mitchnick Posted Friday at 08:40 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:40 PM Nam appears to be bullying that Lobe north of Maine due to the strength of the vort in KY/WV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Friday at 08:40 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 08:40 PM Still going at 84...snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted Friday at 08:40 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:40 PM 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: That's sleet at DC proper hr 75. Pull up a soundings. Lose the lift and moisture near the DGZ and it tips. But not after a dumping. I agree. I am barely hanging on out here. Warmest I get though for the event. 25 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted Friday at 08:40 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:40 PM Winds backing NE more this run costal influence was hinted to be more of a thing in the GEFS at 12z NAM is definitely showing more of it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted Friday at 08:40 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:40 PM Man that’s a sweet pass at h5. If we can just close that sucker off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted Friday at 08:41 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:41 PM Just now, CoastalWx said: That's sleet at DC proper hr 75. Pull up a soundings. Lose the lift and moisture near the DGZ and it tips. But not after before a dumping. For our silly list of isms here LOL. The sounding is so close on the NAM. I've always looked at for ML thermal layers, and with this being advection of GoM moisture and SW flow, if there were a tongue, there's a chance it would sniff that out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Friday at 08:41 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 08:41 PM looks like around 8 for cities? Somebody with WB can post. Prob some sleet in there so likely lower amounts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted Friday at 08:42 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:42 PM Please god let the NAM be right for once. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Friday at 08:42 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:42 PM QPF is 1.5"+ DCA metro 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted Friday at 08:42 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:42 PM 2 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Nam appears to be bullying that Lobe north of Maine due to the strength of the vort in KY/WV. I never support bullying, but in this case Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Friday at 08:42 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:42 PM How about that CCB backend! If that's coming to fruition, double digit totals despite any brief period of sleet 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted Friday at 08:42 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:42 PM 6 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted Friday at 08:43 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:43 PM Just now, Maestrobjwa said: I never support bullying, but in this case This was a WET run near the heaviest QPF. There's a lot of dynamics at play here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted Friday at 08:43 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:43 PM 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: looks like around 8 for cities? Somebody with WB can post. Prob some sleet in there so likely lower amounts I think it's a good bit more than that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Friday at 08:43 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 08:43 PM I'm not mad at it. Just needs a few degrees colder. This far out, can't really ask for much more from the NAM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Friday at 08:43 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:43 PM 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: looks like around 8 for cities? Somebody with WB can post. Prob some sleet in there so likely lower amounts PW is over a foot for DCA on 10:1 at 84... but I believe @high risk mentioned sleet is included. But we get like maybe only an hour or 2 of sleet... so... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted Friday at 08:44 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:44 PM 2 hours ago, bncho said: If we could get that then we'd be in almost 18 inch territory. Pretty much what the 18z Nam has. It must have read my post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted Friday at 08:45 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:45 PM Sweet baby Jesus 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Friday at 08:45 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 08:45 PM Just now, yoda said: PW is over a foot for DCA on 10:1 at 84... but I believe @high risk mentioned sleet is included. But we get like maybe an hour or 2 of sleet... so... Yeah. Despite the Euro/UK, I think we see a period of sleet. Hopefully it's short 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted Friday at 08:45 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:45 PM You have to love the depiction as modeled. Great WAA slug that thumps the **** out of most of us, followed by a near perfect pass at h5. Let's keep those UL's closed off as it passes south of the area and the modeled CCB piece is not just fantasy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Friday at 08:46 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:46 PM Don't know if anyone noticed, but the sfc low track was about 40 miles south of previous NAM runs. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted Friday at 08:46 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:46 PM 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I'm not mad at it. Just needs a few degrees colder. This far out, can't really ask for much more from the NAM id rather play with the fire of the precip max over us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted Friday at 08:46 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:46 PM 3 minutes ago, StormyClearweather said: Still snowing then as well. The NAM is a beatdown. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Friday at 08:46 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:46 PM Probably also get another 1 to 3 hours of snow as well depending on location after the NAM run ends... so the totals may increase another inch or so 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted Friday at 08:47 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:47 PM I'm not mad at it. Just needs a few degrees colder. This far out, can't really ask for much more from the NAMYou should do a livestream play by play for tonights gfs/euro runs. I lurk on this board and just track the model runs. Id love to learn more about what exactly it is i should be paying attention to. . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted Friday at 08:47 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:47 PM To say the Euro and NAM are worlds apart is an understatement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Friday at 08:47 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 08:47 PM 2 minutes ago, yoda said: PW is over a foot for DCA on 10:1 at 84... but I believe @high risk mentioned sleet is included. But we get like maybe only an hour or 2 of sleet... so... Seems better than I thought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted Friday at 08:47 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:47 PM Just now, Terpeast said: Don't know if anyone noticed, but the sfc low track was about 40 miles south of previous NAM runs. Primary yes but the transfer is north off NC kinda countered that. The faster the transfer the bigger the hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Friday at 08:47 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 08:47 PM 1 minute ago, Terpeast said: Don't know if anyone noticed, but the sfc low track was about 40 miles south of previous NAM runs. Positive 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted Friday at 08:48 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:48 PM 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: Still snowing then as well. The NAM is a beatdown. First NAMing of the year, lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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