IronTy Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Snow totals are def juiced up vs 06Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Just now, yoda said: No it's not Pivotal has a weird brief period of mixing hit DC around hour 93 before heavier precip switches it back to snow but with this sounding it may just be snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Just now, bncho said: There's a period of a few hours before turning back into snow The soundings never go above -0.5 in the column Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 GFS soundings at both IAD and DCA show a nose between 750-825mb just touching 0 C. This should stay snow verbatim 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Beautiful 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 2 Author Share Posted January 2 For the northern folks it's around 6", then quickly gets to 8 around b'more...then up to 10 around like Columbia/DC. Somebody with the pretty maps post, because SV is some shit 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Just now, bncho said: There's a period of a few hours before turning back into snow Are you using soundings or just p-type maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 The worst sounding i pulled for the run is just during lighter precip and even then its mostly snow. Ninja'd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Still snowing at 108 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 2 Author Share Posted January 2 1 minute ago, bncho said: There's a period of a few hours before turning back into snow There is no sleet.. You did this last time and there wasn't then either. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
biodhokie Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Just now, TSSN+ said: Beautiful Inject this directly into my veins. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 1 minute ago, bncho said: There's a period of a few hours before turning back into snow Nah...not as depicted. Terp knows this shit...and yoda...if it was sleet they would be all over it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 might see some mixing when rates decrease upon dry slot, but that's really nbd 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Has a little bit of backend snow at hour 108, and honestly (though a met may want to chime in) seems somewhat close atmospherically to having a more prolonged period of coastal enhancement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 The classic south DC jackpot 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 2 Author Share Posted January 2 Just now, Deck Pic said: it gets dicy near the end. Need to look at soundings. I'm curious. But we get shellacked. Just a matter of when we flip. See Terp's post. And the column doesn't get about zero from what I'm seeing? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 1 minute ago, Deck Pic said: it gets dicy near the end. Need to look at soundings. I'm curious. But we get shellacked. Just a matter of when we flip. What hours and place? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 2 Author Share Posted January 2 Just now, weathercoins said: The classic south DC jackpot Yeah, that happens all the time. Congrats TSSN 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 2 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Beautiful yeah quite the jump in QPF for us. ~.5 to ~.7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 1 minute ago, TSSN+ said: Beautiful You were just a little premature in posting that 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Just about all of us would lock and load that GFS run and sleep until Sunday morning when the obs thread opens up. Nice run there, good column, heavy QPF with great moisture advection and forcing overhead. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Definitely adjusting north run with the precip and getting warmer at 850 every run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 It's a good run, has us 30-31 Monday afternoon whereas the Euro has us 26-27. Either one works really. More total QPF that the Euro it seems so they'd probably be similar outcomes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Majestic vort pass on the gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: There is no sleet.. You did this last time and there wasn't then either. Yes there is? Hour 93 there's sleet, and after heavy snow for 6 hours or so we turn into sleet and freezing rain again. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 2 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: You were just a little premature in posting that Even better lol 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 2 Author Share Posted January 2 1 minute ago, Deck Pic said: regardless of verbatim runs, at this point I'm accepting that I might mix or flip. Hopefully 90%+ liquid is snow first. I mean, we always should living here. But dude made like it was 3 hours of pure sleet. GFS did not show this. Could in the future tho 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 I want to caution that this is just one run, and as a reminder, this is a global model that may not have the best resolution for working out the ptype details per soundings. The mesos will help us with that starting tomorrow afternoon-ish. If this holds, should be "mostly" snow for the DC/Balt metros. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 2 Share Posted January 2 Just now, TSSN+ said: Even better lol Approved 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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