Terpeast Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 I kind of like seeing the spread between models because it still shows a range of possibilities between the northernmost/warmest scenario and the southernmost/coldest scenario. The goal posts are starting to narrow, and we're in a good place. Soon, we will start parsing the mesoscale details like best banding, how far N the mix line goes, and when the coastal takes over. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 RGEM is pretty similar to the NAM in all honesty. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 RGEM is a crushjob About 40 miles north vs 12z 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 RGEM looks like its going to keep DC all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 3 Author Share Posted January 3 looks like RGEM is a banger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 RGEM meanwhile is more a nod to the NAM/GFS camp thus far on its 18z run. Looks snowy for a lot of folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 minute ago, yoda said: Ive never even seen LWX even mention the icon model in any of their discussions lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 3 Author Share Posted January 3 Just now, clskinsfan said: RGEM is pretty similar to the NAM in all honesty. really? Keeps it all snow here.NAM was on the cusp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
konksw Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Feels to me like the model spray is all pointing to a DC jackpot. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 3 Author Share Posted January 3 Just now, winter_warlock said: Ive never even seen LWX even mention the icon model in any of their discussions lol It isn't very good. I look at it for trends, but it's not really helping much now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 More coastal influence on the RGEM aswell. Definitely north from 12z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 2 minutes ago, StormyClearweather said: Just slight changes Evaluating the ICON and all, I know...but beyond the south shift of the relative max zone, overall it looks notably drier (just going by snow amounts on this animation; I'd guess the QPF is correspondingly lower). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Snow is done on the 18z RGEM at 84 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 2 minutes ago, konksw said: Feels to me like the model spray is all pointing to a DC jackpot. This is turning into a DMV special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: looks like RGEM is a banger Well you have no functioning gauges…no outside mirrors…I can’t let you proceed in this vehicle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Just now, yoda said: Snow is done on the 18z RGEM at 84 North of the last run, that I can tell from a quick glance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: really? Keeps it all snow here.NAM was on the cusp Yeah its definitely colder than the NAM. Similar track and coastal development though; Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Nice PBP and the crushes from short range models make it a happy start to happy hour! Thx all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Just now, yoda said: Snow is done on the 18z RGEM at 84 That actually looks reasonable IMO for the 6” contour from EZF to the MD border. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 RGEM more Nam and GFS like.. Icon more Ukie and Euro like wrt track imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Most Models have 12-14:1 ratios north of Baltimore/DC that makes up for less pricip. Ratios are 10:1 or less near the cities. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Afternoon heavy snow and ice disco from WPC - https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=qpfhsd 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 minute ago, TSG said: all hail king Euro. This thing is coming south in 20 mins...I hope 60 sec, get ready!! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 3 Author Share Posted January 3 9 minutes ago, TSG said: all hail king Euro. This thing is coming south in 20 mins...I hope Euro starts around 6:15pm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 3 Author Share Posted January 3 ok, GFS started. Good luck gang Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSG Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 Just now, stormtracker said: Euro starts around 6:15pm yeah well I don't need the Euro to come south. It's already there 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 GFS is running Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 1 minute ago, TSG said: yeah well I don't need the Euro to come south. It's already there 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 3 Share Posted January 3 RLX posted watches in their afternoon package... so I'm going to assume LWX will in their morning package 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 3 Author Share Posted January 3 GFS pretty similar through 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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