Weather Will Posted Saturday at 02:19 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:19 AM Thought they were retiring the NAM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Saturday at 02:20 AM Author Share Posted Saturday at 02:20 AM Well, definitely wetter way out west over S IL and S IN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted Saturday at 02:21 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:21 AM Snow entering CVA portions of the subforum 7p Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted Saturday at 02:21 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:21 AM 1 minute ago, Terpeast said: Maybe nothing, but s/w low is less deep than 18z (h5 vorticity) Yup, when we’re analyzing minute changes from the 18z to 0z NAM, there must be a storm coming. Love it. Seems all similar to me from 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted Saturday at 02:21 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:21 AM 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Well, definitely wetter way out west over S IL and S IN 70kt 85H LLJ aimed right at them doing the trick. System is still very dynamic in its structure. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted Saturday at 02:22 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:22 AM New LWX map. Seems low imo. 2-7” is a huge range for some lol 2 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Saturday at 02:22 AM Author Share Posted Saturday at 02:22 AM Yeah, wetter out there. Not sure it translates to us. Anyway, money panels for us coming up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted Saturday at 02:22 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:22 AM 2 minutes ago, Weather Will said: Thought they were retiring the NAM? MAYBE in 2026. 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted Saturday at 02:23 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:23 AM Just now, mappy said: New LWX map. Seems low imo. 2-7” is a huge range for some lol Under no circumstances would I have put out a map that looks like that with those ranges. I've made these decisions before for these types of maps. This is honestly a no-no. Ugh 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted Saturday at 02:23 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:23 AM 1 minute ago, mappy said: New LWX map. Seems low imo. 2-7” is a huge range for some lol Still unknowns. They can always go up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Saturday at 02:25 AM Author Share Posted Saturday at 02:25 AM Slow af. 1am Monday, still nothing up here...DC north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Saturday at 02:25 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:25 AM 1 minute ago, MillvilleWx said: Under no circumstances would I have put out a map that looks like that with those ranges. I've made these decisions before for these types of maps. This is honestly a no-no. Ugh Yeah, it feels like the narrower the ranges are, the more certain they are. But 2-7” is really wide. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted Saturday at 02:26 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:26 AM 6Z snow begins out here in the Shenandoah Valley. Perfect timing really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted Saturday at 02:26 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:26 AM New LWX map. Seems low imo. 2-7” is a huge range for some lol This map bothers me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted Saturday at 02:26 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:26 AM Just now, stormtracker said: Slow af. 1am Monday, still nothing up here...DC north Taking 1hrs per 6hr panel. Run will finish by tomorrow. If euro started at the same time as the Nam it would be out to 360 already lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted Saturday at 02:26 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:26 AM Just now, Terpeast said: Yeah, it feels like the narrower the ranges are, the more certain they are. But 2-7” is really wide. That wide range is like putting out a map of shoulder shrug emojis. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Saturday at 02:26 AM Author Share Posted Saturday at 02:26 AM While we wait for the next panel, it's definitely more juiced up out west...S IN and S OH. Hope we can get that to translate to us 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted Saturday at 02:27 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:27 AM Pivotal has snow across NVA at 1a, literally right up to the Potomac. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Saturday at 02:27 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:27 AM 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Slow af. 1am Monday, still nothing up here...DC north Confluence a bit stronger, but more east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Saturday at 02:27 AM Author Share Posted Saturday at 02:27 AM Finally starts at 9z....or close..probably a bit after 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Saturday at 02:28 AM Author Share Posted Saturday at 02:28 AM Just now, Terpeast said: Confluence a bit stronger, but more east. Hoping that's good for us. Can't tell yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted Saturday at 02:28 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:28 AM At 54 heavy snow in Nova and western md Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted Saturday at 02:28 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:28 AM Christ on a handbag. The 00Z NAM is so slow that the 06Z is going to start running before it even finishes. Like painting the Mackinaw Bridge. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Saturday at 02:29 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:29 AM No real changes on the surface yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted Saturday at 02:29 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:29 AM Soundings are 3 degrees warmer than 18Z at onset. Not that it really matters at this range on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted Saturday at 02:29 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:29 AM Just now, stormtracker said: Finally starts at 9z....or close..probably a bit after I think SV maps were made on a Compaq computer from 1990. Pivotal has snow all the way past the M/D line at 9z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted Saturday at 02:29 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:29 AM 57, heavy snow throughout the DMV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Saturday at 02:29 AM Author Share Posted Saturday at 02:29 AM Moderate just at the potomac river at 12z... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted Saturday at 02:30 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:30 AM I've never seen this much attention paid to the timing of availability of a NAM run 2.5 days out from an event..... Everyone needs to remember that the model almost always runs at the exact speed it does every other day. Dissemination of the data via various platforms and then generation and loading of graphics at the various display sites is what has almost all of the variability. 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Saturday at 02:30 AM Author Share Posted Saturday at 02:30 AM Just now, nj2va said: I think SV maps were made on a Compaq computer from 1990. Pivotal has snow all the way past the M/D line at 9z. agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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