stormtracker Posted Thursday at 03:59 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 03:59 PM Through 21z, 10-12 circling DC south and Bmore North. and all surrounding areas around 8-10 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted Thursday at 03:59 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:59 PM Snow totals are def juiced up vs 06Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted Thursday at 04:00 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:00 PM Just now, yoda said: No it's not Pivotal has a weird brief period of mixing hit DC around hour 93 before heavier precip switches it back to snow but with this sounding it may just be snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Thursday at 04:00 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:00 PM Just now, bncho said: There's a period of a few hours before turning back into snow The soundings never go above -0.5 in the column Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Thursday at 04:01 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:01 PM GFS soundings at both IAD and DCA show a nose between 750-825mb just touching 0 C. This should stay snow verbatim 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted Thursday at 04:01 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:01 PM Beautiful 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Thursday at 04:01 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 04:01 PM For the northern folks it's around 6", then quickly gets to 8 around b'more...then up to 10 around like Columbia/DC. Somebody with the pretty maps post, because SV is some shit 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted Thursday at 04:01 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:01 PM Just now, bncho said: There's a period of a few hours before turning back into snow Are you using soundings or just p-type maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted Thursday at 04:01 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:01 PM 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Looks about the same so far.....so at the very least, no step backs EDIT/...it's a wetter run for DC beltway people. Looks wetter overall it gets dicy near the end. Need to look at soundings. I'm curious. But we get shellacked. Just a matter of when we flip. 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted Thursday at 04:01 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:01 PM The worst sounding i pulled for the run is just during lighter precip and even then its mostly snow. Ninja'd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Thursday at 04:02 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:02 PM Still snowing at 108 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Thursday at 04:02 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 04:02 PM 1 minute ago, bncho said: There's a period of a few hours before turning back into snow There is no sleet.. You did this last time and there wasn't then either. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
biodhokie Posted Thursday at 04:02 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:02 PM Just now, TSSN+ said: Beautiful Inject this directly into my veins. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted Thursday at 04:02 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:02 PM 1 minute ago, bncho said: There's a period of a few hours before turning back into snow Nah...not as depicted. Terp knows this shit...and yoda...if it was sleet they would be all over it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Thursday at 04:02 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:02 PM might see some mixing when rates decrease upon dry slot, but that's really nbd 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted Thursday at 04:02 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:02 PM Has a little bit of backend snow at hour 108, and honestly (though a met may want to chime in) seems somewhat close atmospherically to having a more prolonged period of coastal enhancement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted Thursday at 04:02 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:02 PM The classic south DC jackpot 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Thursday at 04:02 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 04:02 PM Just now, Deck Pic said: it gets dicy near the end. Need to look at soundings. I'm curious. But we get shellacked. Just a matter of when we flip. See Terp's post. And the column doesn't get about zero from what I'm seeing? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Thursday at 04:02 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:02 PM 1 minute ago, Deck Pic said: it gets dicy near the end. Need to look at soundings. I'm curious. But we get shellacked. Just a matter of when we flip. What hours and place? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Thursday at 04:03 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 04:03 PM Just now, weathercoins said: The classic south DC jackpot Yeah, that happens all the time. Congrats TSSN 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted Thursday at 04:03 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:03 PM 2 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Beautiful yeah quite the jump in QPF for us. ~.5 to ~.7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted Thursday at 04:03 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:03 PM 1 minute ago, TSSN+ said: Beautiful You were just a little premature in posting that 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted Thursday at 04:03 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:03 PM Just now, Terpeast said: might see some mixing when rates decrease upon dry slot, but that's really nbd regardless of verbatim runs, at this point I'm accepting that I might mix or flip. Hopefully 90%+ liquid is snow first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted Thursday at 04:03 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:03 PM Just about all of us would lock and load that GFS run and sleep until Sunday morning when the obs thread opens up. Nice run there, good column, heavy QPF with great moisture advection and forcing overhead. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted Thursday at 04:05 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:05 PM 1 minute ago, yoda said: What hours and place? a number of people are posting that verbatim DCA stays all snow this run tho it is close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted Thursday at 04:05 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:05 PM Definitely adjusting north run with the precip and getting warmer at 850 every run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted Thursday at 04:05 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:05 PM It's a good run, has us 30-31 Monday afternoon whereas the Euro has us 26-27. Either one works really. More total QPF that the Euro it seems so they'd probably be similar outcomes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted Thursday at 04:05 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:05 PM Majestic vort pass on the gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted Thursday at 04:05 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:05 PM 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted Thursday at 04:05 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:05 PM 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: There is no sleet.. You did this last time and there wasn't then either. Yes there is? Hour 93 there's sleet, and after heavy snow for 6 hours or so we turn into sleet and freezing rain again. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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