TSSN+ Posted Thursday at 04:05 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:05 PM 2 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: You were just a little premature in posting that Even better lol 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Thursday at 04:06 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 04:06 PM 1 minute ago, Deck Pic said: regardless of verbatim runs, at this point I'm accepting that I might mix or flip. Hopefully 90%+ liquid is snow first. I mean, we always should living here. But dude made like it was 3 hours of pure sleet. GFS did not show this. Could in the future tho 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Thursday at 04:06 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:06 PM I want to caution that this is just one run, and as a reminder, this is a global model that may not have the best resolution for working out the ptype details per soundings. The mesos will help us with that starting tomorrow afternoon-ish. If this holds, should be "mostly" snow for the DC/Balt metros. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted Thursday at 04:06 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:06 PM Just now, TSSN+ said: Even better lol Approved 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Thursday at 04:06 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 04:06 PM Just now, bncho said: Yes there is? Hour 93 there's sleet, and after heavy snow for 6 hours or so we turn into sleet and freezing rain again. ok 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted Thursday at 04:06 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:06 PM 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Yeah, that happens all the time. Congrats TSSN Hey thanks lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted Thursday at 04:07 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:07 PM CMC looks decent according to this site https://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html, though does have IAD and DCA mix for a time before flipping to heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted Thursday at 04:07 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:07 PM I mean, are the soundings suggesting mainly all snow for DCA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Thursday at 04:08 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:08 PM Just now, bncho said: I mean, are the soundings suggesting mainly all snow for DCA? Yes. Pivotalweather.com has them every 3 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted Thursday at 04:08 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:08 PM 2 minutes ago, bncho said: Yes there is? Hour 93 there's sleet, and after heavy snow for 6 hours or so we turn into sleet and freezing rain again. I think its SUPERCLOSE per the soundings I just looked at for DC. There is a warm nose, but it skirts the freezing line and never actually crosses over. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted Thursday at 04:08 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:08 PM 2 minutes ago, bncho said: Yes there is? Hour 93 there's sleet, and after heavy snow for 6 hours or so we turn into sleet and freezing rain again. Are you using p-type maps or soundings? sometimes the p-type maps vary depending on how they are calculated (even from website to website). You need to look at soundings. It might get close if rates are vey low but look above at red tagger posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted Thursday at 04:08 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:08 PM 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: I mean, we always should living here. But dude made like it was 3 hours of pure sleet. GFS did not show this. Could in the future tho yeah....I didnt see his post. We might have to sweat the mix line, but that's like every storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted Thursday at 04:09 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:09 PM 1 minute ago, bncho said: I mean, are the soundings suggesting mainly all snow for DCA? Just read the last two pages and every single one of your questions is answered. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted Thursday at 04:09 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:09 PM 1 minute ago, bncho said: I mean, are the soundings suggesting mainly all snow for DCA? sure are. From 90 to 99 its all snow. Maybe some freezing rain at 102 but precip is pretty light. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted Thursday at 04:09 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:09 PM Just now, Kmlwx said: Are you using p-type maps or soundings? sometimes the p-type maps vary depending on how they are calculated (even from website to website). You need to look at soundings. It might get close if rates are vey low but look above at red tagger posts. I was using maps because WB doesn't have soundings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Thursday at 04:09 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 04:09 PM 1 minute ago, bncho said: I mean, are the soundings suggesting mainly all snow for DCA? lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted Thursday at 04:09 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:09 PM 12 and 18z Monday for DC. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted Thursday at 04:10 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:10 PM 3 minutes ago, StormyClearweather said: Annapolis jackpot 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Thursday at 04:10 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 04:10 PM Just now, bncho said: I was using maps because WB doesn't have soundings. So wait...you did all that using MAPS and not even checking soundings? Brah.... 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted Thursday at 04:10 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:10 PM Just now, bncho said: I was using maps because WB doesn't have soundings. theres the problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted Thursday at 04:10 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:10 PM 3 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: CMC looks decent according to this site https://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html, though does have IAD and DCA mix for a time before flipping to heavy snow. Oh man it's beautiful. That would be a lot of QPF I would think. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Thursday at 04:10 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:10 PM Snow starts slightly later on 12z CMC in DC metro... around midnight 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted Thursday at 04:11 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:11 PM Just now, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: Oh man it's beautiful. That would be a lot of QPF I would think. Do not need to worry about QDF on that run, would be a fun winters morning even if it gets a bit icy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted Thursday at 04:11 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:11 PM Daytime snow, too. Those are so much better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted Thursday at 04:12 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:12 PM 1 minute ago, bncho said: yk what I should just shut up you are right to think it because it could happen especially inside the beltway...but before that everyone feasts like Henry VIII on white gold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Thursday at 04:13 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:13 PM Soundings are close at DCA at 96 on 12z CMC, but it is still snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted Thursday at 04:13 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:13 PM I see we're getting clobbered on the CMC as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted Thursday at 04:13 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:13 PM Looks all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted Thursday at 04:13 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:13 PM Pound town 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted Thursday at 04:14 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:14 PM Me thinks that CMC snow map will be lovely to look at. Its fridgid at the surface too. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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