hour event. That’s excellent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Saturday at 02:41 AM Author Share Posted Saturday at 02:41 AM looks like 8-12 Kuchera? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Saturday at 02:41 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:41 AM 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Saturday at 02:41 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:41 AM WB 0Z 12K NAM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted Saturday at 02:41 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:41 AM 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Saturday at 02:41 AM Author Share Posted Saturday at 02:41 AM Just now, Terpeast said: Nice run, more than acceptable I can't be mad at it. Barely hanging on to snow for majority here. Still some sleet in there somewhere I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Saturday at 02:42 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:42 AM Just now, stormtracker said: looks like 8-12 Kuchera? Yep, looks like it for the middle of this sub. Maybe foot plus lollies 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Saturday at 02:42 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:42 AM 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Saturday at 02:44 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:44 AM 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: I can't be mad at it. Barely hanging on to snow for majority here. Still some sleet in there somewhere I think With that 70kt+ 850 jet, that is a likely possibility but good thing we just get a little bit before dry slotting and then get the coastal going. At least according to the NAM, but other models are picking up on this scenario Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted Saturday at 02:44 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:44 AM 27 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Yup! This is the stage where if we see any deviations from the norm, it would be now with the introduction of the CAMs. The D3-5 period is pretty boring typically on the NBM with regards to changes, I've noticed unless there is a noticeable shift in the general synoptics. So far nothing shows that at this lead. Appreciate taking the top to pop in and give some low down on the model background part of things @high risk I try my best, but you and @dtk are more well versed than I on the inner workings of most, if not all relevant NWP. Does anyone know why ncep never developed a high res version of the GFS similar to the Rgem and high res euro (not sure of they discontinued that when the euro op went high res). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notvirga! Posted Saturday at 02:44 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:44 AM Jackpot from Eldersbutg to Baltimore. If only 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted Saturday at 02:44 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:44 AM MRB with the Jack this run. I dont know anything about the FV3. But man is it beautiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted Saturday at 02:44 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:44 AM No more north nudges. Please. 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted Saturday at 02:45 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:45 AM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted Saturday at 02:45 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:45 AM 2 minutes ago, Terpeast said: With that 70kt+ 850 jet, that is a likely possibility but good thing we just get a little bit before dry slotting and then get the coastal going. At least according to the NAM, but other models are picking up on this scenario Isn’t this a fairly typical scenario around here (climo-ish) when the energy transfers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted Saturday at 02:46 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:46 AM 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: MRB with the Jack this run. I dont know anything about the FV3. But man is it beautiful. Fv3 is like the high res GFS if I remember. Looks great too 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted Saturday at 02:46 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:46 AM 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Does anyone know why ncep never developed a high res version of the GFS similar to the Rgem and high res euro (not sure of they discontinued that when the euro op went high res). I thought the NAM was a high result ion GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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